New Tesla Pickup Truck

New Tesla Pickup Truck

Author
Discussion

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Tuesday 9th June 2020
quotequote all
Sambucket said:
Any idea what their profit margins are per ride?

Probably not as high as Tesla’s fsd package I would wager.
I doubt they care, they are testing the technology and still developing it to cover more area. In the long run they might run a taxi service or they might licence the technology or they might do both.

We don't know how profitable Tesla's FSD is yet because it doesn't exist. Maybe they will have to refund everyone when they realize they can't do it. Maybe they will have to give everyone free expensive upgrades to make it work. Maybe they will get sued for stringing people along for 4+ years without delivering.

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Tuesday 9th June 2020
quotequote all
jamoor said:
Where can I go and purchase a waymo self driving car then?
Do you understand the concept of a taxi?

jamoor

14,506 posts

215 months

Tuesday 9th June 2020
quotequote all
aestetix1 said:
jamoor said:
Where can I go and purchase a waymo self driving car then?
Do you understand the concept of a taxi?
I'm not talking about taxis, I'm talking about products I can go and purchase today.

fwaggie

1,644 posts

200 months

Tuesday 9th June 2020
quotequote all
Heres Johnny said:
I've got to take issue with both of you.

Mobileye are following the same route as Tesla and aren't using LIDAR, their public release version of eyeQ4 is very capable (way past eyeQ3 which was the basis of AP1 and the version that Tesla are only just about beating now in terms of basic lane keeping capabilities) and they're well into eyeQ5 development.

On the flip side, Tesla are hankering over image visualisation as if that is all it takes to achieve FSD. There is way way way more to self driving than decomposing an image. The most noticable is the ability to understand movement and predict paths. It takes more than spoting a traffic light, thats really basic image detection stuff. Everytime you do a capture thing where it says click on "a store front" "a water hydrant" or "a person" it using simple image detection algorythms. Knowing how fast a car is coming towards you, whether its speeding up or slowing down, all to know if you can make a turn across its path before it reaches you.. and doing so without lkilling someboby 100% of the time.. thats a new order of magniture Tesla aren't at.
Actually predicting the paths of moving objects is a doddle.

Take 25 or whatever image frames, identify the same objects in every frame, map their positions into 3D, calculate the vectors and velocities (inc rotational) and extrapolate.

You can then add some intelligence based on the surroundings (adjust extrapolation based on the assumption a car will tighten the turn to make the road rather than run into a building; vehicle A and B are going to collide with the current predictions so assume both will stop before or at collision, etc, etc)

Image analysis, whilst not that hard, requires huge compute power and each identification has a confidence % that messes you up unless you account for it.

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

254 months

Tuesday 9th June 2020
quotequote all
jamoor said:
Where can I go and purchase a waymo self driving car then?
you cant, they are not even planning to sell then. The gear on them costs $400,000 and they only work in areas that have been mapped to the milometer

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
jamoor said:
I'm not talking about taxis, I'm talking about products I can go and purchase today.
In that case the leaders are probably Nissan and Cadillac. Hands free highway driving in some models, and a much more advanced driver attention monitoring system.

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
fwaggie said:
Actually predicting the paths of moving objects is a doddle.
And yet Tesla have not managed to do this apparently easy thing, have no demonstrated any hint of being able to do it, despite apparently launching their robotaxi service in the next 6 months.

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
you cant, they are not even planning to sell then. The gear on them costs $400,000 and they only work in areas that have been mapped to the milometer
No Waymo don't use HD maps, they use lidar on the car itself. Nissan and Cadillac use HD maps on the cars they sell for hands-free cruise on highways.

Waymo uses standard maps and a sensor suite. The old one was $400k, the new one they have not released pricing information on but it's bound to be a lot cheaper because lidar has got a lot cheaper. In fact lidar is so cheap now Volvo is fitting it to 2021 models.

jamoor

14,506 posts

215 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
aestetix1 said:
RobDickinson said:
you cant, they are not even planning to sell then. The gear on them costs $400,000 and they only work in areas that have been mapped to the milometer
No Waymo don't use HD maps, they use lidar on the car itself. Nissan and Cadillac use HD maps on the cars they sell for hands-free cruise on highways.

