EVs... no one wants them!

EVs... no one wants them!

Author
Discussion

Tindersticks

102 posts

1 month

Saturday 11th May
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BricktopST205 said:
Automotive engineers brought us formula E, the Austin Princess, the Reliant Robin and the Chrysler PT Cruiser.

Remember that.
They also brought us Ferraris, Porsches and even your humble Focus ST. So what’s your point?

BricktopST205

1,076 posts

135 months

Saturday 11th May
quotequote all
Tindersticks said:
They also brought us Ferraris, Porsches and even your humble Focus ST. So what’s your point?
Not everyone was created equal. Also I have never owned a Focus ST.


KingGary

188 posts

1 month

Saturday 11th May
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Tindersticks said:
KingGary said:
It’s like you wheel out GT9 any time something important needs to be said.
It’s called bowing to superior knowledge.

You might call it having your arse handed to you on a plate.
rofl

KingGary

188 posts

1 month

Saturday 11th May
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nickfrog said:
KingGary said:
nickfrog said:
plfrench said:
KingGary said:
It’s like you wheel out GT9 any time something important needs to be said.
Probably because he knows what he's talking about from an engineering perspective and that is a good thing in my mind.
I think it's actually quite embarrassing when your average geezer with an obvious lack of the most basic understanding of automotive engineering argues with an automotive engineer who takes the time to share his knowledge in a candid and approachable manner.
Not as embarrassing as how seriously you take yourself. He’s just a bloke expressing an opinion, like everyone on this thread.
No he is essentially stating facts, and not many opinions.
Perhaps you should take yourself a little more seriously if you can't see that.
roflroflrofl

Derek182

128 posts

81 months

Saturday 11th May
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A customer of mine recently leased a Lotus Eletre via salary sacrifice through his company of which he is a director, he's very happy with it, much more so than his previous BMW iX.
He went back to the Lotus dealer last week for something minor and they had a number of Eletres available for immediate delivery, he asked about it and was told they aren't selling as companies "can't get the funding".
We weren't sure what that meant and I'm not sure who provides the funding for such deals but presumably whoever does needs to be very confident of the future value of the vehicle to make their sums add up. If they are worried that an Eletre will lose value like a Taycan then it wouldn't be surprising if very few get leased.

djc206

12,417 posts

126 months

Saturday 11th May
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Derek182 said:
A customer of mine recently leased a Lotus Eletre via salary sacrifice through his company of which he is a director, he's very happy with it, much more so than his previous BMW iX.
He went back to the Lotus dealer last week for something minor and they had a number of Eletres available for immediate delivery, he asked about it and was told they aren't selling as companies "can't get the funding".
We weren't sure what that meant and I'm not sure who provides the funding for such deals but presumably whoever does needs to be very confident of the future value of the vehicle to make their sums add up. If they are worried that an Eletre will lose value like a Taycan then it wouldn't be surprising if very few get leased.
They’re not available on our works “green car scheme” and that’s how a good chunk of EV’s are leased out. I had poke around one at our local dealership, I wasn’t drawn to it, especially not at that price point. If I were a gambling man I’d say it’ll depreciate worse than a Taycan.

GeniusOfLove

1,458 posts

13 months

Sunday 12th May
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djc206 said:
If I were a gambling man I’d say it’ll depreciate worse than a Taycan.
Oof. I think I bought some toilet roll last week that has turned out to have a marginally better depreciation curve than a Taycan so that's saying something.

740EVTORQUES

509 posts

2 months

Sunday 12th May
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KingGary said:
plfrench said:
Probably because he knows what he's talking about from an engineering perspective and that is a good thing in my mind.

Just got back from enjoying a sunny roof down spin in the TVR - perfect weather for it - wasting some energy as heat and noise biglaugh
Wish I could say the same. Spent the day cutting hawthorn hedges with my electric hedge trimmer. Load of crap, took ages, got through loads of batteries and I got sunburned in the process. I’m off to buy a petrol Stihl trimmer tomorrow. Electric? Load of st!
You’ll regret that decision come next spring when the first 2 days of the season are spent vainly trying to get it started because the carbs all gummed up on account of the fact that you forgot to drain the fuel before you put it away fir the winter, then finally give up and order a cheap replacement on EBay hehe

Regarding your debate about efficiency, just wait till someone points out (with a detailed explanation) how a 2 ton EV can be (far) less polluting than a 1 ton ICE car, your head will explode!

