Life expectancy- death clock app

[Wilmslowboy]

This app popped up in a Bloomberg article, as having been trained on studies with over 53 million participants. Using factors such as country, current age, BMI and outlook to predict when someone will most likely die.


My own prediction is 74 with outlook being the biggest driving factor.
If I change outlook to positive (from neutral) it jumps to 88 years old.

I thought it was a given that old men were just miserable ?


https://www.death-clock.org/

[gangzoom]

These things are always a bit of fun, and stats are only ever that, stats. But I'm surprised at the figure, didn't ask for income either, I assume it's using national level data.

[Wilmslowboy]

gangzoom said:

These things are always a bit of fun, and stats are only ever that, stats. But I'm surprised at the figure, didn't ask for income either, I assume it's using national level data.

[Img]https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/54175704904_2aba38b3d9_c_d.jpg[/thumb]

104 !,,
Stick your data in the death clock site and see what it come back with.

I’d assume factors such as alcohol consumption, smoking and BMI massively out weigh income (once you got beyond early childhood deaths).

[jfdi]

Currently 51 and. thinking about retirement within the next 8 or 9 years.
I'd better re-think my pension spending though as I'm staying around till i'm 111 when malaria finally gets me.

[Wilmslowboy]

jfdi said:

Currently 51 and. thinking about retirement within the next 8 or 9 years.
I'd better re-think my pension spending though as I'm staying around till i'm 111 when malaria finally gets me.

Why’s mine so low…. (Adjusted for slightly lower BMI, I’m still only st 74)
53, non smoker, drink one a month, BMI 25, diet OK, and moderate activity.

[bitchstewie]

Quite frankly one of the things that terrifies me as I get older is turning into a grumpy old man and I actively try to avoid that.

Also think about the part money plays in happiness and it doesn't seem surprising that poorer people are broadly speaking more unhappy.

Poverty causes worry which manifests in all kinds of ways.

I'd imagine the rich smoker who drinks 4 bottles of wine a day is an edge case.

[ShredderXLE]

Didnt think the answers I gave were that bad!!

[LastPoster]

I think the responses can be too widely interpreted. I put Very Active (run a couple of times a week, gym twice) and that gave 95 which seems very optimistic. But I guess that could be considered Moderately Active which changes it to 86

[croyde]

Ah, great! This'll help with my pension planning and spending plans

Great news, I have 12 years left, funnily enough it's given me the same age that my poor ol' dad died, 74.

Tomorrow I'll tell the boss where to stick it, draw my pension pot and live well for a decade, travel and use my bike and car a lot more....

Edited by croyde on Sunday 1st December 09:02

[ShredderXLE]

I dont even smoke.

My BMI is aprox 27, I put in I drink every day (albeit its a couple of tins, not getting battered), agree my diet is terrible and I have a pessimistic outlook.

Must be the pessimistic outlook.

[A500leroy]

85 for me , so not quite half way there yet.

[snuffy]

A website that has the option of "I'm constantly blotto" for an option on how much you drink loses all credibility.

[StoutBench]

Wilmslowboy said:

jfdi said:

Currently 51 and. thinking about retirement within the next 8 or 9 years.
I'd better re-think my pension spending though as I'm staying around till i'm 111 when malaria finally gets me.

Why’s mine so low…. (Adjusted for slightly lower BMI, I’m still only st 74)
53, non smoker, drink one a month, BMI 25, diet OK, and moderate activity.

Probably because diet ok actually means poor with the occasional good meal and moderately active means barely active. The stats know this.

[Monkeylegend]

I put in suicidal to see what it would come up with and I have 213 days left and when I clicked on cause of death it came up with diarrheal disease so basically I am going to st myself when I commit suicide.

[Glosphil]

I'm 78 & it gave me 4 years to live. Never smoked, drink 0-3 units of alcohol a week, decent diet. Didn't ask any health questions. Don't see what I can change.

[Badda]

It’s complete bs and I’m surprised you guys are wasting your time using it and discussing it.

[ShredderXLE]

Badda said:

It’s complete bs and I’m surprised you guys are wasting your time using it and discussing it.

Curiosity and its something to occupy a few minutes of time on a drizzly cold sunday morning? I dont think anyone believes it can predict the exact moment you will pop your clogs

[lizardbrain]

A fun alternative

https://qrisk.org/index.php

take your estimated 10 year risk as a percentage, deduct this from 80 for your estimated death date

i just made this up but just a bit of fun!

[Riley Blue]

Looks like I've beaten the average life expectancy for someone in my state of decay...

[croyde]

ShredderXLE said:

Badda said:

It’s complete bs and I’m surprised you guys are wasting your time using it and discussing it.

Curiosity and its something to occupy a few minutes of time on a drizzly cold sunday morning? I dont think anyone believes it can predict the exact moment you will pop your clogs

Really! oh bugger! I've just told my boss to stuff it where the sun don't shine.