It really is quite bad isn't it?
It really is quite bad isn't it?
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Discussion

dan1981

18,104 posts

229 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
This financial malarky thing.

I'm no expert but even I can see that things are not goign to well at all are they?

Just some quotes from the BBC this morning....

The FTSE 100 share index plunged 9.8% to 3887 points, the first time it has fallen below 4,000 points in five years.

"Selling is unstoppable in New York and Tokyo," said Yutaka Miura, senior strategist at Shinko Securities in Tokyo."

At the end of trading on Friday, Tokyo shares had plunged 24% during the week - double their weekly fall during the 1987 market crash.

In Indonesia, plans to re-open the stock market were suspended in order to prevent what the president of the exchange called "deeper panic". Trading was halted for two days earlier this week.

In Japan as the Nikkei index slumped in its biggest one-day fall since the 1987 stock market crash,

In Russia, regulators suspended stock market trading indefinitely, citing excessive volatility

"We're way beyond fundamentals," said Chris Orndorff, head of equity strategy at Payden & Rygel, in Los Angeles.

"This is just pure panic, that's all it is."

There is no domestic solution to a crisis like this one," said Dominique Strauss-Kahn - head of the IMF.



From this i get the feeling its getting worse?

Road Hog

2,659 posts

243 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
we are all "DOOOMMED"

kambites

71,562 posts

251 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
It's happened before and it'll happen again. Stock market collapses seem to be a fundamental part of capitalism.

toppstuff

13,698 posts

277 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Yes.

I think this is the eye of the storm. Until now not ALL markets had capitulated, Asia held on . Asia crashed yesterday and this has now caused further falls.

I think this is the beginning of the worst part of this crisis.

Snoggledog

9,265 posts

247 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Being a thick numpty, what would happen if the FTSE suspended trading?

Matt_N

9,041 posts

232 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
<Duncan Bannatyne>Im out<Duncan Bannatyne>

dan1981

18,104 posts

229 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Snoggledog said:
Being a thick numpty, what would happen if the FTSE suspended trading?
I wondered this - other countries - especially Russia seem to quite happily suspend trading on a regular basis.

NoelWatson

11,710 posts

272 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Snoggledog said:
Being a thick numpty, what would happen if the FTSE suspended trading?
We could nip down to Dirty Dicks, have a quick beer and be back in time for the open

kambites

71,562 posts

251 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Snoggledog said:
Being a thick numpty, what would happen if the FTSE suspended trading?
Unless someone actually has a cunning plan to bolster share prices, it wouldn't help. Prices would just crash as soon as it reopened and you can't keep it closed forever.

Snoggledog

9,265 posts

247 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
NoelWatson said:
Snoggledog said:
Being a thick numpty, what would happen if the FTSE suspended trading?
We could nip down to Dirty Dicks, have a quick beer and be back in time for the open
Ok so Dirty Dicks profits go through the roof but what would happen once the stock market re-opened. Come to that why suspend trading in the first place? What good / bad comes of it?

Told ya i woz fik

dilbert

7,741 posts

261 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
We have the whole "Credit Default Swaps" thing to come. I don't know if it's today or next week, but I would guess that this is the precursor to that.

toppstuff

13,698 posts

277 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
I think one idea would be to suspend trading. Tell everyone in the markets to go to the pub and get drunk over the whole weekend. Calm down a bit.

Let the policitians and central banks do some re-arranging of the deck chairs.

Then everyone comes back on Monday with a hangover and a calmer perspective.

215cu

2,956 posts

240 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
I imagine the Lehman's CDS settlement issue is really spooking the market... no-one knows for certain if the insurers are going to be able to cough up.

This isn't due until next Friday.

Freddie and Fannie's was settled last week, some $500bn worth. Lehman's is $400bn.

I guess the main worry is the US side of the bail-out simply isn't large enough.

As for our banks, I imagine some of these could well be exposed if the insurers don't pay up.

Biggles111

466 posts

293 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
It is becoming hysteria - just as in the dot com boom when people were ignoring fundamentals (earnings, dividend yield etc) and buying on the basis that the only way was up, people are selling everything on the basis things can only go down.

I say ignore the sheep and go the other way as most companies (banks excepted) are still solid and now represent great value. Things have not turned yet, but there is massive value to be had in this stock clearance and the rebound when it comes will offer rich pickings.

briSk

14,291 posts

256 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Biggles111 said:
It is becoming hysteria - just as in the dot com boom when people were ignoring fundamentals (earnings, dividend yield etc) and buying on the basis that the only way was up, people are selling everything on the basis things can only go down.

I say ignore the sheep and go the other way as most companies (banks excepted) are still solid and now represent great value. Things have not turned yet, but there is massive value to be had in this stock clearance and the rebound when it comes will offer rich pickings.
what do you mean 'becoming' it's been nothing to do with fundamentals for ages.


CY88

2,808 posts

260 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Well i've been buying a few this week wobble

NoelWatson

11,710 posts

272 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
215cu said:
I imagine the Lehman's CDS settlement issue is really spooking the market... no-one knows for certain if the insurers are going to be able to cough up.

This isn't due until next Friday.

Freddie and Fannie's was settled last week, some $500bn worth. Lehman's is $400bn.

I guess the main worry is the US side of the bail-out simply isn't large enough.

As for our banks, I imagine some of these could well be exposed if the insurers don't pay up.
Auction today.

"I imagine some of these could well be exposed if the insurers don't pay up."

Mot sure of the logic here.

215cu

2,956 posts

240 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Biggles111 said:
It is becoming hysteria - just as in the dot com boom when people were ignoring fundamentals (earnings, dividend yield etc) and buying on the basis that the only way was up, people are selling everything on the basis things can only go down.

I say ignore the sheep and go the other way as most companies (banks excepted) are still solid and now represent great value. Things have not turned yet, but there is massive value to be had in this stock clearance and the rebound when it comes will offer rich pickings.
yes

Personally, I thought the start of the week signalled the capitulation and I'm surprised that this morning has started as such.

The whole CDS thing spooks me admittedly, there is still plenty that can go wrong, however, there will become a point where these shares will look terribly undervalued and that time is getting very close.

Poledriver

29,599 posts

224 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
Has the dead cat bounced yet?

Plotloss

67,280 posts

300 months

Friday 10th October 2008
quotequote all
215cu said:
The whole CDS thing spooks me admittedly, there is still plenty that can go wrong, however, there will become a point where these shares will look terribly undervalued and that time is getting very close.
AIG fell off a cliff yesterday.

Today they're dumping assets and borrowing more and more.

If it does go, I suspect it will negate entirely the UK/Fed bailouts.