New bike prices crystal ball

New bike prices crystal ball

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Discussion

numtumfutunch

Original Poster:

4,723 posts

138 months

Friday 9th April 2021
quotequote all

Im a bit out of the loop however have just realised that a new 3 grand bike will be fitted with 105

Theres nothing wrong with 105, I have it on my current bike and its great however that bike cost 1500 quid not that long ago

Obvs Im aware of the supply issues over the last year mostly due to difficulty in sourcing components from closed factories and to a much lesser degree Brexit paperwork but I hadnt really clocked the significant hikes in prices.

Do we think this is sustainable, or a blip in a demand lead market and prices will readjust down on new bikes in a year or so?

For context a mate bought a Canyon last year for £2400
The same bike is now listed on Canyon UK for just under £3000 and on the German Canyon website for 2600 Euros

So in Germany at least theres been no price hike

Cheers

Sonofabeesting

598 posts

183 months

Friday 9th April 2021
quotequote all
I think Brexit has a lot to do with it.

For example I was looking at a Vitus which was 650 Euros a year ago, it has now gone up to 850 euros and when I asked Chain Reaction Cycles why they said it was due to increased costs with Brexit and shipping to Europe.

I assume it works from things going to Europe to the UK as well.


ucb

952 posts

212 months

Friday 9th April 2021
quotequote all
Have noted very sharp price increases in the past 6 months. As you say, 105 equipped bikes are basically £3k which I find beyond my idea of reasonable.
The other downside is that everyone on eBay suddenly thinks their 2015 Sora aluminium road bike is worth £800+ (Or in fact list price) bonkers

Maximus_Meridius101

1,222 posts

37 months

Friday 9th April 2021
quotequote all
ucb said:
Have noted very sharp price increases in the past 6 months. As you say, 105 equipped bikes are basically £3k which I find beyond my idea of reasonable.
The other downside is that everyone on eBay suddenly thinks their 2015 Sora aluminium road bike is worth £800+ (Or in fact list price) bonkers
We’ll all be back to completely normal by the end of July, everything will return to how it was before, there will be no more excessive demand for bikes and bike bits. Well all be living as we were before, a base level 105 equipped bike will retail for 1500 quid and everything will be wonderful again. Or not. Get used to the way things are.

ucb

952 posts

212 months

Friday 9th April 2021
quotequote all
Most things change in time. You appear to be an exception

Zigster

1,653 posts

144 months

Saturday 10th April 2021
quotequote all
ucb said:
Have noted very sharp price increases in the past 6 months. As you say, 105 equipped bikes are basically £3k which I find beyond my idea of reasonable.
The other downside is that everyone on eBay suddenly thinks their 2015 Sora aluminium road bike is worth £800+ (Or in fact list price) bonkers
Conversely, I just sold a carbon-framed, rim-braked road bike with 105 5800 for £700. I was a little taken aback by how many people would make comically low offers and try to tell me it was overpriced. Quite satisfying to respond to say that someone had already offered me the asking price and was picking it up the next day. I suspect I could have got more for it if I had tried.

Bathroom_Security

3,339 posts

117 months

Monday 12th April 2021
quotequote all
Brexit and the Pandemic

Will things decrease again? I doubt it no

There was a forum member on my Levo £13k thread, his/her opinion was that golfist types are to blame and I agree. Dave the dentist buys a £10k bike to show off, then accountant Mike goes and outdoes him and buys a £12k bike.

Manufacturers cotton onto this and then fuel the fire so to speak, providing the ever increasing priced bikes to keep them going

millen

688 posts

86 months

Monday 12th April 2021
quotequote all
A friend last week took delivery of a new 2020-spec Trek Domane 2x12 speed AXS from his LBS. Was a tad over £4k relative to a list price of £5k+ It certainly looks the biz, if somewhat heavier than I'd expected.

Master Bean

3,567 posts

120 months

Monday 12th April 2021
quotequote all
millen said:
A friend last week took delivery of a new 2020-spec Trek Domane 2x12 speed AXS from his LBS. Was a tad over £4k relative to a list price of £5k+ It certainly looks the biz, if somewhat heavier than I'd expected.
The Domane frame is almost 2kg. For carbon! They're not light unlike the Emonda.

Dnlm

320 posts

44 months

Monday 12th April 2021
quotequote all
The saddle post "sheaf" puts me off on those domanes.

Seems that people are even more willing to pay up for brands now. Canyon has become one but other mail order onlys like Orro still have 105 under 2k , or di2 around 3.

Doesn't surprise me about people paying for names, beyond the golfer one upmanship. Bought a Spesh (on sale) and it's just better put together than cheaper brands I own, quality finishing kit, service etc.... Does that they are willing to take 6m/1y delays to get them though!