(Because efficiency is a red herring, what matters is pollution, specifically CO2, and the best proxy for that is waste heat. Stand in your high street with a thermal camera as the various cars go by and that’s really all you need to do.)

Tigger2050

698 posts

74 months

Sunday 12th May
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GT9 said:

40% efficiency is a dyno value at the best point you can get the engine to at low rpm and high torque, and for a modern engine.
You know, the point you can't actually reach 99% of the time in a typical drive cycle.
Add in transmission losses, idling and whatnot and it slips into the 20% region for petrol.
You've also multiplied 40% by 65 litres where 15 of that 65 went up in smoke before it even got to the engine...
That's cheating, sport.
You are never going to come up with a valid argument why ICE engine are inherently suited to passenger car drive cycles.
You'd have a better shot at it if you were talking about HGVs or marine applications.
You don't half talk sh.t GT9! Which has already been pointed out to you.

Nuclear power plant efficiency averages around 33%, which is comparable to other fossil fuel-based generation units. This means that 67% of the energy produced by a nuclear plant is lost and only 33% is converted into electricity.

Coal power plant efficiency is very similar to nuclear, with a typical coal plant operating at 32% to 33% efficiency.

A simple cycle natural gas power plant efficiency rate tends to range from 33% to 43%.

You then, on top of that, have a very significant percentage loss in transmitting that power to the end user. Just to add the cherry on the top, you have a further 10-15% heat loss trying to get that into the EV 'tank'.

Oh dear, not so efficient after all! That's why, if tax and duty on fuel was equivalent, EV's would be more expensive to fuel.

No doubt you will now try and obfuscate and deflect to stuff like pollution and emissions, just like you normally do.

740EVTORQUES

509 posts

2 months

Sunday 12th May
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How much CO2 does nuclear fission produce?

loudlashadjuster

5,189 posts

185 months

Sunday 12th May
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Tigger2050 said:
GT9 said:

40% efficiency is a dyno value at the best point you can get the engine to at low rpm and high torque, and for a modern engine.
You know, the point you can't actually reach 99% of the time in a typical drive cycle.
Add in transmission losses, idling and whatnot and it slips into the 20% region for petrol.
You've also multiplied 40% by 65 litres where 15 of that 65 went up in smoke before it even got to the engine...
That's cheating, sport.
You are never going to come up with a valid argument why ICE engine are inherently suited to passenger car drive cycles.
You'd have a better shot at it if you were talking about HGVs or marine applications.
You don't half talk sh.t GT9! Which has already been pointed out to you.

Nuclear power plant efficiency averages around 33%, which is comparable to other fossil fuel-based generation units. This means that 67% of the energy produced by a nuclear plant is lost and only 33% is converted into electricity.

Coal power plant efficiency is very similar to nuclear, with a typical coal plant operating at 32% to 33% efficiency.

A simple cycle natural gas power plant efficiency rate tends to range from 33% to 43%.

You then, on top of that, have a very significant percentage loss in transmitting that power to the end user. Just to add the cherry on the top, you have a further 10-15% heat loss trying to get that into the EV 'tank'.

Oh dear, not so efficient after all! That's why, if tax and duty on fuel was equivalent, EV's would be more expensive to fuel.

No doubt you will now try and obfuscate and deflect to stuff like pollution and emissions, just like you normally do.
Whereas petrol magically extracts itself from deep underground and arrives, fully refined, in your tank if you just close your eyes and wiggle your nose?

Sit down.

DonkeyApple

55,716 posts

170 months

Sunday 12th May
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M4cruiser said:
Sheepshanks said:
I had an ID.3 on demo for a few days and I don’t recall thinking ‘wow’ at any point, apart from how much it was.
biggrinbiggrin
Yes, but that's because your Skoda is set up like the ID.3, for reasons I can't understand. The Golf isn't "faulty" as far as I can make out, I've Googled and asked, and get similar responses. It's painful to drive.

The prices are another thing! The same ID.3 can be £42K for a new "Pro" to £28K for the same thing pre-reg with 10 miles on the clock. Nissan Leafs are doing similar, with £39K new being sold as £20K pre-reg.
You can't use the RRP number though as it is a fabricated factor merely used to assist the shifting of over priced lending.

