Finaincial advice - How to survive a recession?
Finaincial advice - How to survive a recession?
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Discussion

Bing o

Original Poster:

15,184 posts

249 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
One for Timmy35, Scotal, Tonks and all the other financial whizzes....

Let's assume that you have a flat (Repayment mortgage fixed at 5.69% for 3 years) costs about £1100 a month to pay back at present.

Thanks to a deceased relative, I have a reasonable amount of cash in savings (enough to pay the mortgage for over a year).

So should I concentrate on paying off the mortgage and having less of a safety net, or should I maintain the safety net incase I lose my job (work in banking, so hardly secure)?

There is also a good chance that I may end up working overseas for a while - this would allow me to sell my car and free up another 15k to put down on the mortgage/add to savings.

So, what should I do - save thousands of £'s of interest, or build up a big security buffer?

I'm asking because I doubt I'm the only one on PH in a similar situation....

Fetchez la vache

5,910 posts

244 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Christ on a bike, £1100 for a flat? Hope its a bloody nice flat!

I'm paying half that for a farm incl 5 bedroom Georgian house...

Edit: Sorry, not much help there, was I smile

Edited by Fetchez la vache on Wednesday 3rd September 12:09

eldar

25,309 posts

226 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Pay off the mortgage. Use the 1100 a month for a decent carsmile or be boring and save it for a rainy day (I've just noticed its pissing down)

Nobaccymaccy

572 posts

232 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
1) take out lots of life insurance.
2) buy a canoe
3)...

NickFRP

5,156 posts

265 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
2 bed flat near the train station in Chelmsford = £700 - 800pm

Edited by NickFRP on Wednesday 3rd September 12:11

Timmy35

13,014 posts

228 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Personally I'd go with the large buffer option. If you end up having to get an unsecured loan to tide you over an dpay the mortgage if you do loose your job you'll end up paying an even higher rate of interest than you would be saving on the mortgage.

If things get better in a year or two you can always pay a lump off then. This seems to be more about strategy and flexibility than just the numbers chap.

BoRED S2upid

21,088 posts

270 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Good grief im glad I live in the country of sheep where everything is cheap as that is a massive amount to be paying on a flat.

I would build up your saftey net as much as you can so your sitting pretty when the world implodes. But where to keep your nest egg now thats another topic.

walm

10,644 posts

232 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
IMHO, and I am no whizz...

1. Fill your ISA.
2. Pay off as much of the mortgage as you can w/o penalties.
3. Keep putting £1,100 a month into the mortgage.
4. The car is the rainy day scenario. If you have to, you can sell it and for the time being is more fun than a high interest savings account.


If you stop paying the mortgage you begin living beyond your means and that is a painful trend to reverse.

big_rob_sydney

3,671 posts

224 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
I’m a little conservative when it comes to my own capital. I like to use mortgage products that have an offset account. This way, any spare cash can go into it, and reduce your mortgage repayments. But this cash is also available when you need it.

Aside from that, I like to invest overseas when I've built up what I consider sufficient cash in my offset. You can choose any country you like \ are eligible for. The reason for that is to not put all your eggs in one basket.

Bing o

Original Poster:

15,184 posts

249 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Timmy35 said:
Personally I'd go with the large buffer option. If you end up having to get an unsecured loan to tide you over an dpay the mortgage if you do loose your job you'll end up paying an even higher rate of interest than you would be saving on the mortgage.

If things get better in a year or two you can always pay a lump off then. This seems to be more about strategy and flexibility than just the numbers chap.
That's what I was thinking - my career will either move towards promotion next February and a permanent move to HK (no bonus expectation this year!!) or redundancy....

What would you say would be a good buffer - is it the usual 3 months salary?

Vesuvius 996

35,829 posts

301 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all


You should always have enough free cash to live for three months if your job went tomorrow.

Keep that in reserve, and pay off the rest.

GuildfordPaul

467 posts

236 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
no expert here, but if i was unsure about the stability of my job, i would probably keep savings in place.

if you get a good interest rate on your savings you will not be losing out on interest.

Timmy35

13,014 posts

228 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Bing o said:
Timmy35 said:
Personally I'd go with the large buffer option. If you end up having to get an unsecured loan to tide you over an dpay the mortgage if you do loose your job you'll end up paying an even higher rate of interest than you would be saving on the mortgage.

If things get better in a year or two you can always pay a lump off then. This seems to be more about strategy and flexibility than just the numbers chap.
That's what I was thinking - my career will either move towards promotion next February and a permanent move to HK (no bonus expectation this year!!) or redundancy....

What would you say would be a good buffer - is it the usual 3 months salary?
That's the standard isn't it. Though I reckon 6m might be more the aim at present.

I guess it depends when you move to HK, I presume you'll look to let the flat out then? The rental market should be holding up okay given the nmuber of people holding off buying.

