How many Cerbs are left?
How many Cerbs are left?
Author
Discussion

YKB

Original Poster:

824 posts

241 months

Thursday 4th June 2009
quotequote all
I know this question has come up before and I don't think it has been answered but as I was bored I thought I'd have a go at a rough estimate.

First lets start with how many Sagaris were made (stay with me on this!). According to certain figures it was around 211. As it's still a valuable car I assume of those that have crashed most will have been repaired. So let's assume there are still 200 in the UK on the road (the Sag register on PH has 152 listed and I'm sure there are a few more).

If we now look at the most recent large TVR gathering, Chatsworth, there were I think around 21 Sags there. ie. around 10% of all Sags.

If we now consider how many Cerbs were at Chatsworth and assume that the same percentage of owners brought their cars to the event. There were about 75-80 Cerbs at Chatsworth (I counted them from photos, I know some left before others arrived). So if that's 10% of the total there would be about 750-800 Cerbs left on the road in the UK. I believe around 1400 were built.

As another check we could look at the number of Sags in the Pistonheads classifieds. There are usually about 8 (bit more at present) ie. about 4% of the 200 estimate on the road. There are usually about 30 Cerbs in the classifieds, if that's 4% on the total then there are about 750 Cerbs left on the road.



Edited by YKB on Thursday 4th June 22:42

central

16,745 posts

247 months

Thursday 4th June 2009
quotequote all
YKB said:
I believe around 1400 were built.
Off the top of my head about 1980*ish* were built.

Someone will be along with the exact figure shortly.

YKB

Original Poster:

824 posts

241 months

Thursday 4th June 2009
quotequote all
You may be right. The 1,400 figure came from here (Ok it was 1490)



I believe these numbers came from Ben Lang at TVR via J Oxley for a New Zealand car registration. They're believed to be not 100% accurate, but not 100% rubbish. The number of 1,996 Cerbs has also been banded about on PH and also apparently came from a TVR employee. However I believe TVR also stated they don't have accurate build numbers on Griffs, Chims & Cerbs.



Edited by YKB on Thursday 4th June 23:46

SpeedYellow

2,533 posts

257 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Hum... well there were three of us parked together today... as there seem to have been for a couple of weeks... (don't worry DIYCERB your car is getting done!)... but not one Sagaris... doh... don't think that helps the statistics much!

YKB

Original Poster:

824 posts

241 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
SpeedYellow said:
Hum... well there were three of us parked together today... as there seem to have been for a couple of weeks... (don't worry DIYCERB your car is getting done!)... but not one Sagaris... doh... don't think that helps the statistics much!
From the numbers you'd only get a Sagaris after every four Cerbs. If you'd had another Cerb, a Sag would have appeared! wink

SpeedYellow

2,533 posts

257 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
OK... so we need another cerb in Southampton to see if this magic trick really works! getmecoat

YKB

Original Poster:

824 posts

241 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Here are another set of 'Production Numbers' that were meant to have originated from TVR. No figures from 1996 on these so some Cerbs missing



Confused yet!

SpeedYellow

2,533 posts

257 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Second lot of figures look very strange as can't believe that many Cerbs were built so late having looked for a decent late car when I bought mine! Hens teeth!

Omerta

2,013 posts

281 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
The first set of figures came via me. This topic has been kicked around a few times before - I suspect that the truth is somewhere between all that has been said, probably because different sources could be counting number of chassis' made, bodies made, cars distributed to dealers, sold by dealers, DVLA registered... and do they include the ones made in Malaysia? Exports to Japan and Europe? Who knows, but if you said 1500 Cerbs were made you're probably within 10% of the actual number.

We see or hear about maybe a dozen write-offs a year via this forum? Lets say that's a third of the actual number that have been written off over the last 12 years. 12 x 36 = 432 written off. That seems a lot, but if it was right then there's maybe 1000 Cerbs left on the road.

