Deal or no Deal - may contain a spoiler!

[Smart Mart]

Anyone see it tonight?

Made great telly and the girl who played was certainly blessed all right.

[andyjo1982]

Smart Mart said:

Anyone see it tonight?

Made great telly and the girl who played was certainly blessed all right.

I saw it.

Personally, i thought it was a little suspect. I know theres always a chance you can end up with the big 2 as your last 2, and maybe by the law of averages it was gonna happen at some point, but the chances of it happening in live play are probably 10's thousands to 1. Maybe 'the banker' just underestimated her. But the problem i have is at 5 box. She won the chance to go on 1 bax at a time, but the offer at 5 box, based on 1 blue and 4 of the power 5 was £30,000. The average of the board at that point was around £80,000. To me, that seemed ridiculously low, then to take all the boxes out from lowest to highest seemed slightly sus and then finally, although the box she swapped with meant something to her, she was far too keen to swap.

Good entertainment though i suppose...

[55allgold]

andyjo1982 said:

I know theres always a chance you can end up with the big 2 as your last 2, and maybe by the law of averages it was gonna happen at some point, but the chances of it happening in live play are probably 10's thousands to 1.

Um... it's exactly the same odds as (say) £10,000 and £50 being in the last two boxes. Or £1 and £100. It's how it works.

[Jasandjules]

Ah, sounds like it was a good episode. I think there was a show a while back where the last two boxes were 100k and 250k.

I don't find it a hugely engrosssing show though sadly as I think Noel overhypes what the show is really...

[andyjo1982]

Just watched the last 20 mins of todays episode...

What a plonker...

Got to 5 box still in play, £10, £5k, £75k, £100k and £250k, offered £62k, no deal, then takes out the big 3 in order, gets offered £2k, deals and ended up with £5k in his box...

[Nimbus]

andyjo1982 said:

Just watched the last 20 mins of todays episode...

What a plonker...

Got to 5 box still in play, £10, £5k, £75k, £100k and £250k, offered £62k, no deal, then takes out the big 3 in order, gets offered £2k, deals and ended up with £5k in his box...

and given that board, what would you have said if he'd dealt, and then ended up with any combination of the 75,100 and 250 ?

if you don't go for it, you cant win the big money.

he had big balls I reckon, and he took his loss well !

[Laplace]

andyjo1982 said:

Just watched the last 20 mins of todays episode...

What a plonker...

Got to 5 box still in play, £10, £5k, £75k, £100k and £250k, offered £62k, no deal, then takes out the big 3 in order, gets offered £2k, deals and ended up with £5k in his box...

Pushed on by greed like so many but to be fair he took it on the chin, I bet he's in for a long drive home with the Mrs!

The folk I really can't stand are those who refuse a big offer then start crying when the game falls apart like they are owed something or hard done by.

[andyjo1982]

Nimbus said:

andyjo1982 said:

Just watched the last 20 mins of todays episode...

What a plonker...

Got to 5 box still in play, £10, £5k, £75k, £100k and £250k, offered £62k, no deal, then takes out the big 3 in order, gets offered £2k, deals and ended up with £5k in his box...

and given that board, what would you have said if he'd dealt, and then ended up with any combination of the 75,100 and 250 ?

if you don't go for it, you cant win the big money.

he had big balls I reckon, and he took his loss well !

I suppose its relative to each player and you have to factor in odds. I'd have dealt. Yes he took his loss well, but its been seen numerous times before, the round from hell. If there was a bigger back up than £5k, maybe say £20k or £35k then perhaps worth going on, but at 5 box, and you have to take 3 away, you know you're gonna lose 1 of those big 3. Simple maths shows theres a 60% chance you'd lose the £250k, so, if you lost that the best case off you'd get would be around £80-85k.

If he'd have been left with £10 and £250k the offer would've been what, £70k - £80k? Is it worth risking £62 to win another £10k-£20k, no not in my book...

Still find it quite entertaining after 6 years or whatever, its either dond on c4+1 or Pointless...

[Nimbus]

true, true, the sensible move was to take the money, but no one ever won the 250 without going for it, and he was pretty unlucky in the end...

likewise, even after all this time, I still find it very entertaining, well games like that anyway

[hairykrishna]

I've never really watched this, maybe 1 or 2 episodes if you added up all the bits I've seen.

Do you think they weed out people who understand odds early on in the program selection process? There seems to be a great deal of talk about numbers that 'feel right' and other various sentimental stuff but I've never seen anyone mention any maths based reasoning. I wonder if I'd be allowed a calculator?

[andyjo1982]

hairykrishna said:

I've never really watched this, maybe 1 or 2 episodes if you added up all the bits I've seen.

Do you think they weed out people who understand odds early on in the program selection process? There seems to be a great deal of talk about numbers that 'feel right' and other various sentimental stuff but I've never seen anyone mention any maths based reasoning. I wonder if I'd be allowed a calculator?

They do seem to have a wide mix of people. People who gamble a lot and people who have never gambled. They ssem to make sure they have a large cross section of people, any age from 18 up to I think about 90. I think they want people who have a story to tell so people become attached. Tonight there we a handful of contestants crying so they must form a fairly tight nit group...