TAZ 215

80 posts

147 months

Monday 12th April 2021
quotequote all
Component pricing has increased across the board which has affected all brands.

Brexit has had an impact on European brands like Canyon.

Pre-Brexit Canyon imported parts and frames into Germany at 4.7% which they could then assemble and import to the UK duty free.

Post Brexit the UK is a 3rd country so import duty for a bike into the UK is payable at 14% meaning prices need to go up.

numtumfutunch

Original Poster:

4,723 posts

138 months

Monday 12th April 2021
quotequote all
millen said:
A friend last week took delivery of a new 2020-spec Trek Domane 2x12 speed AXS from his LBS. Was a tad over £4k relative to a list price of £5k+ It certainly looks the biz, if somewhat heavier than I'd expected.
Good work, my research has hit a blank on discounts due to supply issues

Was the Domane an unusual size?
If not Id be very happy to hear how the discount was negotiated

Cheers

gl20

1,123 posts

149 months

Monday 12th April 2021
quotequote all
TAZ 215 said:
Component pricing has increased across the board which has affected all brands.

Brexit has had an impact on European brands like Canyon.

Pre-Brexit Canyon imported parts and frames into Germany at 4.7% which they could then assemble and import to the UK duty free.

Post Brexit the UK is a 3rd country so import duty for a bike into the UK is payable at 14% meaning prices need to go up.
It’s Canyon where I noticed a real difference this year. Relative to other brands it feels like they’ve gone up more and are much less the bargain they once were.

TAZ 215

80 posts

147 months

Tuesday 13th April 2021
quotequote all
gl20 said:
TAZ 215 said:
Component pricing has increased across the board which has affected all brands.

Brexit has had an impact on European brands like Canyon.

Pre-Brexit Canyon imported parts and frames into Germany at 4.7% which they could then assemble and import to the UK duty free.

Post Brexit the UK is a 3rd country so import duty for a bike into the UK is payable at 14% meaning prices need to go up.
It’s Canyon where I noticed a real difference this year. Relative to other brands it feels like they’ve gone up more and are much less the bargain they once were.
The relative difference is that brands imported from Taiwan to the UK are unchanged in terms of duty, they paid 14% before and after Brexit. Cube had a huge price hike for the same reason.

Sheets Tabuer

18,959 posts

215 months

Tuesday 13th April 2021
quotequote all
I bought a Boardman carbon about 9 months ago with 105 for 1k, couldn't imagine paying 3 times as much for the same kit.

loskie

5,216 posts

120 months

Tuesday 13th April 2021
quotequote all
Do folks have a lot more money to spend? What with no holidays, eating out, commuting costs etc for the last year. Perhaps retailers sensibly/manufacturers are looking to relieve folks of that cash surplus.

Maybe Brexit is to blame maybe it's not but it will be an easy smokescreen to use.

A lot of cattle are imported from Netherlands, Germany and Denmark into UK. Since Jan there has been no change in the cost.

Joey Ramone

2,150 posts

125 months

Tuesday 13th April 2021
quotequote all
Had this same realisation myself over the past few days. I couldn’t believe the seemingly base components attached to relatively ordinary bikes that somehow occupied the 3k price point.

Gary29

4,155 posts

99 months

Tuesday 13th April 2021
quotequote all
TAZ 215 said:
The relative difference is that brands imported from Taiwan to the UK are unchanged in terms of duty, they paid 14% before and after Brexit. Cube had a huge price hike for the same reason.
But blue passports man....BLUE!!!

Sheets Tabuer

18,959 posts

215 months

Tuesday 13th April 2021
quotequote all
Don't forget the BoE and most governments have been printing money like it's going out of fashion which only leads to one thing.

This is money in circulation, It's gonna hurt.


Zigster

1,653 posts

144 months

Tuesday 13th April 2021
quotequote all
Dnlm said:
The saddle post "sheaf" puts me off on those domanes.

Seems that people are even more willing to pay up for brands now. Canyon has become one but other mail order onlys like Orro still have 105 under 2k , or di2 around 3.

Doesn't surprise me about people paying for names, beyond the golfer one upmanship. Bought a Spesh (on sale) and it's just better put together than cheaper brands I own, quality finishing kit, service etc.... Does that they are willing to take 6m/1y delays to get them though!
Just to say that Orro isn’t mail order only. Plenty of bike shops sell them and I bought mine from a bike shop. Good bikes - it was an Orro Gold I sold recently (see my post above) and I’m still wondering whether I should have replaced it with another Orro rather than bought a much more expensive Cervelo.