While new v used EV pricing is a lovely insight for consumer punters addicted to the priapismic shopper's life into the difference between command economics in the hands of corporate entities and free market pricing where the actual consumer determines the price it is important that no one is so daft as to use the made up RRP number as some form of valid price for comparisons.

And of course logically, not that shopping contains an ounce of logic, why would you pay your neighbours tax bill?

One could argue that in recent decades the consumer has ceased to comprehend the concept of value or pricing as a result of the desperation of consumers to acquire objects and the enormous ease of facilitation of lending to the point that almost anyone can borrow from their future earnings and impoverish themselves voluntarily and that what you're seeing with used EVs is the absence of these apex consumers and their pricing being set by a much smaller segment of the consumer economy, people who still price goods based on actual value.

People who understand that the product was never £39k and that the actual cost new has to account for the multiple tax savings as well as things like VAT. People who are more inclined to appreciate that RRP isn't a price but a tool to support captive finance mechanisms.

But far more importantly is the used value of EVs in that they're true values. They are actually prices being defined by user demand, the consumer unlike used ICE where the first used price and all too often the second is set artificially higher by the manufacturer as the higher used values are the more profitable the lending in new. Likewise, the more control you have over the stability of the prediction of the value in three years time the more profitable the lending is.

I hate to break it to everyone who thinks used EV pricing is wrong or bad that the true reality is that used ICE pricing has been being and still is, artificially inflated by the manufacturers and their finance partners for the last couple of decades.

It's not used EV prices that are wrong. They obviously can't be wrong as they're being defined by the consumer presently. It is very clearly used ICE prices that are too high and have been for years. EVs are revealing to consumers just how much manufacturers have been ripping them off via both RRP manipulation and the rigging of used values three years out.

How has this happened? Because the used EV market just doesn't consist of that enormous global consumer army of shopping addicted dimwits who act without thinking. It has plenty of them but not enough to dominate.

GT9

6,832 posts

173 months

Sunday 12th May
quotequote all
Tigger2050 said:
You don't half talk sh.t GT9! Which has already been pointed out to you.

Nuclear power plant efficiency averages around 33%, which is comparable to other fossil fuel-based generation units. This means that 67% of the energy produced by a nuclear plant is lost and only 33% is converted into electricity.

Coal power plant efficiency is very similar to nuclear, with a typical coal plant operating at 32% to 33% efficiency.

A simple cycle natural gas power plant efficiency rate tends to range from 33% to 43%.

You then, on top of that, have a very significant percentage loss in transmitting that power to the end user. Just to add the cherry on the top, you have a further 10-15% heat loss trying to get that into the EV 'tank'.

Oh dear, not so efficient after all! That's why, if tax and duty on fuel was equivalent, EV's would be more expensive to fuel.

No doubt you will now try and obfuscate and deflect to stuff like pollution and emissions, just like you normally do.
You are never going to get the science and maths, that's fine.
Your emotions are clearly getting in the way of any ability to look at things rationally.
I still don't think you have any inkling of the vast difference in energy consumption between the two powertrains.
Also, why would you not mention that a combined cycle gas turbine betters 60%?
Waste heat (lost energy) is only relevant to this discussion if it has a direct carbon footprint, which clearly fossil fuels do.
One of the fathers of the internal combustion engine was Harry Ricardo, who founded the company Ricardo PLC.
The same company who you now refuse to believe because they are saying something you don't like.
As for 'talking st', did you even look at the efficiency maps I posted?
Lo and behold, look what happen when you type a simple phrase into google:



No doubt a stitch up between Wikipedia and I?

Edited by GT9 on Sunday 12th May 13:26

SWoll

18,566 posts

259 months

Sunday 12th May
quotequote all
The fact that so few people apparently want a used EV, which as far as I can tell is driven in the most part by fear of change and the fact that they are aligned with ridiculous net-zero guff, just stop oil dipsts etc. is brilliant for anyone who can get past all of that crap and judge them purely on their own merits.

It's currently possible to pick up a premium, 3 year old, 400+ HP vehicle like a Polestar 2 for < £20k, giving access to the best drivetrain I've ever experienced in a daily car and running costs of around 2p per mile.

