BoE
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Simpo Two

Original Poster:

91,617 posts

289 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
quotequote all
All we ever hear about the BoE is the base rate going up or down a bit.

When inflation goes up you edge the base rate up bit by bit until it stops. When inflation goes down and/or the economy is borked you lower it bit by bit until until it picks up. I could do that, and for half Mr Bailey's salary. So what else goes on in that huge building?

CAH706

2,178 posts

188 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
quotequote all
I think it's more a case of them just doing what America does

They seem clueless on what factors have actually driven inflation

G-wiz

2,682 posts

50 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
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6 months ago, Bailey informed us that the UK was facing a harsh and protracted recession.

Today, it appears a recession may not occur.

I think they are all clueless.

Panamax

8,531 posts

58 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
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CAH706 said:
I think it's more a case of them just doing what America does

They seem clueless on what factors have actually driven inflation
^^^ Absolutely this.

Their solution simply doesn't fit the problem. It's like pouring petrol on a fire in hope that any cool liquid will extinguish the flames.

trickywoo

13,766 posts

254 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
quotequote all
CAH706 said:
They seem clueless on what factors have actually driven inflation
They caused it so its either hold your hand up or say you are fixing it.

Whatever happens they will think they are better than anyone else.

Mr Whippy

32,347 posts

265 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
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Yep, they cause the house fires, then they throw petrol or water depending on how it's looking 5 minutes ago.

Wouldn't it be better with a system where a fire at all wasn't desirable?

A system and economy where perpetual growth wasn't essential?


A system where we can grow and shrink, rather than just grow even if it's at manifold societal detriment, possibly beyond the supposed detriment of having an economy that deflates from time to time.

TT1138

798 posts

158 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
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No expert, and this is said a little tongue in cheek…

But current antics by the BoE haven’t dissuaded me from the belief that economists sit somewhere between palm readers and mediums in terms of prediction accuracy.

Simpo Two

Original Poster:

91,617 posts

289 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
quotequote all
TT1138 said:
...economists sit somewhere between palm readers and mediums in terms of prediction accuracy.
- but make vastly more money. The son of a friend of mine is an economist with (I think) Barclays and gets a nice bonus.

There must be more to it than talking jargon whilst sounding convincing I'm sure.

J210

5,152 posts

207 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
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The pound has done well vs the dollar today .......

Simpo Two

Original Poster:

91,617 posts

289 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
quotequote all
J210 said:
The pound has done well vs the dollar today .......
Ah well now that's something we can ponder... if Trump gets re-elected will the dollar (a) halve (b) double? spin

Either way the British media will go into a feeding frenzy even bigger than last time frown

g4ry13

20,900 posts

279 months

Thursday 11th May 2023
quotequote all
Simpo Two said:
All we ever hear about the BoE is the base rate going up or down a bit.

When inflation goes up you edge the base rate up bit by bit until it stops. When inflation goes down and/or the economy is borked you lower it bit by bit until until it picks up. I could do that, and for half Mr Bailey's salary. So what else goes on in that huge building?
A little thing called RTGS which settles over £700bn worth of transactions every day. The PRA which supervises institutions posing systemic risk. Then there's a bunch of numpties making incorrect forecasts and gaffes for the comms teams to clear up.

The economists and Mr Bailey and his ilk actually make up a small % of the Bank.

Scootersp

3,958 posts

212 months

Friday 12th May 2023
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I love this guy and his take on the Economists we hear from seems valid?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5b1vzARyfI

LordFlathead

9,646 posts

282 months

Friday 12th May 2023
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In less than two months Redacted thinks that cash will be replaced in the US with digital currency. If this is the case it will cause mass pandemonium their and no doubt the UK will attempt to follow suit.

Personally I think they are all on crack cocaine if they manage to pull it off.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cG-UxBM6pPc

Edited by LordFlathead on Friday 12th May 01:05

Simpo Two

Original Poster:

91,617 posts

289 months

Friday 12th May 2023
quotequote all
g4ry13 said:
A little thing called RTGS which settles over £700bn worth of transactions every day. The PRA which supervises institutions posing systemic risk. Then there's a bunch of numpties making incorrect forecasts and gaffes for the comms teams to clear up.
Thanks; I knew that building had to be full of something.

