Should the northern rock been allowed to go bust?
Should the northern rock been allowed to go bust?
Author
Discussion

runway78

Original Poster:

434 posts

234 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
I am beginning to wonder if this would not have been the best idea? Yes i know it would have damaged the banking industries reputation but the whole credit crisis is giving that a good kicking anyway.
Savers money was in most cases protected, the mortage debt would have just been sold off.
Now the government/bank of england have a massive problem on its hands, its basically done another Rover. Its bailed out a business that is basically all but bust. It can't keep the loans as that would be illegal under EU law (state aid)
There is also the whole arguement that bailing out a bank this way just encourages other banks to take more risk as its ok, the british tax payer will be along side saddle to bail em out!
Just an idea....discuss....

LeTim

13,014 posts

227 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
What they should have done was provide every assistance to Lloyds TSB who offered in the early days of this mess to take over NR.

g4ry13

21,706 posts

284 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
I don't even know how their shares haven't been suspended yet.

shoestring7

6,193 posts

275 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
So far it has cost the government >£20bn of their (our) money and there is no signs of NR's demand for funding ending. That's several hundred pounds for every household in the country.

Meanwhile the defence budget (~£30B p.a.) is in complete mely down because the beancounters didn't factor in fighting two hot wars in their calcs and the Govt won't allocate any more of their (our) money.

You couldn't make this stuff up.

SS7


crazypav

295 posts

237 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
Agree with the comments here, they sould be made an example of, yet the peopl who invested in the company need to have their monies protected. This will mean the government dipping its hands into their deep, deep pockets and compensating thse who have lost funds, but NOT the share holders.
Everyone knows the stock market is fickle, they took th risk, lost, so deal with it.
It's the "ordinary people" who need protection.

LeTim

13,014 posts

227 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
crazypav said:
Agree with the comments here, they sould be made an example of, yet the peopl who invested in the company need to have their monies protected. This will mean the government dipping its hands into OUR deep, deep pockets and compensating thse who have lost funds, but NOT the share holders.
Everyone knows the stock market is fickle, they took th risk, lost, so deal with it.
It's the "ordinary people" who need protection.
EFA

One wonders whether the fact that most of NR depositors are in the North East...i.e. Labour heartland, has anything to do with the Governments blank cheque for NR?

Well that and the fact that two of Gordon Browns closest advisors are NR board members.

Podie

46,649 posts

304 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
hmm... bit more to it that just blaming NR / Govt. The other banks left them high and dry too...

scotal

8,751 posts

308 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
Podie said:
hmm... bit more to it that just blaming NR / Govt. The other banks left them high and dry too...
One of those banks with drew its funding when their original offer to buy NR was rebuffed...... not that I'm accusing them of preciptating the crisis, oh no!

fullbeem

2,044 posts

230 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
If Northern Rock goes under, does my unsecured loan with them get wiped out or am i gonna have to find some cash to pay it off quick??

LeTim

13,014 posts

227 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
Podie said:
hmm... bit more to it that just blaming NR / Govt. The other banks left them high and dry too...
Lloyds TSB offered to buy Northern Rock. That's why the whole thing is being regarded as a completely unecessary cock-up.




Edited by LeTim on Monday 19th November 11:31

10 Pence Short

32,880 posts

246 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
fullbeem said:
If Northern Rock goes under, does my unsecured loan with them get wiped out or am i gonna have to find some cash to pay it off quick??
I would imagine other banks would buy the loan book and you'd have to keep paying as you are.

arfur

4,015 posts

243 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
If only the doom and gloom press hadnt got hold of it in the 1st place then there would not have been a run on the BoE and we the taxpayers wouldnt be supporting NR ... And NR would still have a business even if they had still sold out, which would have been at a higher price, therefore also protecting the shareholders

TV News and Newspapers should be given the bill

LeTim

13,014 posts

227 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
arfur said:
TV News and Newspapers should be given the bill
It's an interesting point. Changes made when Gordo gave the BOE independance, and the FSA alot of the BOE's former powers, require the disclosure that made the public aware of the problems at NR.

Under the old regieme the BOE would have quietly arranged for a takeover of NR ( if that had been required at all ) and the public would have been none the wiser.

The bill however should be sent to Gordon Brown IMO. You can't blame the media for reporting what was made public.

clubsport

7,411 posts

287 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
Inerbank money is going back up and should remain tight at least until year end (balance sheet seasonals etc..), doesn't make NR attractive for immediate takeover, unless buyer is helped out, wink meanwhile the old lady is bailing out the sinking ship confused

215cu

2,956 posts

239 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
You also forget that the former NR chairman was a massive contributor to the IPPR think tank which Brown takes most of his advice from.

