Defence Review
Author
Discussion

TheFungle

Original Poster:

4,227 posts

230 months

Sunday 22nd December 2019
quotequote all
As per the pre-election promise there will be a 'far reaching' Defence Review taking place in the near future.

Will spending take a hit and if so what will be sacrificed?

From an RAF perspective I can't imagine that any major equipment programmes will be turned off but I can see the Regt. being disbanded, the Red Arrows are also another obvious candidate.

With the potential reinstatement of AFPS75 the money will have to come from somewhere.


IanH755

2,656 posts

144 months

Sunday 22nd December 2019
quotequote all
Better contract & project management will save heaps plus reducing the officer Corp at 1 star and above in all services and culling middle officer ranks in the RAF & RN would be a start as we're hugely over-staffed in those areas and have been for over 20 years in my experience.

DuncsGTi

1,175 posts

203 months

Sunday 22nd December 2019
quotequote all
I think the outcome will be massively dependent on who succeeds Gen Carter as CDS and which of the services they come from.

Regardless of who it is, I cant see any of the big ticket projects being canned (carriers//F35/CR2 LEP/Ajax)

The last SDSR got it quite significantly wrong in terms of personnel numbers and led to people receiving significant redundancy packages only to be offered their job back 12-18 months later, keeping the payout and getting a golden handshake to come back.

Despite having a much lower operational profile in Iraq and Afghanistan than in recent years, we still seem to be pretty much flat out committed due to the manning issues. I'm not sure theres much more fat to trim off the edges now. Obviously just IMHO


GoodCompany

308 posts

87 months

Sunday 22nd December 2019
quotequote all
fk me it's good to see some folks in the know for once commenting on the news. Let's wait and see what's to come and go, I'll put the kettle on.

Pesty

42,655 posts

280 months

Sunday 22nd December 2019
quotequote all
I know nothing of the Air Force

I can’t see the red arrows being disbanded the optics would be too bad.

Recently spent a few weeks on a US air base. Their fighters were taking off throughout the day, I don’t mean 1 every few hours I mean like every 20 minutes. Sounded like several at a time too.

I’ve also be at UK air bases and seen very few take off. I’m not sure we can strip much more money away. Totally anecdotal and not sure the operational status of the UK bases so pretty much meaningless but it does appear our Air Force budget is a drop in the ocean.

borcy

10,777 posts

80 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
There's supposed to be a massive cull of middle and senior officers, I'll believe it when I see it.

Jasandjules

72,036 posts

253 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
borcy said:
There's supposed to be a massive cull of middle and senior officers, I'll believe it when I see it.
I'd like to see that happen in the NHS.

But I doubt there is a snowballs chance in hell of the Red Arrows being canned. World famous display team that shows off the best of the RAF..

Ayahuasca

27,560 posts

303 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
The Red Arrow’s T1 Hawk aircraft is obsolescent, and the newer T2 Hawk is unsuitable for Red Arrows work, so there is a good chance it will be disbanded in its current form.




borcy

10,777 posts

80 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
Ayahuasca said:
The Red Arrow’s T1 Hawk aircraft is obsolescent, and the newer T2 Hawk is unsuitable for Red Arrows work, so there is a good chance it will be disbanded in its current form.
They'll go on till T1 osd which i think is 2028. After that...

Evanivitch

26,000 posts

146 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
I would expect to see a further sell-off of the defence estate with airfield sites being sold off and many transit accomodation sites with no major units based there.

Army, AJAX will run its course, MRVP part 1 continue, part 2 cancelled, WCSP cancelled, MIV increased, Strike 155 to next phase.

Navy, 2 littoral strike ships purchased, with one on humanitarian duties, further purchases of cheap ships with few weapons, further commitment to deterrent.

RAF have got all their shiny toys, what more could they want?

borcy

10,777 posts

80 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
DE is already in the middle of a big sell off from the last sdsr, which is taking far longer than expected. Not sure there's much left to sell off?

civicduty

1,857 posts

227 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
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I would be quite happy if the A400M was simply given back to Airbus.

Evanivitch

26,000 posts

146 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
civicduty said:
I would be quite happy if the A400M was simply given back to Airbus.
Won't happen. Too many equipments have been procured on the basis that A400M will get them there, eventually.

civicduty

1,857 posts

227 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
Though on a serious note, a lot could probably be done with the logistics side of the Air Force. The amount of stock held of the wrong item or too much of the right item would be a good place to start looking.

civicduty

1,857 posts

227 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
Evanivitch said:
civicduty said:
I would be quite happy if the A400M was simply given back to Airbus.
Won't happen. Too many equipments have been procured on the basis that A400M will get them there, eventually.
Would be interesting if a ball park date for eventually could be established!

borcy

10,777 posts

80 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
civicduty said:
I would be quite happy if the A400M was simply given back to Airbus.
Still having 'teething' issues?

shed driver

2,917 posts

184 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
I volunteer as an instructor with the Army Cadet Force, I can see the funding for them being culled pretty severely. The fact that it helps keep kids off the streets and gives them a sense of purpose is not something that will be measured on a balance sheet.

Also the household division? Five Regiments of foot guards, why not one or two? Or is that too much of a sacred cow?

SD.

HaplessBoyLard

1,573 posts

212 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
borcy said:
There's supposed to be a massive cull of middle and senior officers, I'll believe it when I see it.
Fingers crossed. The number that I’ve met over the years who occupy a job that could easily be rolled into someone else’s, or not exist at all beggars belief.

DuncsGTi

1,175 posts

203 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
shed driver said:
Also the household division? Five Regiments of foot guards, why not one or two? Or is that too much of a sacred cow?

SD.
If ceremonial duties was all they did then yes they'd be a prime target for cuts, however as they still do the normal infantry job, cuts in that area are the last thing we need

HaplessBoyLard

1,573 posts

212 months

Monday 23rd December 2019
quotequote all
Pesty said:
I know nothing of the Air Force

I can’t see the red arrows being disbanded the optics would be too bad.

Recently spent a few weeks on a US air base. Their fighters were taking off throughout the day, I don’t mean 1 every few hours I mean like every 20 minutes. Sounded like several at a time too.

I’ve also be at UK air bases and seen very few take off. I’m not sure we can strip much more money away. Totally anecdotal and not sure the operational status of the UK bases so pretty much meaningless but it does appear our Air Force budget is a drop in the ocean.
US fighter wings typically have far more aircraft and a hell of a lot more people to maintain them than a typical RAF Sqn or fighter base. It’s not easy keeping older aircraft (that we had until recently) serviceable enough to fly with limited airframes, small personnel numbers and quite often a lack of spares and logistical support. Newer aircraft are difficult to operate in other ways.

The US will also have a hell of a lot more crews to keep current, so the amount of flying hours required to do that will naturally be far greater.