Specifically to the UK, RTGS appears to be CHAPS. If so I didn't realise all payments went through the BoE; do they act as a 'buffer' while the wheels on the other banks catch up?

How does the PRA differ from the FCA?

ChocolateFrog

34,954 posts

197 months

Friday 12th May 2023
quotequote all
Simpo Two said:
All we ever hear about the BoE is the base rate going up or down a bit.

When inflation goes up you edge the base rate up bit by bit until it stops. When inflation goes down and/or the economy is borked you lower it bit by bit until until it picks up. I could do that, and for half Mr Bailey's salary. So what else goes on in that huge building?
Tell us to suck up being poorer.

Tell us not to ask for payrises.

Whoozit

3,865 posts

293 months

Friday 12th May 2023
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Mmm. Under Bailey's watch, the FCA became unfit for purpose. It couldn't even hold on to staff. In my professional area, the approach to market engagement was summarised (from a head of market supervision) as ever refining regulation. Let's ignore the elephants in the room on just how destructive some of those refinements were?

I wasn't impressed with him then, and seeing him get the BoE job was truly a shock. He hasn't impressed at all since then.

g4ry13

20,900 posts

279 months

Friday 12th May 2023
quotequote all
Simpo Two said:
g4ry13 said:
A little thing called RTGS which settles over £700bn worth of transactions every day. The PRA which supervises institutions posing systemic risk. Then there's a bunch of numpties making incorrect forecasts and gaffes for the comms teams to clear up.
Thanks; I knew that building had to be full of something.

Specifically to the UK, RTGS appears to be CHAPS. If so I didn't realise all payments went through the BoE; do they act as a 'buffer' while the wheels on the other banks catch up?

How does the PRA differ from the FCA?
RTGS is the infrastructure and CHAPS was previously independent and moved in-house to the BoE in 2017. The Bank provides delivery versus payment settlement as well for schemes such as Faster Payments / Mastercard / BACS / Visa / CREST. So it really depends on the type of payment you are making but at some point the payment will pass through the system.

Previously we had the FSA which regulated the financial industry. This was then split into the FCA and the PRA in 2013. The FCA deals with matters of conduct - it's more consumer facing. Whereas the PRA has a more supervisory role of institutions, collecting their financial data and taking action when needed.

edit: Also to add, they have a museum which the public can come along to and see some of the history.

Edited by g4ry13 on Friday 12th May 10:57

Simpo Two

Original Poster:

91,617 posts

289 months

Friday 12th May 2023
quotequote all
ChocolateFrog said:
Tell us to suck up being poorer.

Tell us not to ask for payrises.
But it's not possible to have a higher standard of living/more disposable income every year, year after year, especially when people want to work less and/or for more money. No rise can go on for ever. The growth we came to accept as standard was handed to other countries who work harder for less.


g4ry13 said:
RTGS is the infrastructure and CHAPS was previously independent and moved in-house to the BoE in 2017. The Bank provides delivery versus payment settlement as well for schemes such as Faster Payments / Mastercard / BACS / Visa / CREST. So it really depends on the type of payment you are making but at some point the payment will pass through the system.

Previously we had the FSA which regulated the financial industry. This was then split into the FCA and the PRA in 2013. The FCA deals with matters of conduct - it's more consumer facing. Whereas the PRA has a more supervisory role of institutions, collecting their financial data and taking action when needed.
Great, thanks smile

g4ry13

20,900 posts

279 months

Friday 12th May 2023
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Also banknote exchanges. Quite often you'll see a queue of people standing outside the Bank waiting in a line to change their old notes.

The Bank also has agents across the country which are meant to keep their finger 'on the pulse' by interacting with local businesses. No idea how much value they really provide though.

Not to mention that the Bank also stores around 400,000 bars of Gold which takes up quite a bit of space!

Edited by g4ry13 on Friday 12th May 11:07

Wills2

28,335 posts

199 months

Friday 12th May 2023
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Blanchflower is getting pretty scathing of the current policy and those in charge, he has a point as well, they are doubling down on the issues not improving them.