When are you off btw....at this rate they'll be more of us in HK & Singapore than London!

Bing o

Original Poster:

15,184 posts

249 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
walm said:
IMHO, and I am no whizz...

1. Fill your ISA.
2. Pay off as much of the mortgage as you can w/o penalties.
3. Keep putting £1,100 a month into the mortgage.
4. The car is the rainy day scenario. If you have to, you can sell it and for the time being is more fun than a high interest savings account.


If you stop paying the mortgage you begin living beyond your means and that is a painful trend to reverse.
I'd also like to point out that I can afford the mortgage, and have no intention of defaulting smile

But it is pretty much a 100% mortgage (well, probably more than that now thanks Gordon....) so should I try and reduce that to 80% as soon as possible, or work on the priciple that I'm only going to lose that equity in the short term, so may as well keep it to hand....?

cinque

833 posts

312 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Have you looked at an off-set type mortgage?

Ok, the savings just sit against your mortgage, which will lower the amount you pay on the monthly repayments, but at least you can have easy access to the funds if you need them, which in fairness seems to be your big worry?

(usual caveat applies with regards to any penalties you may incur switching mortgages)

scotal

8,751 posts

309 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
done a THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. I HAVEN'T DONE A FACTFIND OR CLIENT PROFILE.

Were I in a similar situation I would....... keep the savings liquid to give you flexibility. Sell the car, pay that lump sum off the mortgage, assuming you won't pay a penalty for doing so.

If you do decide to pay all of your savings off the mortgage, think about how you will pay it if there is a problem with employment.


Jasandjules

72,646 posts

259 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
I'd have six months full living costs in the bank to be on the safe side. The rest shove in a high interst six month access account.

Bing o

Original Poster:

15,184 posts

249 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Timmy35 said:
Bing o said:
Timmy35 said:
Personally I'd go with the large buffer option. If you end up having to get an unsecured loan to tide you over an dpay the mortgage if you do loose your job you'll end up paying an even higher rate of interest than you would be saving on the mortgage.

If things get better in a year or two you can always pay a lump off then. This seems to be more about strategy and flexibility than just the numbers chap.
That's what I was thinking - my career will either move towards promotion next February and a permanent move to HK (no bonus expectation this year!!) or redundancy....

What would you say would be a good buffer - is it the usual 3 months salary?
That's the standard isn't it. Though I reckon 6m might be more the aim at present.

I guess it depends when you move to HK, I presume you'll look to let the flat out then? The rental market should be holding up okay given the nmuber of people holding off buying.

When are you off btw....at this rate they'll be more of us in HK & Singapore than London!
Market rent should be about £800 a month - it's 2 double beds 5 minutes from the beach, and they've finally started working on the promised surf reef, so should be fairly marketable.

Any permanent move will be next year, but it's dependent on the package and whether they have any budget for me out there.....

scotal

8,751 posts

309 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
Bing o said:
Timmy35 said:
Bing o said:
Timmy35 said:
Personally I'd go with the large buffer option. If you end up having to get an unsecured loan to tide you over an dpay the mortgage if you do loose your job you'll end up paying an even higher rate of interest than you would be saving on the mortgage.

If things get better in a year or two you can always pay a lump off then. This seems to be more about strategy and flexibility than just the numbers chap.
That's what I was thinking - my career will either move towards promotion next February and a permanent move to HK (no bonus expectation this year!!) or redundancy....

What would you say would be a good buffer - is it the usual 3 months salary?
That's the standard isn't it. Though I reckon 6m might be more the aim at present.

I guess it depends when you move to HK, I presume you'll look to let the flat out then? The rental market should be holding up okay given the nmuber of people holding off buying.

When are you off btw....at this rate they'll be more of us in HK & Singapore than London!
Market rent should be about £800 a month - it's 2 double beds 5 minutes from the beach, and they've finally started working on the promised surf reef, so should be fairly marketable.

Any permanent move will be next year, but it's dependent on the package and whether they have any budget for me out there.....
6 months living costs as mention above is the usual recommendation.

Bing o

Original Poster:

15,184 posts

249 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2008
quotequote all
scotal said:
done a THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. I HAVEN'T DONE A FACTFIND OR CLIENT PROFILE.

Were I in a similar situation I would....... keep the savings liquid to give you flexibility. Sell the car, pay that lump sum off the mortgage, assuming you won't pay a penalty for doing so.

If you do decide to pay all of your savings off the mortgage, think about how you will pay it if there is a problem with employment.
I think you did 6 months ago, but anyway.... wink

I guess I'm just feeling guilty about having money knocking around and a big mortgage - it's good to have some positive feedback that being cash rich is no bad thing.

Now, Timmy, how are the pork belly futures holding up?