Waymo uses standard maps and a sensor suite. The old one was $400k, the new one they have not released pricing information on but it's bound to be a lot cheaper because lidar has got a lot cheaper. In fact lidar is so cheap now Volvo is fitting it to 2021 models.
Oh right so Cadillac supercruise is motorway only.

My car can use autopilot on almost any road, I use it every day on my A road commute at 40-60mph.


I'd say my car is superior to the nissan/cadillac as it works in more conditions not just a straight road.

RobDickinson

31,343 posts

254 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
aestetix1 said:
No Waymo don't use HD maps, .
Guess you can tell waymo that then

https://medium.com/waymo/building-maps-for-a-self-...

ZesPak

24,427 posts

196 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
aestetix1 said:
In fact lidar is so cheap now Volvo is fitting it to 2021 models.
redface

Source?

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
jamoor said:
My car can use autopilot on almost any road, I use it every day on my A road commute at 40-60mph.
Another one who didn't read the beta warning that says autopilot is only to be used on divided highways.

When you crash on autopilot Tesla are going to tell you that it's your fault.

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
ZesPak said:
redface

Source?
https://lmgtfy.com/?q=volvo+lidar
https://www.media.volvocars.com/global/en-gb/media...

aestetix1

868 posts

51 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
Guess you can tell waymo that then

https://medium.com/waymo/building-maps-for-a-self-...
Thanks, I stand corrected, although it does say 10cm not millimetres.

jamoor

14,506 posts

215 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
aestetix1 said:
jamoor said:
My car can use autopilot on almost any road, I use it every day on my A road commute at 40-60mph.
Another one who didn't read the beta warning that says autopilot is only to be used on divided highways.

When you crash on autopilot Tesla are going to tell you that it's your fault.
Of course, I am in control of the car at all times.

It's much better than supercruise as it works on any road rather than premapped ones.

dukeboy749r

2,620 posts

210 months

Wednesday 10th June 2020
quotequote all
I'd far book an order for this https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52988086 than the abysmal Cyber truck

Although the mentality of the valuation makes all rational conversations about carmakers seem moot

Avdb

176 posts

118 months

Thursday 11th June 2020
quotequote all
I am ready to buy either a Cybertruck, Nikola Badger or Rivian. Who will be first in the UK?

Darkslider

3,073 posts

189 months

Thursday 11th June 2020
quotequote all
Avdb said:
I am ready to buy either a Cybertruck, Nikola Badger or Rivian. Who will be first in the UK?
The Nikola looks absolutely terrific! I hope they bring them to the UK in RHD, but looking at the size of it it looks like they might not be considering the UK market at all frown

Gandahar

9,600 posts

128 months

Thursday 11th June 2020
quotequote all
Darkslider said:
Avdb said:
I am ready to buy either a Cybertruck, Nikola Badger or Rivian. Who will be first in the UK?
The Nikola looks absolutely terrific! I hope they bring them to the UK in RHD, but looking at the size of it it looks like they might not be considering the UK market at all frown
eh?

You like it but it is far too big?

So it is great as long as you migrate to the USA.

This is me waving you off from the docks

byebye

Gandahar

9,600 posts

128 months

Thursday 11th June 2020
quotequote all

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/electric-truck-n...


"a little-known electric-truck startup that went public last week,"


"Shares of Nikola, which is developing commercial and passenger vehicles using batteries and hydrogen fuel cell technology, have more than doubled since they began trading publicly on Thursday.

The startup's market capitalization eclipsed $30 billion in intraday trading Tuesday, higher than Ford's value of about $28.8 billion and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV of about $20.5 billion."


Total sales so far?

ZERO