CV19. Could Britain have stopped this dead.
CV19. Could Britain have stopped this dead.
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Discussion

croyde

Original Poster:

26,354 posts

259 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Oh no! Not another virus thread I hear you say.

I'd like this to be a discussion about an alternative history or timeline. A genre of Sci Fi that I'm a great fan of, hear me out.

Consider our leaders are rather more astute than the fools we currently have, and they saw this coming from last year.

The news was bad, I work in news and was already privy to the appalling situation in China, so I'm sure they were better informed.

Britain is an island, this very fact has kept invaders out for centuries until this microscopic one succeeded.

What would have been the economic consequences of shutting all airports and harbours back in early January, testing every Briton repatriated and searching out every contact when the infection rate was low?

I know hindsight is a marvelous thing and weighing up the cost to the country of doing such a thing at the beginning of the year compared to the devastation done to business and wages now, is a luxury.

But wouldn't we now be the only single working, virus free powerhouse in the West, if not the World, if only we had done what the Brexiteers wanted, and turned the UK into a fortress cut off from the rest of the world?

Be great if some of the finance chaps would discuss this, as obviously I am unsure of what I'm talking about, just an idea that came to me whilst trying to social distance at work yesterday.

Thanks for indulging. Ta.

greygoose

9,663 posts

224 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Britain imports a lot of food so unless the farmers can fill the gap with very little notice, then we would be quite hungry in our “fortress”.

moles

1,858 posts

273 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Depends how you create most of your wealth/product. New Zealand will probably be the first country that has the same lifestyle to us which eradicated the virus.

But then what?, none of the population is immune and seeing as they rely on tourism I’m not sure what they going to do. Who will be going on holiday there if the first 2 weeks have to be spent in quarantine.

What’s the UK main source of GDP I’m not sure we would be in a better position than we are now. Demand has dropped for everything except food throughout the world so we could carry on production of stuff but who’s going to buy it?.

Monkeylegend

29,233 posts

260 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Unless we can eradicate the virus whilst the barriers are up and we are all locked safely inside, as soon as you take them down it will invade.

By then we would all either be dead or divorced, or both.

And poor, very very poor.

Edited by Monkeylegend on Sunday 12th April 09:38

croyde

Original Poster:

26,354 posts

259 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Keep them coming hehe

My thought, as rubbish as it may be, is that all the financial services would be fully up and running. Doesn't most of the world rely on that?

Food is a very good point. It would take a long time to get up to speed to grow everything our population needs. We have a big population.

We can still import, but stringent procedures on quarantine and/or making sure products and produce are cleaned. Like we are supposed to be doing currently with our groceries.

p4pedro

436 posts

222 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
sadly this virus started with 1 person, and until we become immune to it or have a vaccine to beat it , things are going to stay the way they are at the moment. After the lockdowns if 1 person somewhere in the world still has this virus within 3 months it will have spread all around again

Teddy Lop

8,301 posts

96 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
greygoose said:
Britain imports a lot of food so unless the farmers can fill the gap with very little notice, then we would be quite hungry in our “fortress”.
and everything else.

We manufacture jack st - we struggle to cobble together face masks - one of the early concerns of China's shut down (when we thought the virus wouldn't affect us) was the stop in supply of manufactured goods affecting UK industry!

Evanivitch

26,379 posts

151 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
croyde said:
.
Britain is an island, this very fact has kept invaders out for centuries until this microscopic one succeeded.
.
Except we've a long history of invaders, big and small. Grey squirrel, Japanese knot weed, mink, crayfish, parakeets, even rabbits.

We've never been an isolationist nation.

Spare tyre

12,559 posts

159 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Parakeets, is that what I see in London parks?

croyde

Original Poster:

26,354 posts

259 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
And nicking my apples

vixen1700

29,024 posts

299 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Spare tyre said:
Parakeets, is that what I see in London parks?
Yeah, there are thousands of them all over London.

Noisy sods, but beautiful plumage.

Tyre Tread

10,679 posts

245 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
vixen1700 said:
Yeah, there are thousands of them all over London.

Noisy sods, but beautiful plumage.
The plumage don't enter into it....

vixen1700

29,024 posts

299 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
hehe

SCEtoAUX

4,119 posts

110 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
p4pedro said:
sadly this virus started with 1 person, and until we become immune to it or have a vaccine to beat it , things are going to stay the way they are at the moment. After the lockdowns if 1 person somewhere in the world still has this virus within 3 months it will have spread all around again
Completely wrong.

There are countless viruses all over the world, all of the time. Does everyone catch them all? Of course not.

moles

1,858 posts

273 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
No it’s not wrong it’s completely right. This virus is way more easily spread than standard flu.

It probably started with 1 person and will come back again. If you could eradicate it by every person in the world staying locked down for a month and it fizzled out, there is no guarantee that it is not rife in all the bat population and could jump again over to humans.

But that’s irrelevant anyway as we are not able to quarantine every person in the world anyway.

