Countryfile weather forecast - really that bad

[lost in espace]

I just had the pleasure of watching the forecast for the coming week on Countryfile, and if they are correct we are getting lots more snow during the week in the south.

Crap. Did anyone else see this or was I hallucinating? All the websites, BBC included are far more optimistic. Accuweather is predicting a temp rise from Christmas day.

edited to say thanks to mod for moving!

Edited by lost in espace on Sunday 19th December 20:52

[davepoth]

Nope, the snow Monday into Tuesday early AM looks to be about right. The south is going to get a huge dump.

[naffa]

According to that forecast snow will be returning to the Midlands during the middle of the week too.

I was planning on next weekend visiting my parents in Wales, nr Tregaron. Loks like I may ahve to put it on hold.

[Piglet]

Last weekend's Farming Forecast was pretty well spot on. I got my food shopping in on Tuesday, we picked up OH's elderly Mum a week early and we're currently housebound in Dorset as our lane is impassible.

I'd ignore it at your peril - better to be over prepared than under!

(I'm a bit short of tonic water though, so I'd like one day this week where I can get out!)

[littlegreenfairy]

Piglet said:

Last weekend's Farming Forecast was pretty well spot on. I got my food shopping in on Tuesday, we picked up OH's elderly Mum a week early and we're currently housebound in Dorset as our lane is impassible.

I'd ignore it at your peril - better to be over prepared than under!

(I'm a bit short of tonic water though, so I'd like one day this week where I can get out!)

Can't you walk?

[naffa]

Piglet said:

Last weekend's Farming Forecast was pretty well spot on. I got my food shopping in on Tuesday, we picked up OH's elderly Mum a week early and we're currently housebound in Dorset as our lane is impassible.

I'd ignore it at your peril - better to be over prepared than under!

(I'm a bit short of tonic water though, so I'd like one day this week where I can get out!)

Feel for you mate having to get the MIL a week early. Lets hope you can get her back home soon.

[edg516]

wonderful news... got to drive from southampton to Warwick most days this week.... should be fun

[littlegreenfairy]

Looking at a couple of forecasts, it seems Swindon wont be getting anymore snow. bugger

[pad58]

naffa said:

According to that forecast snow will be returning to the Midlands during the middle of the week too.

I was planning on next weekend visiting my parents in Wales, nr Tregaron. Loks like I may ahve to put it on hold.

The roads are passible here in aberystwyth with care it's the frost in the morning thats all.

[MattOz]

edg516 said:

wonderful news... got to drive from southampton to Warwick most days this week.... should be fun

Ed,

You'll be lucky! I've heard that the A34 through Oxfordshire is a nightmare. My sister-in-law lives 2 mins from teh A34 and has had about 11 inches of snow so far. M40 is down to two lanes. Warwick itself is slippery. Is working at home an option?

Matt (in Warwick)

[Matt..]

The BBC are predicting heavy snow for tomorrow in Cardiff. Every other weather forecast isn't

I do really want a lot of snow, but i do also have to drive home to rural Herefordshire this week, which might be interesting!

Edited by Matt.. on Sunday 19th December 21:06

[Puggit]

edg516 said:

wonderful news... got to drive from southampton to Warwick most days this week.... should be fun

The A34 at Oxford has been a disaster today. Strangely it's the flatest bit from Kidlington to the M40 that was worse!

[edg516]

no... got to go to a new customer site, and they wont allow me vpn access so have to try to get there

[toxicated]

Countryfile on iPlayer for those of you who can access it. Forecast starts around 49:20

[edg516]

ok so I think bike textiles in the car and some soup is the way forward for the morning. Its going to be a fun day tomorrow!!!!

[Puggit]

It's beginning to look unlikely that our Christmas meal (Scottish beef) will be arriving...

[TheLurker]

Looks like lots of snow for me tomorrow!

[lescombes]

I'm done.....only got a couple of short journeys this week...and 4wd,winters so no worried unless we get a huge amount of the white stuff.....so far on this 2nd wave....we had a few flurries last Thursday and nothing since other than frost.....looking at the "projected" it looks like we will get some... Weatherbug shows sun monday/tuesday....drizzle wednesday & chance of a shower thursday/friday/saturday.....now I'm confused....lol

[vit4]

bks.

[jonnylarge]

lost in espace said:

I just had the pleasure of watching the forecast for the coming week on Countryfile, and if they are correct we are getting lots more snow during the week in the south.

Crap. Did anyone else see this or was I hallucinating? All the websites, BBC included are far more optimistic. Accuweather is predicting a temp rise from Christmas day.

edited to say thanks to mod for moving!

Edited by lost in espace on Sunday 19th December 20:52

I think it's quite hard for them. For example, in the Thursday and Friday forecasts we, here in Royston, had snow predicted to head towards us from the South but not over us - in fact how close it was blurred as you can't always tell where your home town is on the weather map.

The forecast on Saturday morning changed to suggest the snow would move slightly further North, then move eastwards.

It turned out to be accurate, as we had snow from 2pm until 8pm, but with only a few hours notice.

I would say the bottom line is that they can't predict that far ahead, especially with current conditions. The weather people seem to be good at working out what the air is going to do (whether it's cold, or from the North, etc.) but predicting the effect it has on precipitation-type is harder. For example, it might hit air at 2C one day and fall as snow, 2C the next and hit the ground as rain.

I know there's more to it than temperature, but you have to trust that the weather people know more than us.