Who are you going to vote for in 2015

Who are you going to vote for in 2015

Poll: Who are you going to vote for in 2015

Total Members Polled: 724

other left leaning independent: 0%
other left leaning group: 1%
Green party: 2%
Lib Dem: 3%
Labour: 6%
conservatives: 34%
UKIP: 43%
other right leaning group: 2%
right leaning independent: 1%
Will not vote: 9%
Author
Discussion

speedtwelve

3,514 posts

275 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
UKIP. Voted Conservative at the previous general election, but the party has become far too centrist and ineffectual; Thatcher will be spinning in her grave. Current government could be just a continuation of the previous Liebour shower for all the policies have changed...

Back to UKIP (I've voted on/off with them for the last 15 years). Hopefully the party can build some momentum, but it has a terrible image amongst certain chunks of the public and needs some PR tweaking...

IanMorewood

4,309 posts

250 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Our local MP who also happens to be the secretary for transport is almost sure to get back in next time round although if anyone bothers to put a real candidate against him I would vote for them.

Jasandjules

70,061 posts

231 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Whilst the Conservative party insist on this so called "Green" s**e, they will never get my vote. UKIP it is.

Wills2

23,382 posts

177 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
I like Farage he speaks a lot of sense but they have no chance and therefore I won't vote for them as I'd rather keep labour out than see UKIP do well (which they can't anyway)

Having said that our local MP is labour and has a big majority so not sure my vote will count at all, so maybe I will vote UKIP!






speedtwelve

3,514 posts

275 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Not having a dig Wills2, but isn't this tactical voting approach precisely why 'UKIP can't do well' as you say???

fatboy b

9,517 posts

218 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Can't believe the knobbers who've voted Labour. Do they realise that we're still trying to recover from the mess they left?

Scuffers

20,887 posts

276 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
fatboy b said:
Can't believe the knobbers who've voted Labour. Do they realise that we're still trying to recover from the mess they left?
It does make you wonder....

AnonSpoilSport

12,955 posts

178 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Nooooo!!!


0a

23,907 posts

196 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
UKIP - the Tories need to lose badly so they dump Cameron, their high tax and spend pro EU pro Green nonsense policies. I am resigned to a necessary Labour victory.

Interestingly after years of defending Cameron my true Tory mother will also be voting UKIP following the immigration fiasco.

GetCarter

29,446 posts

281 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Nobody

"Following the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 the date of the next general election has been set at the 7 May 2015"

Oakey

27,628 posts

218 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Scuffers said:
It does make you wonder....
Have you seen some of the posts and attitudes around here lately? All those cuts people were clamouring for back when Labour were in power, seems they didn't want them after all!

dandarez

13,335 posts

285 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
IF the supposed recovery does not get going, indeed IF there is a recovery at all (looking at the retailer's Xmas results and by what friends and business colleagues tell me it is dubious), then it will go only one way... UKIP.

Even the last May county council elections went their way, and even in areas like mine - the PM's!
Hard to believe but UKIP took many votes here in Oxfordshire. The Tories even lost overall control in Oxford.
Third place in the PM's own town of Witney, with Labour winning one seat and UKIP second by just 10 votes.
http://www.oxfordmail.co.uk/news/national/news/104...

With CMD (if he remains at the helm), Farage is laughing.
The media tries to portray it otherwise, but when you look at the growing support of UKIP, it can and will go only one way. Many suffering long-time voters are totally and utterly disillusioned. The only way to get change is to change voting habits of a lifetime. I started some years back and all I've seen is it grow.
Most I know are changing, they are all totally fed up with the same. The only ones who don't seem to want UKIP are younger, much younger... but a majority of these think politics don't matter so are not going to vote. Fools only don't vote. It's a right and you should use it, even if only to spoil your ballot. They'd be the first to complain if it was taken away from them.

What will be the decisive factor is where we are 'this time next year'.

If Farage gets the expected landslide in the Euros and council elections (again), then more and more will turn to him if CMD is still leader. Immigration from B and R didn't happen, but who the hell thought it would on day one? The same day in 2015 could well present a different picture altogether. If it does, one party and one party only will benefit.

I believe the sea change could be not far away.



