RE: Uncertainty over EU ICE ban resolved

RE: Uncertainty over EU ICE ban resolved

Tuesday 28th March 2023

EU approves 2035 phaseout - but e-fuels exempt

New EU law finally passed yet the door remains open to CO2-neutral internal combustion after 2035


Closure. That dreaded Americanism that the everyone in the world seems to be looking for in some capacity or another these days. By the way, we’re not belittling the serious stuff – those with real issues in their past have our deepest sympathies. It’s more the language used by so many to describe the often inconsequential stuff; stuff that in the past might have garnered a comment like “Get over yourself.” Anyway, whether that phrase send shivers down your spine or not, here’s some good closure.

The door to buying a combustion-engined car in the EU has not closed, as it looked very likely it would just a few weeks ago. We been reporting in this story since it first surfaced, of course. The EU was due to vote on passing a new law that would ban all new combustion cars being sold in its jurisdiction from 2035. This law looked like a forgone conclusion, right up until the point that Germany’s transport minister – or as we’ve named him, the caped crusader – Volker Wissing piped up and said ‘up with this I will not put,’ or words to that effect, said in German. Thinking about it, it would've been a little ironic if he had used the quote verbatim.

Anyway, it caused a bit of a domino effect. Once Wissing had spoken out, Italy, Poland and various other states stood behind Germany and that caused all sorts of ructions around the EU Commission. The row centred on adding a clause to allow combustion engines to carry on, as long as they ran on bio or synthetic fuels (e-fuels). As you’ll be aware, those are fuels that (providing the energy used to make it is clean) when burned only release CO2 back into the atmosphere that was recovered from the atmosphere to make them. CO2 neutral, in simple terms.

Today’s news from Reuters states that: ‘European Union countries gave final approval on Tuesday to a landmark law to end sales of new CO2-emitting cars in 2035, after Germany won an exemption for cars running on e-fuels.’  It's reported that Poland voted against the law and Italy, Bulgaria and Romania abstained. So there you go: in theory, combustion cars are still viable after that 2035. As always, there are snags, though.

Production of E-fuels isn’t currently scalable – not to the extent it needs to be to serve the mass market. Take Porsche’s plant in Chile for instance. That’s in its pilot phase of e-fuel production right now, which is around 130,000 litres per year. That’s enough to supply projects such as its Porsche Supercup series and its Porsche Experience Centres with sustainable fuel. There are plans to ramp that up to a projected 55 million litres per year by the middle of the decade, and in the latter half of the decade stretch it to around 550 million litres. If that sounds a lot, here’s a sobering thought: in 2021, the US alone consumed 1.6 billion litres of petrol. The other issue is cost, because e-fuels are a lot more expensive than regular fossil-fuel petrol right now.

There will be no mixing and matching, either. Don’t think you’ll be able to buy a new ICE car after the EU ban and stop for a cheeky splash and dash of unleaded. There was talk this week that, as part of the exemption, cars sold with a combustion engine after 2035 must recognise the difference between e-fuel and fossil fuel and not run on the latter. The finer details of how that will happen aren't apparent at the moment, though.

In conclusion, then, we have closure: the door to ICE isn’t closed, which is good. But there are still many things that need to align to allow the cars that we at PH love the most to carry on. It does give us hope that, at the very least, premium manufacturers such as Porsche and Ferrari can officially carry on designing, developing and producing cars with great-sounding and highly characterful engines. If you think that won’t affect you, then think about it this way: cutting edge technology tends to filter down to the common man. It’s just that this time we’re hoping it’s old technology will filter down to us, instead.


Author
Discussion

D4rez

Original Poster:

1,381 posts

56 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
Newsflash, the U.K. isn’t in the EU anymore and isn’t following suit as our ban is not technology agnostic. It is much tougher

Second newsflash - the average punter won’t be able to afford this or the very rare, expensive new car with an engine to still run it.

It is good news for decarbonising classics though.

kambites

67,545 posts

221 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
D4rez said:
Newsflash, the U.K. isn’t in the EU anymore and isn’t following suit as our ban is not technology agnostic. It is much tougher
I'm pretty sure our proposed ban IS technology agnostic - it simply states that cars must be zero emission at point of use. How that is to be achieved is not specified.

wildatheart

160 posts

179 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
The sad part about this 'progress' is that when you follow the money, you soon realise that CO2 driven 'climate change' is one. giant. scam.

D4rez

Original Poster:

1,381 posts

56 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
kambites said:
I'm pretty sure our proposed ban IS technology agnostic - it simply states that cars must be zero emission at point of use. How that is to be achieved is not specified.
It’s zero at the tailpipe, which disqualifies anything like hydrogen ice or e-fuel. Reason being NOx, particulates etc

Nomme de Plum

4,512 posts

16 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
wildatheart said:
The sad part about this 'progress' is that when you follow the money, you soon realise that CO2 driven 'climate change' is one. giant. scam.
Do have some authoritive evidence to validate your assertion?

kambites

67,545 posts

221 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
D4rez said:
kambites said:
I'm pretty sure our proposed ban IS technology agnostic - it simply states that cars must be zero emission at point of use. How that is to be achieved is not specified.
It’s zero at the tailpipe, which disqualifies anything like hydrogen ice or e-fuel. Reason being NOx, particulates etc
Yes, exactly. It's technology agnostic - it just states the end goal of zero tailpipe emissions.

Fastlane

1,147 posts

217 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
Do have some authoritive evidence to validate your assertion?
Best not to feed the troll, especially when their argument tells you to follow the money, and that has always led back to the fossil fuel industry, thus invalidating their whole argumnet...

S600BSB

4,578 posts

106 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
Is the UK ban still 2030, rather than 2035?

