May 1st Local Elections: Reform Gains, and other aspects
May 1st Local Elections: Reform Gains, and other aspects

Poll: May 1st Local Elections: Reform Gains, and other aspects

Total Members Polled: 187

Reform gain 0-99 council seats: 19%
Reform gain 100-199 council seats: 10%
Reform gain 200-249 council seats: 7%
Reform gain 250-299 council seats: 6%
Reform gain 300-349 council seats: 4%
Reform gain 350-399 council seats: 9%
Reform gain 400-449 council seats: 5%
Reform gain 450-499 council seats: 5%
Reform gain 500+ council seats: 36%
Author
Discussion

turbobloke

Original Poster:

115,912 posts

283 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
The so-called Red Wall is looking to be good hunting ground for Reform.

ChevronB19

8,522 posts

186 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
And in a classic TB way, you are rigging the voting, as there is no option for losing seats.

For clarity, I fully expect them to gain seats, but jeez, come on, you’re always the one who complains about rigged stats etc.

I’d say about 150 at a guess. I won’t like it, but hey, that’s democracy!

What’s the ‘other aspects’ mentioned in the title?

Edited by ChevronB19 on Thursday 24th April 14:01

ARHarh

4,892 posts

130 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
Lib dems will gain the most. They often do well when the other parties are performing badly, but only during a local election.

JagLover

46,114 posts

258 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
Reform are polling well and turnout at local elections tend to be highest in age groups where Reform are strongest. They also have very few seats to defend. Without looking at predictions in the papers I went with 500+

greygoose

9,392 posts

218 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
ChevronB19 said:
And in a classic TB way, you are rigging the voting, as there is no option for losing seats.

For clarity, I fully expect them to gain seats, but jeez, come on, you’re always the one who complains about rigged stats etc.

I’d say about 150 at a guess. I won’t like it, but hey, that’s democracy!

What’s the ‘other aspects’ mentioned in the title?

Edited by ChevronB19 on Thursday 24th April 14:01
The other aspects seems to have gone missing, unless he is flogging off his old Thatcher/Tory party memorabilia now he is a Reform shill?

turbobloke

Original Poster:

115,912 posts

283 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
"Could the local elections reshape British politics?"

"Can Reform UK turn votes into seats - and from there into power? How far do the Tories have to fall? How unpopular is Labour now that it's in government?"

https://news.sky.com/story/could-the-local-electio...


Mortarboard

12,054 posts

78 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
Care to put your neck in the noose turbs, and suggest what number Reform "should" get?

M.

ChevronB19

8,522 posts

186 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
"Could the local elections reshape British politics?"

"Can Reform UK turn votes into seats - and from there into power? How far do the Tories have to fall? How unpopular is Labour now that it's in government?"

https://news.sky.com/story/could-the-local-electio...
World class TB response.

hairykrishna

14,365 posts

226 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
greygoose said:
The other aspects seems to have gone missing, unless he is flogging off his old Thatcher/Tory party memorabilia now he is a Reform shill?
Reform are the only major party in the UK who have publicly denied that the current change in the earth's climate is being caused by human activity. Of course Turbobloke is all in on them.

Randy Winkman

20,964 posts

212 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
The so-called Red Wall is looking to be good hunting ground for Reform.
Do you have some sort of role in promoting Reform?

turbobloke

Original Poster:

115,912 posts

283 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
Randy Winkman said:
turbobloke said:
The so-called Red Wall is looking to be good hunting ground for Reform.
Do you have some sort of role in promoting Reform?
One, don't be silly. Two, Labour are doing that job very well already. Three, playing the man not the ball yet again, your trademark.

Now you can ask the other formulaic vexatious leading question "why should anybody vote for Reform" it's at least a couple of hours since the last time somebody asked one way or another.

popegregory

1,882 posts

157 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
Are people actually going to vote Reform? They’re not really a party, just some mouth on stick idiots who were too daft for the conservatives? I thought everyone knew that?

MC Bodge

27,776 posts

198 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
My wife used to have to deal with some councillors from one of the previous incarnations of Refuk.

Impressive, they were not.

Super Sonic

12,355 posts

77 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
Mortarboard said:
Care to put your neck in the noose turbs, and suggest what number Reform "should" get?

M.
Seconded

hairykrishna

14,365 posts

226 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
popegregory said:
Are people actually going to vote Reform? They’re not really a party, just some mouth on stick idiots who were too daft for the conservatives? I thought everyone knew that?
I think they'll do well in the locals. Protest votes and old people is basically the local election demographic.

popegregory

1,882 posts

157 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
popegregory said:
Are people actually going to vote Reform? They’re not really a party, just some mouth on stick idiots who were too daft for the conservatives? I thought everyone knew that?
I think they'll do well in the locals. Protest votes and old people is basically the local election demographic.
Yes, I expect you’re right to be fair

Randy Winkman

20,964 posts

212 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Randy Winkman said:
turbobloke said:
The so-called Red Wall is looking to be good hunting ground for Reform.
Do you have some sort of role in promoting Reform?
One, don't be silly. Two, Labour are doing that job very well already. Three, playing the man not the ball yet again, your trademark.

Now you can ask the other formulaic vexatious leading question "why should anybody vote for Reform" it's at least a couple of hours since the last time somebody asked one way or another.
My trademark? If anyone here has condescending and patronising fellow PHers down to an art form it's you.

Gordon Hill

2,412 posts

38 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
In 4 years time Labour will sink into oblivion,never to be anywhere near power again.

ATG

23,043 posts

295 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Three, playing the man not the ball yet again, your trademark.

Now you can ask the other formulaic vexatious...
You just snapped the needle on my irony detector.

eharding

14,648 posts

307 months

Thursday 24th April 2025
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Three, playing the man not the ball yet again, your trademark.
When you've spent years here making a massive walloping bk of yourself, you can't complain when your spherical persona gives folk the impression that you are the ball, and give it a good kicking as a result.