NoNeed

Original Poster:

15,137 posts

202 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
GetCarter said:
Nobody

"Following the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 the date of the next general election has been set at the 7 May 2015"
The initial post was immediately altered to state this obvious point with a note asking if a nice MOD would correct the title.

NoNeed

Original Poster:

15,137 posts

202 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
I didn't expect such a large UKIP vote

steveT350C

6,728 posts

163 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
NoNeed said:
I didn't expect such a large UKIP vote
Would be interesting to compare with the previous poll on PH showed, if anyone can find it...

dandarez

13,335 posts

285 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
NoNeed said:
I didn't expect such a large UKIP vote
That's what all the other parties will say after the Euros and then after the GE in 2015! hehe

I suspect many Tories will want to dump CMD and when they realise he won't be going (unless he get's Rompuy's job this time next year) they'll be jumping ship - one way only!

People hate being on the losing side in this country. Watch the UKIP momentum gather pace as the year goes on if Dave is still at the helm and things (economy, immigration, nhs etc) don't improve.


anonymous-user

56 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
dandarez said:
IF the supposed recovery does not get going, indeed IF there is a recovery at all (looking at the retailer's Xmas results and by what friends and business colleagues tell me it is dubious), then it will go only one way... UKIP.

Even the last May county council elections went their way, and even in areas like mine - the PM's!
Hard to believe but UKIP took many votes here in Oxfordshire. The Tories even lost overall control in Oxford.
Third place in the PM's own town of Witney, with Labour winning one seat and UKIP second by just 10 votes.
http://www.oxfordmail.co.uk/news/national/news/104...

With CMD (if he remains at the helm), Farage is laughing.
The media tries to portray it otherwise, but when you look at the growing support of UKIP, it can and will go only one way. Many suffering long-time voters are totally and utterly disillusioned. The only way to get change is to change voting habits of a lifetime. I started some years back and all I've seen is it grow.
Most I know are changing, they are all totally fed up with the same. The only ones who don't seem to want UKIP are younger, much younger... but a majority of these think politics don't matter so are not going to vote. Fools only don't vote. It's a right and you should use it, even if only to spoil your ballot. They'd be the first to complain if it was taken away from them.

What will be the decisive factor is where we are 'this time next year'.

If Farage gets the expected landslide in the Euros and council elections (again), then more and more will turn to him if CMD is still leader. Immigration from B and R didn't happen, but who the hell thought it would on day one? The same day in 2015 could well present a different picture altogether. If it does, one party and one party only will benefit.

I believe the sea change could be not far away.
This has all been done to death before on PH, so here goes nothing...

UKIP got 3% of the vote and no seats at the last GE. They have precisely no chance of forming the next Govt, or the one after that, or the one after that.

Voting for UKIP at the next GE will simply split the right's vote. With the LDs set to lose a lot of electoral support, the only winner will be Labour. Professed right wingers engineer a socialist Govt.

Bloody great. Not.

NoNeed

Original Poster:

15,137 posts

202 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Thank you kind MOD whoever you arethumbup

Scuffers

20,887 posts

276 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
Greg66 said:
Voting for UKIP at the next GE will simply split the right's vote. With the LDs set to lose a lot of electoral support, the only winner will be Labour. Professed right wingers engineer a socialist Govt.
Disagree...

I would suggest UKIP's gains are more at the cost of labour and the lib dems than Tory...

Bradgate

2,855 posts

149 months

Saturday 11th January 2014
quotequote all
dandarez said:
That's what all the other parties will say after the Euros and then after the GE in 2015! hehe

I suspect many Tories will want to dump CMD and when they realise he won't be going (unless he get's Rompuy's job this time next year) they'll be jumping ship - one way only!

People hate being on the losing side in this country. Watch the UKIP momentum gather pace as the year goes on if Dave is still at the helm and things (economy, immigration, nhs etc) don't improve.
I only agree with the first part of this. UKIP will do very well at the Euro elections, indeed they may even come top, but their support is mainly 'protest vote' in nature and it will not hold up at the general election.

The Tory campaign message in blue seats which UKIP are targeting will be "Vote UKIP, get Labour / Libdem". This will be enough to persuade most right-wing voters that the only way to stop a Labour victory is to vote Tory.