Bradford & Bingley Future?
Bradford & Bingley Future?
Author
Discussion

Fittster

Original Poster:

20,120 posts

243 months

Thursday 15th May 2008
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Is Bradford and Bingley going to turn into another Northern Rock?

A month ago the Chief Executive denied any problems, yesterday he’s after another £300 million, quite a lot for a small bank. He seems to be acting like a politician rather than as the man in charge of a PLC, has he forgotten his duty to shareholders?

Last month, a JP Morgan analyst argued that Bradford & Bingley’s business model was unsustainable as they would not be able to fund their various products from the wholesale markets. The only option therefore, was for the government to “encourage' some of these smaller/weaker banks to look for strategic partners in order to avoid getting into a trouble situation (because the need to raise capital for many of these banks is likely to be simply a question of time).”

Is there a future for B&B? Would a large bank actually want to buy them or will the taxpayer get clobbered again?

Fittster

Original Poster:

20,120 posts

243 months

Sunday 1st June 2008
quotequote all
Are we now a little nearer Northern Rock 2.0?

Bradford & Bingley to issue profit warning

Zod

35,295 posts

288 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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They have just about the best Tier 1 capital ratio in the sector at the moment. Their risk is that further downgrades make it impossible for them to fund.

grumbledoak

32,571 posts

263 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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Zod said:
They have just about the best Tier 1 capital ratio in the sector at the moment. Their risk is that further downgrades make it impossible for them to fund.
At which point they cannot legally continue to trade. When do we get to hear the "Wheely wheely wheely, Boink!" noise (from 1980's PacMan, only louder)?

Geronimo

626 posts

222 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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I have some shares in B&B from years ago when they turned into a building society or from a building society to a bank or something, I have no idea. Guess they're now worthless.

scotal

8,751 posts

309 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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haworthlloyd1 said:
How much lower can they go? I thought a takeover of b and b would have been more on the cards than hbos.

If HBOS is having problems then god only knows how bradford and bingley is fairing.

Its shares are now 25p - are they the next victim?
Thing is, according to HBOS, and the FSA, they weren't having problems funding...... The markets chose not to believe them.



grumbledoak

32,571 posts

263 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
quotequote all
Geronimo said:
I have some shares in B&B from years ago when they turned into a building society or from a building society to a bank or something, I have no idea. Guess they're now worthless.
Not quite, but nearly. 25p if you can find a buyer, it seems. How many have you got?

BTelford

28 posts

218 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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B&B are small fry, another bank would buy them I guess, not too much would be lost if they went, apart from another blow to confidence.

Geronimo

626 posts

222 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
quotequote all
grumbledoak said:
Geronimo said:
I have some shares in B&B from years ago when they turned into a building society or from a building society to a bank or something, I have no idea. Guess they're now worthless.
Not quite, but nearly. 25p if you can find a buyer, it seems. How many have you got?
There you go, howarthlloyd knows it better than I do!! The dividend was always a nice little bonus, I wonder what that will be next time round.

welshbikerduck

1,448 posts

219 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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Timesonline said:
Analysts say even if the share price falls beneath the rights-issue price it has been underwritten by investment banks. They also say that the bank is well capitalised and its shares are trading at half its net asset value.
I think they are an attractive buy. They specialise in buy to let and in any downturn in the economy the demand for rental properties goes up. Infact just a few weeks ago a couple of the large letting agents in Cardiff were saying they now have a shortage of properties and demand has outstripped supply. I don't pretend to be a city expert but they have assests in excess of their market price. So it sounds good to me.



Edited by welshbikerduck on Thursday 18th September 18:26

plasticpig

12,932 posts

255 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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A large stockbroker recently calcuated B&B's NPV to be negative. Its recent rights issue flopped. 45% of B&B is owned by other banks.

Zod

35,295 posts

288 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
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grumbledoak said:
Zod said:
They have just about the best Tier 1 capital ratio in the sector at the moment. Their risk is that further downgrades make it impossible for them to fund.
At which point they cannot legally continue to trade. When do we get to hear the "Wheely wheely wheely, Boink!" noise (from 1980's PacMan, only louder)?
No. It would mean they had to cut/stop new lending.

scotal

8,751 posts

309 months

Thursday 18th September 2008
quotequote all
Zod said:
grumbledoak said:
Zod said:
They have just about the best Tier 1 capital ratio in the sector at the moment. Their risk is that further downgrades make it impossible for them to fund.
At which point they cannot legally continue to trade. When do we get to hear the "Wheely wheely wheely, Boink!" noise (from 1980's PacMan, only louder)?
No. It would mean they had to cut/stop new lending.
Which the mortgage market would virtually not notice anyway, their deals are nowhere enar the top of the tree.

Shay HTFC

3,588 posts

219 months

Friday 19th September 2008
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This little corner of West Yorkshire is having trouble with it's banks right now headache

Fittster

Original Poster:

20,120 posts

243 months

Saturday 27th September 2008
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So it looks as if Bradford and Bingley will be another Northern Rock. Anyone want to take a guess on how much its going to cost the taxpayer?

Fittster

Original Poster:

20,120 posts

243 months

Saturday 27th September 2008
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Cheeky Jim

1,276 posts

310 months

Saturday 27th September 2008
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I think with the current market up and down that they will get bought or the gov will bail them out.

Given the political arguing over the US package, I can't see Brown and team wanting to do anything but resolve it quickly.

Given powerhouses like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs going cap in hand to anyone with $5bn, I think B&B are pretty much knackered. This is despite them being a reasonably decent company.

Fittster

Original Poster:

20,120 posts

243 months

Saturday 27th September 2008
quotequote all
So they taxpayer picks up a £40 billion liability for all those buy to let mortgages. The £400 million the shareholders recently dug up didn't do a great deal of good.

As buy-to-lets are businesses I hope the government is aggresive in get back the taxpayers money.


V8mate

45,899 posts

219 months

Saturday 27th September 2008
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Nationalisation and then merged with Northern Rock is a possibility I read this morning.

Zod

35,295 posts

288 months

Saturday 27th September 2008
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The £40bn of mortgages are an asset (a poor quality one), not a liability. They could turn out to be worth anythingf from zero to £40bn, but not less than zero.