Secondhand car price crash?

Secondhand car price crash?

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Milemuncher

514 posts

115 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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Pretty much but if they have unsold inventory, it’s probably the most palatable option?

Deep Thought

35,779 posts

197 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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confused_buyer said:
Milemuncher said:
I expect we will see a return to the days of good leasing deals once manufacturers realise that their agency model has some drawbacks in times of limited demand.

They will not want to be seen to be massively discounting list prices but I think they will be comfortable to offload volume via the leasing market.
If they sell brand new cars to leasing companies at a discount and the lease company sells onto end user isn't that basically the leasing company taking the place of a dealer? That's not really a true agency model.
The best lease deals were always on in hand / disposal stock. I'd imagine that will return.

With the possible exception of the legendary Golf R deal, the very best lease deals tended to be on run out stock / over supply stock.

Deep Thought

35,779 posts

197 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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So what happened our resident Doom monger?

Has he got himself a ban or is he back in hibernation until the next sniff of a Grind Time?

EC2

1,460 posts

253 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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Milemuncher said:
I expect we will see a return to the days of good leasing deals once manufacturers realise that their agency model has some drawbacks in times of limited demand.

They will not want to be seen to be massively discounting list prices but I think they will be comfortable to offload volume via the leasing market.
Yep leasing, car hire firms, dealer demos, low APR offers all to used as supply release valves.

I don't like the agency model largely because I think I can do better than the average at getting a deal (as I would expect most people on PH would) but most car 'buyers' just want a something to take them and their smartphone from one place to the next. In that context the agency model works well especially as there is the added ability to hide capital prices in monthly payments with small print that few people read.

Tomanybikes

987 posts

26 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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Just saw a Golf R on AT with a total payable of £77.5K absolute bargain. rofl


cheesejunkie

2,414 posts

17 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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Tomanybikes said:
Just saw a Golf R on AT with a total payable of £77.5K absolute bargain. rofl
Lol, that’s some mark up!

I see more R’s about than GTi’s these days but maybe I just notice them more.

I can see the pros and cons of the sticker price being what you pay with no haggle room on new cars but on used I don’t think I’d ever willingly prefer distance buying. I know some are fine with it but it’s just not for me. The VR stuff is interesting but I’ll stick to gaming on it for now. GT7 on the PSVR2 is likely in my near future, a virtual showroom probably isn’t.

I haven’t read this thread in a few weeks but of the few cars I’ve been watching out of interest over that time the prices have stayed the same on the unsold ones and fresh stock is coming on at about the same price give or take a little based on things like spec and mileage. Lots of multiple owner low mileage stuff that I’m assuming is pandemic/lockdown/WFH related.

e-honda

8,880 posts

146 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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Just got a text from WBAC
Avoid the price drop!
Book your appointment here
It's official the the crash is coming

Sunday Drive

159 posts

20 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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e-honda said:
Just got a text from WBAC
Avoid the price drop!
Book your appointment here
It's official the the crash is coming
It’s not coming.

Captain Smerc

3,018 posts

116 months

Friday 17th March 2023
quotequote all
Sunday Drive said:
e-honda said:
Just got a text from WBAC
Avoid the price drop!
Book your appointment here
It's official the the crash is coming
It’s not coming.
Be calm

Tomanybikes

987 posts

26 months

Friday 17th March 2023
quotequote all
Sunday Drive said:
e-honda said:
Just got a text from WBAC
Avoid the price drop!
Book your appointment here
It's official the the crash is coming
It’s not coming.
Possibly not but if a Golf at £77.5k and a RS3 at £88k I think the world had gone mad!!!

skinnyman

1,634 posts

93 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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The problem I see with Merc trying to become more luxury and less mainstream is anything below an E class isn't luxury, the interiors in the A & C class look like they've been designed by teenagers, the sportier models are even worse.

ThePrisoner

1,056 posts

208 months

Friday 17th March 2023
quotequote all
e-honda said:
Just got a text from WBAC
Avoid the price drop!
Book your appointment here
It's official the the crash is coming
I probably deserve a parrot .

I currently have my 2021 M135 through their books.

