Did any polls correctly call it?

[Thankyou4calling]

Other than the exit poll did any of the polls accurately forecast a conservative win of this magnitude?

[FunkyNige]

A few days ago they were similar, then they tightened up just before polling day.
From 10Dec2019 ( link)


All seem to be within a %.

[Prizam]

The pistonheads poll correctly called it...

[JagLover]

Thankyou4calling said:

Other than the exit poll did any of the polls accurately forecast a conservative win of this magnitude?

The Constituency by constituency poll that forecast a Tory majority of 20 or so had a hung parliament and a much larger majority within its margin of error.

[alangla]

Yougov MRP wasn't bad - https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-repo... - underestimated the Tories & SNP and overestimated Labour, but correctly predicted a lot of the shocks.

[Hoofy]

Looking at the Betfair exchange seems more relevant as people are putting their hard earned on the line.

For a Tory majority:

[Vanden Saab]

alangla said:

Yougov MRP wasn't bad - https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-repo... - underestimated the Tories & SNP and overestimated Labour, but correctly predicted a lot of the shocks.

The first MRP poll at the end of November was scarily close....cannot find it now as the later less accurate one seems to have taken its place...