Where next for the economy?
Where next for the economy?
Author
Discussion

Ozzie Osmond

Original Poster:

21,189 posts

275 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Petrol prices rose 20% and then fell nearly 30% in 2008. Unprecedented.

Interest rates have fallen by 65% since the summer 2007. Unprecedented.

So where next?

A slow recovery? Or a vicious spike upwards of both inflation and interest rates when the public come to realise that nothing's actually changed out there?

King Herald

23,501 posts

245 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
Petrol prices rose 20% and then fell nearly 30% in 2008. Unprecedented.

Interest rates have fallen by 65% since the summer 2007. Unprecedented.

So where next?

A slow recovery? Or a vicious spike upwards of both inflation and interest rates when the public come to realise that nothing's actually changed out there?
Yes, that is the correct answer. biggrin

V8mate

45,899 posts

218 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
...when the public come to realise that nothing's actually changed out there?
The only thing which ever changes is that our freedoms are persistently eroded under the banner of one fad or aother by one group or another who deem it to be in our best interests.

ZR1cliff

17,999 posts

278 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Imagine a naffing great freight train weighing 4,000 tons sliding backwards towards a ravine. The brakes have been put 'on' but its going to take time to stop, very very slowly, some carriages are going to be lost. Unfortunately or fortunately, which ever way you look at it, the Loco is the government with Gordon as the engine driver. They will be ok what ever happens but it's going to take time to get traction and head in the right direction once more.
There is a tory loco watching on in the sidings but is he able to help, is it in his best interest to ? Will Gordon go off the rails ?

ACEparts_com

3,724 posts

270 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Hyper inflation as they print more and more money (that can't be absorbed by housing like the previous print run)

dilbert

7,741 posts

260 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
ZR1cliff said:
Imagine a naffing great freight train weighing 4,000 tons sliding backwards towards a ravine. The brakes have been put 'on' but its going to take time to stop, very very slowly, some carriages are going to be lost. Unfortunately or fortunately, which ever way you look at it, the Loco is the government with Gordon as the engine driver. They will be ok what ever happens but it's going to take time to get traction and head in the right direction once more.
There is a tory loco watching on in the sidings but is he able to help, is it in his best interest to ? Will Gordon go off the rails ?
I don't think it's about best interests myself. More that everybody agrees there's a slope. Everybody agrees that the brakes aren't good enough. But it's a 50/50 split on which way the slope actually goes.

Edited by dilbert on Sunday 7th December 13:00

Ozzie Osmond

Original Poster:

21,189 posts

275 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
ZR1cliff said:
Imagine a naffing great freight train weighing 4,000 tons sliding backwards towards a ravine.... The Loco is the government with Gordon as the engine driver.
Now that's a fine picture! smile

Fresh_Clip

197 posts

223 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Here's the picture. The banks, worldwide, have stopped or drastically slowed lending. Loans power the commercial economy. Until the banks choose to start lending again, the economies of every country will slow down, unemployment will rise and everybody will hurt financially (unless they're incredibly rich). The economies will recover, slowly until the banks feel that there is enough underlying value in real property to begin lending again. How long will it last? Ask a Rockefeller...

largerandrock

652 posts

233 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Im going to the pub to spend some money to get the economy going. I suggest you all do the same.

robinhood21

31,123 posts

261 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
ZR1cliff said:
Imagine a naffing great freight train weighing 4,000 tons sliding backwards towards a ravine.... The Loco is the government with Gordon as the engine driver.
Now that's a fine picture! smile
Could only be eclipsed by moving Gordon to the guards van. smile

Ozzie Osmond

Original Poster:

21,189 posts

275 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
largerandrock said:
Im going to the pub to spend some money to get the economy going. I suggest you all do the same.
Excellent, some positive thinking there! No point anyone sitting at home and moaning.

s,one

4,612 posts

267 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
largerandrock said:
Im going to the pub to spend some money to get the economy going. I suggest you all do the same.
Excellent, some positive thinking there! No point anyone sitting at home and moaning.
I'd like to say that I've been doing my best in this fashion to revive the ecconomy all weekend. Makes you proudbeer

sa_20v

4,112 posts

260 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
Where does it say that?

rabw

9,027 posts

237 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
Is it worse than deflation?

Fittster

20,120 posts

242 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
The print all the time. Have they annouced how much of an increase there will be in the money supply?

King Herald

23,501 posts

245 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
ZR1cliff said:
Imagine a naffing great freight train weighing 4,000 tons sliding backwards towards a ravine. The brakes have been put 'on' but its going to take time to stop, very very slowly, some carriages are going to be lost. Unfortunately or fortunately, which ever way you look at it, the Loco is the government with Gordon as the engine driver. They will be ok what ever happens but it's going to take time to get traction and head in the right direction once more.
There is a tory loco watching on in the sidings but is he able to help, is it in his best interest to ? Will Gordon go off the rails ?
And where is the Fat Controller at this time? hehe

rick.e

783 posts

300 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
Or a vicious spike upwards of both inflation and interest rates when the public come to realise that nothing's actually changed out there?
Unfortunately one thing has changed - the £. I am weary of the guff from Brown and Darling about this being an International problem. Yes World stock markets are down and yes unemployment is striking all countries, but in a couple of years stocks and jobs will be back where they were. But the UK has been singled out, we have been judged! We can all look forward to holidays next year 30% more expensive than last year, whether in Europe, North America or Timbukutu. This is the change which will be hardest to shake off.

NoelWatson

11,710 posts

271 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
Fittster said:
anonymous said:
[redacted]
The print all the time. Have they annouced how much of an increase there will be in the money supply?
M4 YOY is rising rapidly, but I understand adjusted M4 YOY is near zero if not negative.

Edited by NoelWatson on Sunday 7th December 17:17

ZR1cliff

17,999 posts

278 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
King Herald said:
ZR1cliff said:
Imagine a naffing great freight train weighing 4,000 tons sliding backwards towards a ravine. The brakes have been put 'on' but its going to take time to stop, very very slowly, some carriages are going to be lost. Unfortunately or fortunately, which ever way you look at it, the Loco is the government with Gordon as the engine driver. They will be ok what ever happens but it's going to take time to get traction and head in the right direction once more.
There is a tory loco watching on in the sidings but is he able to help, is it in his best interest to ? Will Gordon go off the rails ?
And where is the Fat Controller at this time? hehe
He's just vacated the whitehouse.

jeff m

4,066 posts

287 months

Sunday 7th December 2008
quotequote all
I see a widening of the gap between the haves and have nots. Cuts in services.
Plastic may become unavailable to those who misused it or are deemed unfit.
Credit purchases could revert to the old Hire purchase type agreements. (usary interest rates for a while.)

Pensions will be a thing of the past, (in their current form) all self financed with the individual taking responsiblity.

Crime could become a career choice.

Countries with manufacturing will probably do better than others (India, South America, but probably not China)

And people who thought the Lottery was a tax on the stupid/poor may start buying tickets.