Pothole

34,367 posts

311 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
croyde said:
Oh no! Not another virus thread I hear you say.

I'd like this to be a discussion about an alternative history or timeline. A genre of Sci Fi that I'm a great fan of, hear me out.

Consider our leaders are rather more astute than the fools we currently have, and they saw this coming from last year.

The news was bad, I work in news and was already privy to the appalling situation in China, so I'm sure they were better informed.

Britain is an island, this very fact has kept invaders out for centuries until this microscopic one succeeded.

What would have been the economic consequences of shutting all airports and harbours back in early January, testing every Briton repatriated and searching out every contact when the infection rate was low?

I know hindsight is a marvelous thing and weighing up the cost to the country of doing such a thing at the beginning of the year compared to the devastation done to business and wages now, is a luxury.

But wouldn't we now be the only single working, virus free powerhouse in the West, if not the World, if only we had done what the Brexiteers wanted, and turned the UK into a fortress cut off from the rest of the world?

Be great if some of the finance chaps would discuss this, as obviously I am unsure of what I'm talking about, just an idea that came to me whilst trying to social distance at work yesterday.

Thanks for indulging. Ta.
Didn't keep out the plague, smallpox, Spanish Flu, SARS, Swine Flu etc etc etc. Coulda woulda shoulda bks

croyde

Original Poster:

26,354 posts

259 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
Pothole said:
croyde said:
Oh no! Not another virus thread I hear you say.

I'd like this to be a discussion about an alternative history or timeline. A genre of Sci Fi that I'm a great fan of, hear me out.

Consider our leaders are rather more astute than the fools we currently have, and they saw this coming from last year.

The news was bad, I work in news and was already privy to the appalling situation in China, so I'm sure they were better informed.

Britain is an island, this very fact has kept invaders out for centuries until this microscopic one succeeded.

What would have been the economic consequences of shutting all airports and harbours back in early January, testing every Briton repatriated and searching out every contact when the infection rate was low?

I know hindsight is a marvelous thing and weighing up the cost to the country of doing such a thing at the beginning of the year compared to the devastation done to business and wages now, is a luxury.

But wouldn't we now be the only single working, virus free powerhouse in the West, if not the World, if only we had done what the Brexiteers wanted, and turned the UK into a fortress cut off from the rest of the world?

Be great if some of the finance chaps would discuss this, as obviously I am unsure of what I'm talking about, just an idea that came to me whilst trying to social distance at work yesterday.

Thanks for indulging. Ta.
Didn't keep out the plague, smallpox, Spanish Flu, SARS, Swine Flu etc etc etc. Coulda woulda shoulda bks
Good point.

Doesn't help with my research for a new best seller though. Pretend they never happened.

Pothole

34,367 posts

311 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
croyde said:
Pothole said:
croyde said:
Oh no! Not another virus thread I hear you say.

I'd like this to be a discussion about an alternative history or timeline. A genre of Sci Fi that I'm a great fan of, hear me out.

Consider our leaders are rather more astute than the fools we currently have, and they saw this coming from last year.

The news was bad, I work in news and was already privy to the appalling situation in China, so I'm sure they were better informed.

Britain is an island, this very fact has kept invaders out for centuries until this microscopic one succeeded.

What would have been the economic consequences of shutting all airports and harbours back in early January, testing every Briton repatriated and searching out every contact when the infection rate was low?

I know hindsight is a marvelous thing and weighing up the cost to the country of doing such a thing at the beginning of the year compared to the devastation done to business and wages now, is a luxury.

But wouldn't we now be the only single working, virus free powerhouse in the West, if not the World, if only we had done what the Brexiteers wanted, and turned the UK into a fortress cut off from the rest of the world?

Be great if some of the finance chaps would discuss this, as obviously I am unsure of what I'm talking about, just an idea that came to me whilst trying to social distance at work yesterday.

Thanks for indulging. Ta.
Didn't keep out the plague, smallpox, Spanish Flu, SARS, Swine Flu etc etc etc. Coulda woulda shoulda bks
Good point.

Doesn't help with my research for a new best seller though. Pretend they never happened.
You are Dan Brown AICMFP!

TPSA7514

741 posts

86 months

Sunday 12th April 2020
quotequote all
We didnt hold the Cheltenham Festival and we banned Bat soup

wibble cb

4,151 posts

236 months

Monday 13th April 2020
quotequote all
croyde said:
Keep them coming hehe

My thought, as rubbish as it may be, is that all the financial services would be fully up and running. Doesn't most of the world rely on that?

Food is a very good point. It would take a long time to get up to speed to grow everything our population needs. We have a big population.

We can still import, but stringent procedures on quarantine and/or making sure products and produce are cleaned. Like we are supposed to be doing currently with our groceries.
My job is funnelling money around the world, we have been deemed an essential business, yet I have already noticed a distinct drop in the volume of work, as businesses round the world are contracting, so is their need for funding/need to repatriate profits.