Can share price alone send a company bust?
Can share price alone send a company bust?
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blindswelledrat

Original Poster:

25,257 posts

262 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Does share price actually affect anything in the day to day running of a company like HBOS?
Does the fact that it is now worth 3 billion instead of 12 billion actually have any financial impact at al on it?
Confused

Maxf

8,444 posts

271 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
If they need cash, they effectively can't issue shares to get it!

blindswelledrat

Original Poster:

25,257 posts

262 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
But if they dont?

Percy Flage

1,770 posts

252 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
The share price does not affect the day to day running of a company as such, but a low share price suggests lack of investor confidence and might affect the companies ability to borrow.

As regards rasing capital via rights issues and the like, Barclays had one recently when their price was below £3, having been upwards of £10 2 to 3 years ago.

Simpo Two

92,955 posts

295 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
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Isn't there a rule that X% of a company must be in cash, which is where NR went wrong?

Rofly Lollers

759 posts

225 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
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I remember hearing something about the NYSE rules, that if a company's share price stayed below $1 for x months then it would be removed from the NYSE - is that true?

off_again

13,917 posts

264 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
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Yes and no.

Hope that helps

hehe

spidermanUK

808 posts

259 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
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Simpo Two said:
Isn't there a rule that X% of a company must be in cash, which is where NR went wrong?
I think you'll find that's for banks and refers to the ratio of customer deposits to cash, i.e. liquidity.

Listed companies outside the banking sector have no such requirement

anonymous-user

84 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
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The balance sheet is more relevant. In the case of a company going to its bank to increase borrowings etc.. the bank look at the balance sheet and the P&L and the cash flow and the underlying performance of the business.

Obviously slightly different in the case of HBOS because they could be adversly affected by a run on the bank if depositors panic.

spidermanUK

808 posts

259 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Maxf said:
If they need cash, they effectively can't issue shares to get it!
Why not? Share price as a rule is based on a) current profit + current assets and b) future prospects.

If a company takes a loss in one year based on a one-off event such as sub-prime lending, there's no reason why their prospects shouldn't be good asuming that they've found a revenue stream to fill the gap.

walm

10,644 posts

232 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
spidermanUK said:
Maxf said:
If they need cash, they effectively can't issue shares to get it!
Why not? Share price as a rule is based on a) current profit + current assets and b) future prospects.

If a company takes a loss in one year based on a one-off event such as sub-prime lending, there's no reason why their prospects shouldn't be good asuming that they've found a revenue stream to fill the gap.
They can of course issue shares at any price.
But if investors see the share price tanking or just very volatile then they will not be willing to buy those new shares, potentially at any price.

The cash/debt liquidity requirement is not a problem as long as your underlying assets don't decrease in value (and you aren't actually making losses or taking on more debt).

The problem the banks have is that those assets are decreasing in value dramatically which means they need more cash to sure up the balance sheet and with a weak stock price you can't raise the cash easily, as above.

Zippee

14,138 posts

264 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
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Remember also that a low share price can leave a company open to takeover.

Neil_H

15,418 posts

281 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
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The share price is generally a good indicator of the financial health of a company; if it's making huge profits they will almost certainly have plenty of people willing to invest and so the share price will be healthy - and vice versa.It's rare to see a hugely profitable company with a rock bottom share price unless it has some other problems (financial or otherwise)which scares off investors .

So while the share price itself won't have much of an effect on the company day-to-day, the issues which are keeping the share price down probably will.

Simpo Two

92,955 posts

295 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
spidermanUK said:
Simpo Two said:
Isn't there a rule that X% of a company must be in cash, which is where NR went wrong?
I think you'll find that's for banks and refers to the ratio of customer deposits to cash, i.e. liquidity.

Listed companies outside the banking sector have no such requirement
Ah yes. So if the rules didn't apply to banks, then NR might still be trading and the taxpayer would be £54bn better off? Or maybe it woudl have gone horribly wrong some other way...

anonymous-user

84 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Neil_H said:
The share price is generally a good indicator of the financial health of a company; if it's making huge profits they will almost certainly have plenty of people willing to invest and so the share price will be healthy - and vice versa.It's rare to see a hugely profitable company with a rock bottom share price unless it has some other problems (financial or otherwise)which scares off investors .
Not neccessarily. Sentiment has a lot to do with it. I was a director of a plc that was perfectly healthy but because of the poor relationship that the previous chairman had with the city the share price was underwater for a long time. As a result when we did manage to get the message across the price increased from a low of 29p to 327p in a year. Which was nice for all our 30p share options. biggrin

anonymous-user

84 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Simpo Two said:
spidermanUK said:
Simpo Two said:
Isn't there a rule that X% of a company must be in cash, which is where NR went wrong?
I think you'll find that's for banks and refers to the ratio of customer deposits to cash, i.e. liquidity.

Listed companies outside the banking sector have no such requirement
Ah yes. So if the rules didn't apply to banks, then NR might still be trading and the taxpayer would be £54bn better off? Or maybe it woudl have gone horribly wrong some other way...
NR's problem was that they borrowed heavily on the money market and the other banks stopped lending to them. So their cash flow dried up.

Neil_H

15,418 posts

281 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
unrepentant said:
Neil_H said:
The share price is generally a good indicator of the financial health of a company; if it's making huge profits they will almost certainly have plenty of people willing to invest and so the share price will be healthy - and vice versa.It's rare to see a hugely profitable company with a rock bottom share price unless it has some other problems (financial or otherwise)which scares off investors .
Not neccessarily. Sentiment has a lot to do with it. I was a director of a plc that was perfectly healthy but because of the poor relationship that the previous chairman had with the city the share price was underwater for a long time. As a result when we did manage to get the message across the price increased from a low of 29p to 327p in a year. Which was nice for all our 30p share options. biggrin
That's why I said "unless it has some other problems (financial or otherwise)".