It's a ploy to force you to sell, and have had this message 2 times. Than suddenly its goes up to the original offer . smile

e-honda

8,880 posts

146 months

Friday 17th March 2023
quotequote all
ThePrisoner said:
I probably deserve a parrot .

I currently have my 2021 M135 through their books.

It's a ploy to force you to sell, and have had this message 2 times. Than suddenly its goes up to the original offer . smile
I think it is far more likely they are rigging the market and have chosen me to be one of the select few to be let in on it as my reward for occasionally directing people to the little booth when I worked in an office that shared a car park with a WBAC site 7 or 8 years ago.

georgeyboy12345

3,506 posts

35 months

Friday 17th March 2023
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e-honda, didn't you correctly predict used car prices rising as a result of covid? I seem to remember that thread from 2020

cheesejunkie

2,414 posts

17 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
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e-honda said:
Just got a text from WBAC
Avoid the price drop!
Book your appointment here
It's official the the crash is coming
Text “stop”.

Joking, but I’d never let them spam me. My work number is my personal number and it’s my life’s mission to remove low quality call contacts! smile.

Any site asking for a phone number for no good reason is usually an instant no.

Interesting message though. They’re not stupid and know how some are thinking. It probably will convince the odd waverer to think sell now rather than risk a drop.

jamei303

3,000 posts

156 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
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skinnyman said:
The problem I see with Merc trying to become more luxury and less mainstream is anything below an E class isn't luxury, the interiors in the A & C class look like they've been designed by teenagers, the sportier models are even worse.
Yes, the Lewis Hamliton effect. Didn't they enter F1 as a constructor in 2010 to appeal to the yoof market?

cheesejunkie

2,414 posts

17 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
jamei303 said:
skinnyman said:
The problem I see with Merc trying to become more luxury and less mainstream is anything below an E class isn't luxury, the interiors in the A & C class look like they've been designed by teenagers, the sportier models are even worse.
Yes, the Lewis Hamliton effect. Didn't they enter F1 as a constructor in 2010 to appeal to the yoof market?
I think the same way about the 3 series etc. The non M cars are mass produced rep mobiles. Absolutely nothing wrong with that but I don’t view them as premium. I love the idea of an old wallowy merc to waft about in but I know I’ll never likely buy one, but the e class and up is the way I consider mercs. A neighbour’s CL65 does test my opinions though.

LivLL

10,816 posts

197 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
Sunday Drive said:
e-honda said:
Just got a text from WBAC
Avoid the price drop!
Book your appointment here
It's official the the crash is coming
It’s not coming.
I’ve just had the opposite, Golf R “Here’s your increased valuation”. Still worth just £3.5k less than I paid for it 4 years ago even with a low ball WBAC offer and with 45k more miles on it. Madness.

Fast Bug

11,643 posts

161 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
jamei303 said:
skinnyman said:
The problem I see with Merc trying to become more luxury and less mainstream is anything below an E class isn't luxury, the interiors in the A & C class look like they've been designed by teenagers, the sportier models are even worse.
Yes, the Lewis Hamliton effect. Didn't they enter F1 as a constructor in 2010 to appeal to the yoof market?
Nothing to do with God knows how many years of motor sport heritage then? They just entered to punt a few A180d AMG Lines....

Also Hamilton didn't drive for Mercedes in their first 3 seasons back in F1.

Deep Thought

35,779 posts

197 months

Saturday 18th March 2023
quotequote all
Sample size of one of course, but thought this was a reflection of pricing, even at the "heavy duty" end of the market.

Dec 2019 i looked at this C63 estate at a local BMW dealers - as part of their Premium Used sub-site. It had around 50K miles on it at the time and was up for £18,995, which i do recall that time was at the lower end of pricing at the time.



Roll forward to March this year and the car was traded in to a local BMW dealers with 78k miiles and appeared on their online trade auction site that i still have access to.

From memory, it made around £19,200 + buyers fees of maybe £500.

Its just turned up at another big dealers here - on at £24,995.

https://www.usedcarsni.com/2013-Mercedes-Benz-C-Cl...

So that car is 3+ years older, and UP £6,000 in price. eek

Edited by Deep Thought on Saturday 18th March 11:45

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