Betfair bluffers thread

[NoelWatson]

At least two of us are having a bit of fun on Betfair while the results trickle in. I'm just bought Tories at ~3

[ShadownINja]

Good luck! I have no idea what ~3 means.

[mouseymousey]

I'm leaving it well alone but a buy at 3 seems decent long term bet, short term I expect them to get longer though.

[NoelWatson]

Lay at 1.64?

[B17NNS]

Cool, a foreign language version of Pistonheads

[NoelWatson]

"Would you consider getting into bed with Mandy"

snigger

[g4ry13]

I'm not sure about betting on voter turnout - 60.01-65% at 8 looks like a good shot.

I've also been trying to figure out the line on seats for liberals. It's currently 71-75. I don't know if there's any money in it.

Edited by g4ry13 on Thursday 6th May 22:28

[ShadownINja]

I might bet Labour and Libdem cos if it's bad news, I won't feel so bad.

[NoelWatson]

g4ry13 said:

I'm not sure about betting on voter turnout - 60.01-65% at 8 looks like a good shot.

I've also been trying to figure out the line on seats for liberals. It's currently 71-75. I don't know if there's any money in it.

Edited by g4ry13 on Thursday 6th May 22:28

I thought the turnout was supposed to have been very good - i.e. >70%?

[g4ry13]

NoelWatson said:

g4ry13 said:

I'm not sure about betting on voter turnout - 60.01-65% at 8 looks like a good shot.

I've also been trying to figure out the line on seats for liberals. It's currently 71-75. I don't know if there's any money in it.

Edited by g4ry13 on Thursday 6th May 22:28

I thought the turnout was supposed to have been very good - i.e. >70%?

It's very possible, that's what the odds are indicating. But I was thinking it could be worth a shot as that's what turnout is usually although this election is a little different.

[NoelWatson]

Brucie is an old duffer

[mouseymousey]

NoelWatson said:

At least two of us are having a bit of fun on Betfair while the results trickle in. I'm just bought Tories at ~3

Any idea what the Tories peaked at when the exit poll was announced? Looks like 3.2ish from the graph.

[5unny]

Price for 'No Overall Majority' plummeting

Will be into the 1.4s soon.

[NoelWatson]

mouseymousey said:

NoelWatson said:

At least two of us are having a bit of fun on Betfair while the results trickle in. I'm just bought Tories at ~3

Any idea what the Tories peaked at when the exit poll was announced? Looks like 3.2ish from the graph.

I missed both peak and trough. When is the first seat expected?

[Pothole]

g4ry13 said:

NoelWatson said:

g4ry13 said:

I'm not sure about betting on voter turnout - 60.01-65% at 8 looks like a good shot.

I've also been trying to figure out the line on seats for liberals. It's currently 71-75. I don't know if there's any money in it.

Edited by g4ry13 on Thursday 6th May 22:28

I thought the turnout was supposed to have been very good - i.e. >70%?

It's very possible, that's what the odds are indicating. But I was thinking it could be worth a shot as that's what turnout is usually although this election is a little different.

if you backed it at 8 you can lay out of it at 3.9 for some easy money...

[mouseymousey]

NoelWatson said:

mouseymousey said:

NoelWatson said:

At least two of us are having a bit of fun on Betfair while the results trickle in. I'm just bought Tories at ~3

Any idea what the Tories peaked at when the exit poll was announced? Looks like 3.2ish from the graph.

I missed both peak and trough. When is the first seat expected?

First seat, ultra safe labour historically, is due at 10:43 (they're trying to break their own record)

If hung drops below 1.4 then I'm laying it, despite saying I wouldn't get involved.

[Somewhatfoolish]

Nate Silver's model is putting this at pretty much 50/50... tories looking great value bet at 3 atm in my opinion.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

[NoelWatson]

mouseymousey said:

If hung drops below 1.4 then I'm laying it, despite saying I wouldn't get involved.

Good man!!

[Somewhatfoolish]

NoelWatson said:

mouseymousey said:

NoelWatson said:

At least two of us are having a bit of fun on Betfair while the results trickle in. I'm just bought Tories at ~3

Any idea what the Tories peaked at when the exit poll was announced? Looks like 3.2ish from the graph.

I missed both peak and trough. When is the first seat expected?

Very very soon, it'll be sunderland almost certainly

[mouseymousey]

Somewhatfoolish said:

Nate Silver's model is putting this at pretty much 50/50... tories looking great value bet at 3 atm in my opinion.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

3.2 now, think it'll go longer still after the first seat is announced. 3.5 would be a cracking price