Greece to hold referendum
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Discussion

Norfolkit

Original Poster:

2,394 posts

221 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
On the bailout package.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15526719
So what's Papandreou up to.
He'll campaign in favour in the almost certain knowledge the Greeks will vote against.
He's not that daft, what's his plan?

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

286 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
World domination...

Police State

4,380 posts

251 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Norfolkit said:
On the bailout package.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15526719
So what's Papandreou up to.
He'll campaign in favour in the almost certain knowledge the Greeks will vote against.
He's not that daft, what's his plan?
He's playing poker with a limited hand, but this may just help to keep the Generals at bay.

Norfolkit

Original Poster:

2,394 posts

221 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
But presumably he's expecting a 'no' vote which he'll honour (not the norm for Euro No votes, being honoured).
Will he use that as a mandate to pull out of the Euro?
If so what's the Piigs implication.

Fittster

20,120 posts

244 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Police State said:
He's playing poker with a limited hand, but this may just help to keep the Generals at bay.
Greek or German generals?

Norfolkit

Original Poster:

2,394 posts

221 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Fittster said:
Police State said:
He's playing poker with a limited hand, but this may just help to keep the Generals at bay.
Greek or German generals?
To be fair they've had problems with both

Fittster

20,120 posts

244 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Norfolkit said:
But presumably he's expecting a 'no' vote which he'll honour (not the norm for Euro No votes, being honoured).
Will he use that as a mandate to pull out of the Euro?
If so what's the Piggy implication.
Would be so sure of a no vote. The population might want to say no to the terms of a bailout but they also want to stay in the Euro. They can't have both.

davepoth

29,395 posts

230 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Norfolkit said:
But presumably he's expecting a 'no' vote which he'll honour (not the norm for Euro No votes, being honoured).
Will he use that as a mandate to pull out of the Euro?
If so what's the Piigs implication.
I think he may have realised that the Germans have no intention of fixing Greece. He can't bail Greece out of the Euro - his position is too weak. But a decisive referendum (and it's not going to be 51%-49%) will be too much for even the EU to ask them to go again; they don't have any more money to throw at Greece. It means that he'll lose a confidence vote and will have to resign, but I think he knows that by dropping out of the Euro he has a possibility of getting in next time round, once the economy has fixed itself.

Police State

4,380 posts

251 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Fittster said:
Police State said:
He's playing poker with a limited hand, but this may just help to keep the Generals at bay.
Greek or German generals?
His immediate problem is he has to get the majority backing of the Greek people, else he's going to be governing a country that will not be far away from complete meltdown; at which point the tanks will roll.

jeff m2

2,060 posts

182 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
If I were a bond holder that had just agreed to a 50% write down in an effort to resolve their dilema I would be irked that he has the nerve to hold a referendum.

Anyone know if it's binding (they usually aren't, or UK wouldn't have landed in the common Marketbiggrin)

About time they started paying some domestic income tax.


0a

24,159 posts

225 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
This is essentially a referendum on Greece staying in the Euro, and accepting the German's demands, or rejecting the bailout, defaulting on their debt and returning to the drachma to pay wages. It's a more interesting move than has been made out so far in the news.

odyssey2200

18,650 posts

240 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
coffee

This should be interesting!

If Greece pulls out of the Euro, will it still be in the EU?

At lease Papandreou is giving his people a vote on such issues, which is more than we got.

Full respect to the man and I hope he starts a domino effect in the EU

Rocksteadyeddie

7,971 posts

258 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
And they wonder why they have problems...

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ianmcowie/100...

nelly1

5,666 posts

262 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Well, the markets don't like it... http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15533940

0a

24,159 posts

225 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
The interesting thing is that should Greece vote no and default, we may see demands for the same for other countries which have weak governments, high debts, and demands from Merkozy to cut spending. Italy for one. This possibility alone will make it for more difficult for them to borrow.

It certainly looks like last week’s magic resolution is rather irrelevant to the whole situation. At the time it was clear that it merely papered over the cracks. When it came down to actually making spending cuts, these countries simply don’t have the political will. We saw this when Greece was required to stop giving words and promises, and start real cuts. We will see the same in Italy. It’s not possible that they will remain within the Euro for this reason.

jesusbuiltmycar

5,137 posts

285 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
How many referendums the Greeks will have before they give the correct answer?

0a

24,159 posts

225 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
jesusbuiltmycar said:
How many referendums the Greeks will have before they give the correct answer?
It might all be over before January...

On another note, it's amusing that Tory rebels were told "not to rock the boat" last week, all that looks rather mild now!

Norfolkit

Original Poster:

2,394 posts

221 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
jesusbuiltmycar said:
How many referendums the Greeks will have before they give the correct answer?
They wouldn't dare surely

Frankeh

12,558 posts

216 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Well, that's that then. No bailout.

Norfolkit

Original Poster:

2,394 posts

221 months

Tuesday 1st November 2011
quotequote all
Is this it, is this the day the whole corrupt, undemocratic, politically motivated mess, sorry EU, starts to unravel