Effectively Labour have done what they said they wouldn't - nationalise industry.

NR's whole business model way beyond the usual bank/building society. That's the real scandal for me, what the hell were the FSA doing when NR were at full tilt borrowing and lending money all over the place effectively buying market share?

As for the current situation, NR owe the BoE £23bn, that's taxpayers money, it's DOUBLE the primary school budget and over the annual defence budget. Ok, over the lending period of the loan book, we will get our money back but as a short-term financial proposition, there's no profit to be had UNLESS the bank is undervalued.

Which is exactly what the prospective buyers are doing.

In terms of letting MR go bust. Not a great idea, the sentiment to the wider savings/mortgage community would only engender more panic on other lenders. Not a perfect circumstance to be in with an economy already slowing down.

tinman0

18,231 posts

269 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
shoestring7 said:
So far it has cost the government >£20bn of their (our) money and there is no signs of NR's demand for funding ending. That's several hundred pounds for every household in the country.

Meanwhile the defence budget (~£30B p.a.) is in complete mely down because the beancounters didn't factor in fighting two hot wars in their calcs and the Govt won't allocate any more of their (our) money.
Hasn't cost the British taxpayer a penny yet.

Northern Rock's problem is that it was unable to find the money to refinance its mortgage business. It was lending money over a long term, but borrowing over a short term. Once the short term lenders reigned in their lending, it left NR with a problem. The Bank of England has merely stepped into that position.

The Bank of England is also taking large securities against NR defaulting. So all of NR best securities (eg prime mortgages) are being held by the BoE.

So quite simply, it hasn't cost the British taxpayer a penny yet. The real question is whether the BoE will get paid back at 6.75% which is their emergency lending rate, or at a lower rate.

Thats my reading of the situation.

The big question is whether the BoE will get its money back anytime soon.

shoestring7

6,193 posts

275 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
tinman0 said:
shoestring7 said:
So far it has cost the government >£20bn of their (our) money and there is no signs of NR's demand for funding ending. That's several hundred pounds for every household in the country.

Meanwhile the defence budget (~£30B p.a.) is in complete mely down because the beancounters didn't factor in fighting two hot wars in their calcs and the Govt won't allocate any more of their (our) money.
Hasn't cost the British taxpayer a penny yet.

Northern Rock's problem is that it was unable to find the money to refinance its mortgage business. It was lending money over a long term, but borrowing over a short term. Once the short term lenders reigned in their lending, it left NR with a problem. The Bank of England has merely stepped into that position.

The Bank of England is also taking large securities against NR defaulting. So all of NR best securities (eg prime mortgages) are being held by the BoE.

So quite simply, it hasn't cost the British taxpayer a penny yet. The real question is whether the BoE will get paid back at 6.75% which is their emergency lending rate, or at a lower rate.

Thats my reading of the situation.

The big question is whether the BoE will get its money back anytime soon.
They've run right through the £14B credit secured on the NR mortgage book, we're now into £6B and rising of unsecured loans.

No bank will give the full value of the business for NR. The tax-payer is bent over, lubed up and waiting for the shafting. 'Poor Government Decision Costs Tax Payer Billions" doesn't get the same coveraage as "First Run on British Bank for 100 years, millions of Old dears about to lose their shirts" and that is the only thing that is driving Brown's decisions here.

SS7

jesusbuiltmycar

5,125 posts

283 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
LeTim said:
What they should have done was provide every assistance to Lloyds TSB who offered in the early days of this mess to take over NR.
Didn't Darling block that?

BJWoods

5,018 posts

313 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
crazypav said:
Agree with the comments here, they sould be made an example of, yet the peopl who invested in the company need to have their monies protected. This will mean the government dipping its hands into their deep, deep pockets and compensating thse who have lost funds, but NOT the share holders.
Everyone knows the stock market is fickle, they took th risk, lost, so deal with it.
It's the "ordinary people" who need protection.
no

the depositors money protected.

NOT shareholders...

they were not complaining of risky strategy, when shares at an all time high.

when strategy fails, don't go whining for the boe to bail them out...

that is the risk of buying shares.

B

runway78

Original Poster:

434 posts

234 months

Monday 19th November 2007
quotequote all
Glad most seem to be thinking along my lines.

Its a huge scandal this, you can see it developing. The government has backing itself into a corner with 23 bn of our money on the line.

Love to see how Brown/Darling will get out of this one.