My thanks to all the haters, it's much appreciated, smile

A500leroy

5,165 posts

119 months

Sunday 12th May
quotequote all
2 simple questions.

Is it time to buy a used one for around 10k (leaf/zoe/golf etc)?

How many years will the battery really last before an expensive failure?

DonkeyApple

55,716 posts

170 months

Sunday 12th May
quotequote all
SWoll said:
The fact that so few people apparently want a used EV, which as far as I can tell is driven in the most part by fear of change and the fact that they are aligned with ridiculous net-zero guff, just stop oil dipsts etc. is brilliant for anyone who can get past all of that crap and judge them purely on their own merits.

It's currently possible to pick up a premium, 3 year old, 400+ HP vehicle like a Polestar 2 for < £20k, giving access to the best drivetrain I've ever experienced in a daily car and running costs of around 2p per mile.

My thanks to all the haters, it's much appreciated, smile
Exactly. It's the absence of consumer junkies that are currently allowing used EVs to be priced fairly by actual consumer demand but the sort of consumer who does a basic cost calculation, considers factors such as value and isn't in a massive rush to take out a loan to pay someone else's tax. The effect being so strong presently that the lenders have lost control of used values and are unable to hold them up as they do with yr3 ICE assets.

I'm not sure it'll last all that long and of course, if you don't do the maths with the fake RRP number but the actual initial cost the depreciation is actually nowhere near as exciting as some can be tricked into thinking but used EVs currently offer excellent value against the over inflated ICe comparisons if you're lucky enough to have the use case and facilities to enable a comparison. Even better for people who don't go shopping every weekend as the weigh in value of an EV when it's time to put it in the bin in 10/12 years time is probably going to be quite a bit higher than the ICE.

Lower front end buy in, much lower lifetime running costs, probably a higher scrap value. EVs are by far and away the greatest opportunity in years for people who create their own sheds. For people who have to change their car every other year, or don't have private parking or worse still, have relatives in the North that are too scared to travel South, maybe have to commute to Mogadishu, live in a tenement or just simply get more enjoyment from ICE then swerve EVs both new and used. No one is forcing someone to have one and just because they're the latest must have indicator of 'winning' to the pro shopper it would seem an act of silliness too far even for those muppets to be buying an object they can't recharge or means they have to hang out at grim motorway services.



Sheepshanks

32,922 posts

120 months

Sunday 12th May
quotequote all
You can see where the pricing could be by looking at the Motability offers on EVs - even allowing for no VAT, manufacturers are doing £40K+ EVs inc insurance (often not trivial) maint etc and 20K mikes per year for £300/mth. And a free charger.

We saw with the Honda e:Ny1 deal recently that when the same kind of pricing is offered to the general public there’s a stampede to buy them. Honda is even offering “cash back” to Motability customers.

TheRainMaker

6,373 posts

243 months

Sunday 12th May
quotequote all
SWoll said:
The fact that so few people apparently want a used EV, which as far as I can tell is driven in the most part by fear of change and the fact that they are aligned with ridiculous net-zero guff, just stop oil dipsts etc. is brilliant for anyone who can get past all of that crap and judge them purely on their own merits.

It's currently possible to pick up a premium, 3 year old, 400+ HP vehicle like a Polestar 2 for < £20k, giving access to the best drivetrain I've ever experienced in a daily car and running costs of around 2p per mile.

My thanks to all the haters, it's much appreciated, smile
I'm the same; I picked up an as-new three-year-old i3S from a BMW dealer for 40% of its RRP.

I'm not sure why, but the prices at the dealers seem to have gone up again with i3s . I might have been lucky.





Sheepshanks

32,922 posts

120 months

Sunday 12th May
quotequote all
TheRainMaker said:
I'm not sure why, but the prices at the dealers seem to have gone up again with i3s .
…because people keep saying how marvellous they are!

M4cruiser

3,709 posts

151 months

Sunday 12th May
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lord trumpton said:
Can you imagine the headache for small independent dealers when used EV's become more numerous? Customer wants a decent test drive, but the battery only got 5 miles left and it hadn't been recharged after last customer?
On that note, I'm still wondering what the used car dealers do with battery leases (like older Zoes, and the Chinese Nio).
Do they still have to pay the monthly battery lease charge whilst it's stuck on their forecourt?
If so that's a real pain.