Election Odds
Author
Discussion

Muncher

Original Poster:

12,235 posts

278 months

Wednesday 4th May 2005
quotequote all
Current Odds with Ladbrokes:


Labour 1.03
Conservatives 11.00
Liberal Democrats 151.00


Surely it's much closer than that suggests? Every single online poll I have seen is showing a significant Tory majority.

A 6.5% tory swing will produce a hung parliament.

A 10.5% tory swing for an overall majority.

2 Smokin Barrels

32,000 posts

264 months

Wednesday 4th May 2005
quotequote all
Do you get quarter odds for third place?

John Lloyd

926 posts

260 months

Wednesday 4th May 2005
quotequote all
We're supposed to be interested in this???

Twincam16

27,647 posts

287 months

Wednesday 4th May 2005
quotequote all
I can see almost a hung parliament by Friday.

Possibly 2/5 Labour, 2/5 Tory, 1/5 Lib Dem. Labour will just have the edge but I reckon we'll see some much more balanced and moderate politics this term.

Either that or it'll be Labour's 'Major years' where they go from strong if inflexible to weak and ineffective.

vixpy1

42,699 posts

293 months

Wednesday 4th May 2005
quotequote all
Odds are alwasy the way they are for a reason.

FourWheelDrift

92,248 posts

313 months

Wednesday 4th May 2005
quotequote all
I see it more as this :-

Labour - 4/6 JF
Conservative - 4/6 JF (close but they can do it)
UKIP - 25/1
Green Party - 100/1
Monster Raving Looney Party - 250/1
Cheap-Royalty-White-Rat-Catching-And-Safe-Sewage-Residents Party - 500/1
Liberal-Democrats - 2000/1

love machine

7,609 posts

264 months

Wednesday 4th May 2005
quotequote all
Labour:- Dead Cert.

The country is overrun with monkeys.

limpsfield

6,664 posts

282 months

Thursday 5th May 2005
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[quote=Muncher]
Surely it's much closer than that suggests? Every single online poll I have seen is showing a significant Tory majority.

[quote]

That wouldn't be at www.conservatives.org perchance....? I think they may be fiddling the figures - put your trust in Ladbrokes

edit - that site is actually a US site-It looks interesting if Family values Scorecards are your bag..

>> Edited by limpsfield on Thursday 5th May 00:18

NorthernBoy

12,642 posts

286 months

Thursday 5th May 2005
quotequote all
Muncher said:
Current Odds with Ladbrokes:


Labour 1.03
Conservatives 11.00
Liberal Democrats 151.00


Surely it's much closer than that suggests? Every single online poll I have seen is showing a significant Tory majority.

A 6.5% tory swing will produce a hung parliament.

A 10.5% tory swing for an overall majority.


Betfair has Labour 25-1 on, and conservatives at 37-1.

Seems pretty fair to me.

JagLover

46,743 posts

264 months

Thursday 5th May 2005
quotequote all
If you dont think the odds are correct put money on it and make a fortune.

The spread betters have been predicting a Labour majority of around 70 I believe-they are usually right in these matters.