PH Box Office Wager 2020
Discussion
We will have the final results going up in the 2019 thread in a couple of weeks once we’ve seen how far Star Wars can climb with less than two weeks of release behind it, but it’s time to look forward to 2020.
The coming year is arguably far more interesting than 2019 and extremely difficult to call. This year we had a nailed on #1 and several others which were as good as certainties to be there somewhere (Lion King, Frozen II, Far From Home). 2020 feels completely wide open in comparison with Disney easing off on the remakes, no Star Wars, some lower key Marvel movies and far more breathing room for other studios and franchises to make an impact.
We have a James Bond movie, a bit of Pixar, an as yet completely unknown Christopher Nolan movie, a potential overseas juggernaut from Disney and we of course have a bunch of superhero movies. The Minions are back, Fast and Furious is back, Godzilla is back and even Tony Stark is back (as Dolittle!)
As last time I’ve compiled a list of some of the potential heavy hitters and a bit of box office background for each. This list is pretty big but even so there are quite a few big releases beyond these (Bad Boys, A Quiet Place II, Dolittle, Ghostbusters, Artemis Fowl etc), particularly so if as expected the year is much tighter.
Rules
It’s pretty simple if you want to take part, just list your top 10 prediction for worldwide box office takings for 2020 in this thread by January 12th and I’ll do the rest. To avoid any confusion I’ll be solely using the Box Office Mojo worldwide data for the entire calendar year of 2020 to score.
To make life easier for me please clearly list and number your choices, preferably with the full film title i.e. 1. Mulan 2. Venom II 3. Black Widow
Scoring System
Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
The rest of the scoring goes like this:
• 10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
• 7 points if your pick was only one spot away from where it ended up
• 5 points if it was two spots away
• 3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick- that is, if you get number ten right, you don’t get 13+3, you only get 13.
Notable Releases
The coming year is arguably far more interesting than 2019 and extremely difficult to call. This year we had a nailed on #1 and several others which were as good as certainties to be there somewhere (Lion King, Frozen II, Far From Home). 2020 feels completely wide open in comparison with Disney easing off on the remakes, no Star Wars, some lower key Marvel movies and far more breathing room for other studios and franchises to make an impact.
We have a James Bond movie, a bit of Pixar, an as yet completely unknown Christopher Nolan movie, a potential overseas juggernaut from Disney and we of course have a bunch of superhero movies. The Minions are back, Fast and Furious is back, Godzilla is back and even Tony Stark is back (as Dolittle!)
As last time I’ve compiled a list of some of the potential heavy hitters and a bit of box office background for each. This list is pretty big but even so there are quite a few big releases beyond these (Bad Boys, A Quiet Place II, Dolittle, Ghostbusters, Artemis Fowl etc), particularly so if as expected the year is much tighter.
Rules
It’s pretty simple if you want to take part, just list your top 10 prediction for worldwide box office takings for 2020 in this thread by January 12th and I’ll do the rest. To avoid any confusion I’ll be solely using the Box Office Mojo worldwide data for the entire calendar year of 2020 to score.
To make life easier for me please clearly list and number your choices, preferably with the full film title i.e. 1. Mulan 2. Venom II 3. Black Widow
Scoring System
Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
The rest of the scoring goes like this:
• 10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
• 7 points if your pick was only one spot away from where it ended up
• 5 points if it was two spots away
• 3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick- that is, if you get number ten right, you don’t get 13+3, you only get 13.
Notable Releases
- Black Widow ($1.12b, Captain Marvel, 2019)
- Fast and Furious 9 ($1.23b, Fate of the Furious, 2017)
- Minions: The Rise of Gru ($1.15b, Minions, 2015)
- The Eternals ($677m, Dr Strange, 2016)
- Wonder Woman 1984 ($821m, Wonder Woman, 2017)
- Tenet ($525m, Dunkirk, 2017)
- No Time to Die ($880m, Spectre, 2015)
- Mulan ($1.65b, Lion King, 2019)
- Onward ($807m, Coco, 2017)
- Venom II ($856m, Venom, 2018)
- Birds of Prey ($1.05b, Joker, 2019)
- Godzilla Vs Kong ($566m, Kong: Skull Island, 2017)
- Raya and the Last Dragon ($690m, Moana, 2016)
- Top Gun: Maverick ($356, Top Gun, 1986)
No Time To Die
Ghostbusters - Afterlife
Black widow
Bad Boys 4 Life
Birds Of Prey
Fast & Furious 9
Tenet
Top Gun - Maverick
The Grudge
Bill & Ted face The Music
being as it's my first year doing this and most of these are re-boots or sequels to movies from the 80's.
Let's see how far out I am...
irocfan said:
I'd be thinking that Eternals was the wild-card - BW has an established base in the existing Avengers time-line etc
Yeah. I guess what I meant in my head is, normally, it'd be a 600m film, but it's a spy type film, and if it's really good, and if it has 'cameos' in it, an the endgame factor, and which will be the first MCU film not to hit a billion since we've had three on the trot.Eternals is a genuine wild card I guess, no way to gauge it's base, no big names (Jolie is meant to be in a small role).
Man! Boxofficemojo is a real piece of s
t these days.
I can recall you could go through the takings week by week on films for worldwide, but I can't find it now, it's only on the 'versus' pages, and you still can't get worldwide head to head to date...though I thought I'd found it recently.
t these days.I can recall you could go through the takings week by week on films for worldwide, but I can't find it now, it's only on the 'versus' pages, and you still can't get worldwide head to head to date...though I thought I'd found it recently.
ukaskew said:
It’s pretty simple if you want to take part, just list your top 10 prediction for worldwide box office takings for 2020 in this thread by January 12th and I’ll do the rest. To avoid any confusion I’ll be solely using the Box Office Mojo worldwide data for the entire calendar year of 2020 to score.
Just to check, do we have till the EOP tomorrow?just in case not;
update list (for now)
Eternals
Mulan
Wonder Woman 1984
Black Widow
Venom II
Fast and Furious 9
Morbius
No Time to Die
Soul
Minions: The Rise of Gru
Bloodshot
Ghostbusters: Afterlife
Edited by Halb on Saturday 11th January 18:28
A lil look at Disney's crazy slate for the year, and a nice explanation as to why it's going to be different this year.
The Rise of Skywalker hits $1 Billion, Disney 2020 Box Office
Beyond The Trailer
https://youtu.be/pJABo5uyJ1Y
The Rise of Skywalker hits $1 Billion, Disney 2020 Box Office
Beyond The Trailer
https://youtu.be/pJABo5uyJ1Y
)
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