Where do you think the Spyder will bottom?
Where do you think the Spyder will bottom?
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Discussion

Phucker

Original Poster:

13,887 posts

200 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
Seeing as Spyder topics are flavour-of-the-month atm....

Where do you think they will bottom at 5yrs old? I'm thinking a 5 year old car with circa 20k miles approx £20k trade. £22-23k private. £24-25k OPC/indy.

The above is only a guess and i can't seem to find anything similar (car-wise) to back my thinking/guess up.


Just purely interested to hear all views... positive or not smile




mrdemon

21,146 posts

296 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
I am apollo and I think they will be 250k :-). Put it this way there are less Spyders than GT3 4.0's :-p

Who's to say, as with every rare Porsche they drop for years then go back up because of the small numbers.

There is no doubt the Spyder is a future classic.

Prob drop to 30k for a mint one and stick there like most rare cars which are not old enough to go up in price.

Good CSL's stuck at 30k, Lotus Exiges stick at 20k, 964's now climbing strong.

It will find it's own level and as most are 2nd cars if they drop to much people will not sell, but 30k is my guess for low mile ones.


Edited by mrdemon on Saturday 31st December 16:22

DanH

12,287 posts

291 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
mrdemon in talking own book shocker!!!

cayman-black

13,268 posts

247 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
[quote=mrdemon]I am apollo and I think they will be 250k :-). Put it this way there are less Spyders than GT3 4.0's :-p


roflrofl

Angelus

2,209 posts

195 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
Phucker said:
Where do you think they will bottom at 5yrs old? I'm thinking a 5 year old car with circa 20k miles approx £20k trade. £22-23k private. £24-25k OPC/indy.
If they get to this price, then I can see myself looking very closely. I've never thought about one as I didn't think they would get that low?

DiscoColin

3,328 posts

245 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
I'd think about £4k above an equivalent Boxster S [checks classifieds] - ought to be below £20k at 5 years...
[And if so, will be exceptional value IMHO]

daveyb662

1,722 posts

196 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
I think depends very much on whether they bring out an equivalent 981 version...if they don't then they should hold very very strong values.

Phucker

Original Poster:

13,887 posts

200 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
There's nothing similar to compare it to which makes it difficult to know where they'll be. The 'RS 60' spyder appears to hold it's value pretty well imho - nearly £30k for a nearly-4 year old car.

6C4GTS

5,186 posts

209 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
I'm going for a bottom in 2015 at 20k............ see you in the classified then. biggrinbiggrin

mayes911

6,053 posts

216 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
mines a keeper so one less for sale in 5 years.jump on the boat while you can!!!!!!!!!!!!!

mrdemon

21,146 posts

296 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
DanH said:
mrdemon in talking own book shocker!!!
why, 30k seems a fair price for a rare car which were 60k ish.
I have seen more 996 Gt3's on the road than spyders.

On Seloc like alot of cars once they hit 30k demand goes up.
Evora's, the new Exige S and the Spdyer will all have buyers waiting in line come the Start of every spring at 30k.

If people want them then they start to hold steady.
30k is a whole new market of buyers for that 2nd car.

Paul O

3,174 posts

214 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
I think they will follow a standard depreciation curve for another 5 years. If Porsche release another one in the new model, it will continue downwards, as will be just another frilly special edition marketing jobby.

If they don't release another, I reckon values will go static and bought only by enthusiasts, as a comparitive 987 becomes a bargain by comparison. then at the age of 15, when a new boxster is due out they will start to rise and become a classic.

One to watch I reckon - I suspect many will be garage queens in the next 5 years...

mayes911

6,053 posts

216 months

Saturday 31st December 2011
quotequote all
the thing with the the spyder is it was unloved when released,but as time goes by more people are realising what a great car it is myself included.this is the same with a lot of classic cars.(top of my head ae86 corrolla had the front wheel drive myself and always thought it lived in the shadow of the golf gti)

DanH

12,287 posts

291 months

Sunday 1st January 2012
quotequote all
mrdemon said:
why, 30k seems a fair price for a rare car which were 60k ish.
I have seen more 996 Gt3's on the road than spyders.

On Seloc like alot of cars once they hit 30k demand goes up.
Evora's, the new Exige S and the Spdyer will all have buyers waiting in line come the Start of every spring at 30k.

If people want them then they start to hold steady.
30k is a whole new market of buyers for that 2nd car.
I don't have a strong opinion, but to proclaim it is a future classic is laughable. The only reason there are so few is that they haven't sold, not because Porsche have limited production. Predicting future porsche classics is very tricky,

craigjm

21,662 posts

231 months

Sunday 1st January 2012
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I am going to stick my neck out and say that they probably won't be worth any more than a similar age and spec Boxster in 5 years time. Don't know why, just a feeling I have.

Catpee

114 posts

201 months

Sunday 1st January 2012
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Agreed. At the end of the day it's a "special edition" Boxster. Big deal.

nsm3

2,831 posts

227 months

Sunday 1st January 2012
quotequote all
I'm with the last 3 - my Q5 has depreciated less than a Spyder in the last 2 years. Poor sales do not equate to limited supply - that said, based on my CR extended test I am sure they are great sports cars.

I think if they had automated the roof they would have sold more - someone prepared for that level of pared back minimalism, is more likely to buy an Elise in my humble?

Phucker

Original Poster:

13,887 posts

200 months

Sunday 1st January 2012
quotequote all
DanH said:
I don't have a strong opinion, but to proclaim it is a future classic is laughable. The only reason there are so few is that they haven't sold, not because Porsche have limited production. Predicting future porsche classics is very tricky,
I agree. Very few cars earn proper 'classic' status. The Spyder very, very, very much doubt will be one of them. What i think it will be though is a sought after 'forgotten' hero. As cars are going more 'digital' there will still be those seeking the old 'raw(ish)', track-focused, magazine/journalist-5-star favorites. This will certainly ensure it holds a premium over a standard Boxster. How much though hard to tell. My gut feeling is, the best examples will linger around the early twenties. A bit like an M3 CSL has dropped by well over 50% but has now found it's feet and is a stable buy - 8 years on.

Zyp

16,157 posts

220 months

Sunday 1st January 2012
quotequote all
It's a difficult one to answer accurately.

On the one hand it's a special car, above and beyond a 'normal' Boxster.
On the other, it's that specialness (I.e the roof) that will put off future buyers.

Something I've noticed though, is that this car even stumps existing Porsche owners as to what it is.
Those Porsche owners who don't frequent websites like this still don't know what the car is about - I've had first hand experience of this numerous times in the last 5 months.

Therefore, I think the future market for the Spyder could be even smaller than it is now.

Zyp

16,157 posts

220 months

Sunday 1st January 2012
quotequote all
Catpee said:
Agreed. At the end of the day it's a "special edition" Boxster. Big deal.
Normally, I'd agree.

Most 'special editions' just have a bit of different trim and a badge - that's clearly not the case with the Spyder.