Twinair

659 posts

142 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
It's technology agnostic - it just states the end goal of zero tailpipe emissions.
[/quote]

LOOPHOLE: What if you don’t have a ‘tailpipe’ - would ‘side pipes’ be ok, a la AMG G63…??!!

No? Thought not. Well done greeners - you’ve won. Petrolheads have lost. Enjoy the blandness.

(C) Batterybrains is still available from myself. Prior art here. PH can get in touch via my people if you want to buy.


The Hypno-Toad

12,278 posts

205 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
D4rez said:
The average punter won’t be able to afford this or the very rare, expensive new car with an engine to still run it.
The answer, as always, is MX-5. wink

The entire Mazda ICE range is already set up to run on the Porsche e-Fuel and has been since 2021.

Wab1974uk

991 posts

27 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
wildatheart said:
The sad part about this 'progress' is that when you follow the money, you soon realise that CO2 driven 'climate change' is one. giant. scam.
Do have some authoritive evidence to validate your assertion?
There is lots out there. Go research it.

Asking for evidence while watching the BBC for yours.

But while the media and Google (and similar) refuse to report / show it then only one side (the agenda) gets shown.




^^^^ That is not normal ^^^^

Nomme de Plum

4,512 posts

16 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
S600BSB said:
Is the UK ban still 2030, rather than 2035?
Yes

Hybrids 2035

Nomme de Plum

4,512 posts

16 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
Wab1974uk said:
There is lots out there. Go research it.

Asking for evidence while watching the BBC for yours.

But while the media and Google (and similar) refuse to report / show it then only one side (the agenda) gets shown.




^^^^ That is not normal ^^^^
So basically no.

It is customary for a person making an assertion rather than stating an opinion to provide some evidence.





NDNDNDND

2,017 posts

183 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
D4rez said:
It is good news for decarbonising classics though.
This is the bit I care about. Hopefully an allowance for e-fuels will mean greater availability for running classic cars on the stuff.

I want to continue driving my V8, and I'd much rather pour a carbon-neutral (non-ethanol!) fuel down its carburettor than petrol.


jbforce10

509 posts

175 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
Wab1974uk said:
There is lots out there. Go research it.

Asking for evidence while watching the BBC for yours.

But while the media and Google (and similar) refuse to report / show it then only one side (the agenda) gets shown.




^^^^ That is not normal ^^^^
You know that showing a fake picture of supposed "chemtrails" isn't helping your argument.

GT9

6,536 posts

172 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
NDNDNDND said:
This is the bit I care about. Hopefully an allowance for e-fuels will mean greater availability for running classic cars on the stuff.

I want to continue driving my V8, and I'd much rather pour a carbon-neutral (non-ethanol!) fuel down its carburettor than petrol.
You're going to find this hard to believe but I want exactly the same for my V8.

The difference is, I suppose, my gut tells me that I need to fight the corner for the real McCoy.

If e-fuel turns out to be built from a house of cards, as might very well be the case, it will prove to be a monumentally expensive exercise in futility.

I think an increase in cost of petrol will be used to pay for that exercise.

RichardR

2,892 posts

268 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
The Article said:
This law looked like a forgone conclusion, right up until the point that Germany’s transport minister – or as we’ve named him, the caped crusader – Volker Wissing piped up and said ‘up with this I will not put,’ or words to that effect, said in German.

Anyway, it caused a bit of a domino effect. Once Wissing had spoken out, Italy, Poland and various other states stood behind Germany and that caused all sorts of ructions around the EU Commission.
Imagine having a transport minister who stands up for motorists and the automotive industry! scratchchin No, I can't either. frown

The Article said:
Don’t think you’ll be able to buy a new ICE car after the EU ban and stop for a cheeky splash and dash of unleaded.
The first thing this brought to mind was something along the lines of red diesel, with a dye being added to unleaded and inspectors dipping your tank or examining your injectors for any sign of illicit unleaded use! wink Of course, the legislators will rely on technology to provide the answer (if they figure out how to make it work and until it breaks)!



Maybe this will encourage manufacturers, who'll be continuing to make ICE vehicles for other markets, to maintain a supply to the EU and UK so the demand for E-fuels could help to drive manufacturing capacity up and prices down. It does, after all, seem highly profligate to simply bin a technology that's been consistently refine, enhanced and improved over the last 100+ years.

Muzzer79

9,902 posts

187 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
Wab1974uk said:
Nomme de Plum said:
wildatheart said:
The sad part about this 'progress' is that when you follow the money, you soon realise that CO2 driven 'climate change' is one. giant. scam.
Do have some authoritive evidence to validate your assertion?
There is lots out there. Go research it.
Ah, the defacto response from anyone who can't substantiate an argument - Ask the person who questions it to research it for them hehe

Wab1974 - I think that JFK was shot by aliens. There's lots of evidence out there, go and research it and you'll agree with me.

355spider

86 posts

27 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
I asked this in another thread, but went unanswered.

This efuel, Will classics even be able to run on the stuff without damage ?

I ask because I’m not even supposed to use e10 in my f355, let alone a mixture which is a decade away

sixor8

6,283 posts

268 months

Tuesday 28th March 2023
quotequote all
S600BSB said:
Is the UK ban still 2030, rather than 2035?
This again?? It never has been, hybrids are permitted until 2035, although their range hasn't been defined. scratchchin

At the moment it is expensive but will the reverse be possible? That is, will a current ICE run on e-fuel with minimal adaption? If so, the 'your cars will be paperweights' crowd will have to hold back. With bigger production, we'll be able to keep current ICe cars on the road indefinitely, and the stations won't all HAVE to close at all. smile