Interesting to speculate, but ultimately pointless without facts biggrin

Guy J Russell

346 posts

218 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Omerta said:
and do they include the ones made in Malaysia? Exports to Japan and Europe?
I wasnt aware of this? Whats the story?

plumAJP

1,149 posts

219 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
so in a few years time, there could be roughly 800 left if more are written off!!!!


Surely we could all ask a little extra for our cars if we wanted to sell them as they would be even rarer.

YKB

Original Poster:

824 posts

241 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Guy J Russell said:
Omerta said:
and do they include the ones made in Malaysia? Exports to Japan and Europe?
I wasnt aware of this? Whats the story?
Weren't just Chims made in Malaysia?

YKB

Original Poster:

824 posts

241 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Omerta said:
The first set of figures came via me. This topic has been kicked around a few times before - I suspect that the truth is somewhere between all that has been said, probably because different sources could be counting number of chassis' made, bodies made, cars distributed to dealers, sold by dealers, DVLA registered... and do they include the ones made in Malaysia? Exports to Japan and Europe? Who knows, but if you said 1500 Cerbs were made you're probably within 10% of the actual number.

We see or hear about maybe a dozen write-offs a year via this forum? Lets say that's a third of the actual number that have been written off over the last 12 years. 12 x 36 = 432 written off. That seems a lot, but if it was right then there's maybe 1000 Cerbs left on the road.

Interesting to speculate, but ultimately pointless without facts biggrin
Yes you're right it is sort of pointless but I just think there are fewer Cerbs on the road than some people think. If prices slip more cars will be written off if damaged. In reality they should be worth more as there are so few left.

With regards to write offs there always seem to be a high proportion of Cerbs at breakers compared with other TVRs considering how many were made and are left. I think it's quite possible 400-500 have been written off. I think there are probably a fair number that still exist but are not on the road (projects in long term storage), maybe as many as 100. There are also probably a few now that are living abroad. So I think the number of 800 in the UK and on the road is not too unreasonable.



Edited by YKB on Friday 5th June 09:11

SpeedYellow

2,533 posts

257 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Isn't there a way to find out from the DVLA how many are currently registered and tax'd, Mot's on the road still.... I know someone did it for Original Mk 1 Mini Coppers... wonder what's involved with getting the info from them? Anyone?

dirty boy

14,863 posts

239 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Well there's currently 130 on the register (top of this forum) including a couple of write offs.

And there's quite a few PHers who have Cerberas who aren't on there.

I'd guess around a 1,000.

I'll contact DVLA, see what I can find out.

Omerta

2,013 posts

281 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
YKB said:
Guy J Russell said:
Omerta said:
and do they include the ones made in Malaysia? Exports to Japan and Europe?
I wasnt aware of this? Whats the story?
Weren't just Chims made in Malaysia?
Yes I think it was just Chims.

pwd95

8,459 posts

268 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
I know a couple of people who work at the DVLA. I'll ask them if there's any way of finding out. scratchchin

TVRUnoficialBlog

189 posts

225 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
It will be very very interesting to know how many CERBERA with Left Hand Drive. A friend of mine who imported them in Italy is authoritative: officially NONE! Maybe there's some conversion. Here in Italy there are surely two Cerbs. I saw them.

I'd love to know also how many LHD Tuscans (mk1 and mk2) have been produced!!!

jammy_basturd

29,778 posts

242 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Might be worth contacting VOSA too, they should have access to the MOT database to see how many have gone through.

Mr.Cerbera

5,151 posts

260 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
There was a thread a couple of years ago asking people just to make themselves known in an effort to count those still remaining and that just topped the 200 mark (212 if my memory serves me correctly).

That would only have been PHers, of course.

There are those of us abroad who should be counted but I guess that won't top 20 so another 10% variance.

I have heard that 4 left-hand Cerbs were made by the factory and have heard that there were attempts at LHD conversion (by a Swiss ?) but don't know more I'm afraid. getmecoat