How long will you “ride it out”?
How long will you “ride it out”?
Author
Discussion

Bikerjon

Original Poster:

2,211 posts

191 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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CV19 will obviously touch every size of business, but this question is mostly aimed at the self-employed like me, who I suspect wont get any meaningful assistance during this crisis.

I visit people at their homes and offices, so my work is all but finished - at least for the foreseeable future anyway. There’s lots of talk of “riding it out” or mothballing and I’m just wondering what people here think would be an appropriate length of time before giving up entirely? Like all good self-employed people I’ve got 3 months+ money in reserve, but it seems pointless to let things go on for too long. At some stage it’s got to make more sense just to take any work at all rather than sit and wait for things to turn around - as gutting as that will be!

What will you do? How long are you prepared to wait for things to improve?

Silverage

2,426 posts

160 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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No doubt you saw Boris on TV earlier saying we’re in for at least 12 weeks of this, and even if that is the case, how long after that for things to get back up to speed? Tough times ahead.

Doofus

34,509 posts

203 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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I have an online retail operation that won't last until the end of the month.

I also work with SMEs as a mentor/parachute exec and, at the moment, the phone is ringing off the hook with people needing disaster planning. I'm also able to consolidate clients' resources to assist them through the uncertainty.

I'm also director of a SaaS company, and we reckon we're just fine. One product ticks over on largely passive revenue, and another is pre-revenue. but funded towards the end of the year.


thebraketester

15,811 posts

168 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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As long as it takes, is the short answer.

Wife and I are both self employed and have already lost an absolute fortune in cancelled work and stand to lose more.

anonymous-user

84 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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I am hearing so many business horror stories at the moment.

Truly awful.

My sympathies to anyone struggling.

classicaholic

2,237 posts

100 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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Unless you stay in the game you can never win!
I have cut the overheads as much as possible and hope to be able to survive for a year but have set up a 6 month buffer for rent & fixed overheads that can't be touched for anything.

JulianHJ

8,871 posts

292 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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Doofus said:
I have an online retail operation that won't last until the end of the month
What type of retail?

croyde

26,443 posts

260 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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My ex wife runs a headhunting company for advertising agencies. She started it with 2 others over 12 years ago.

It became really successful but always suffered cashflow situations. They have 6 staff all on good salaries and bonuses as they pull in a lot of cash.

2 weeks ago it looked like the directors, including her, would finally take a decent bonus.

Today they are giving the staff notice and are giving up the London office.

The 3 directors will try to keep the company going but expect no income for at least 6 months.

Riches to rags in 14 days. A bit like my investments.

All because of a fekin market in China. Unbelievable.

MrSparks

654 posts

150 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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Whilst everyones panic buying I've been panic selling!

Managed to cover my mortgage this month by selling anything I own that isn't screwed down which has enabled me to drop my wages to ensure my last remaining staff member gets paid this month! Trying to sell my car and my pickup truck which should buy us some more time, not having much luck there though. Would rather walk to the office and pay the rent/wages/mortgage for another month than not.

We are now focused on helping people who are working from home as we sell smart desks with bluetooth speakers, desk lamps, headphones, speakers etc. so hoping people are still buying for their new home offices!!

If we don't hit target each month then we won't last long.

Hoping this government £10k grant comes in, I don't even know if we are eligible or not.

I feel bad for everyone with more staff, more overheads etc. I'm struggling a bit as it is, can't imagine what bigger companies with more staff are going through right now.

anonymous-user

84 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
quotequote all
croyde said:
My ex wife runs a headhunting company for advertising agencies. She started it with 2 others over 12 years ago.

It became really successful but always suffered cashflow situations. They have 6 staff all on good salaries and bonuses as they pull in a lot of cash.

2 weeks ago it looked like the directors, including her, would finally take a decent bonus.

Today they are giving the staff notice and are giving up the London office.

The 3 directors will try to keep the company going but expect no income for at least 6 months.

Riches to rags in 14 days. A bit like my investments.

All because of a fekin market in China. Unbelievable.
The damage that this thing is doing is incredible.

A good friend of mine has built up a great business over the last 9 years. Really worked hard at it. He supplies and erects large scale audio/visual/lighting and stage equipment for events such as music festivals, Horse racing, outdoor concerts, etc

He has numerous staff, huge storage warehouse, offices, trucks/vehicles etc.

He makes 90% of his annual turnover during the 6 months over summer, and almost everything has been cancelled for him.

He is now basically ruined.

Nearly 10 years of graft building up a multi-million pound business potentially finished off in a couple of months.

hyphen

26,262 posts

120 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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MrSparks said:
Whilst everyones panic buying I've been panic selling!

Managed to cover my mortgage this month by selling anything I own that isn't screwed down which has enabled me to drop my wages to ensure my last remaining staff member gets paid this month! Trying to sell my car and my pickup truck which should buy us some more time, not having much luck there though. Would rather walk to the office and pay the rent/wages/mortgage for another month than not.

We are now focused on helping people who are working from home as we sell smart desks with bluetooth speakers, desk lamps, headphones, speakers etc. so hoping people are still buying for their new home offices!!

If we don't hit target each month then we won't last long.

Hoping this government £10k grant comes in, I don't even know if we are eligible or not.

I feel bad for everyone with more staff, more overheads etc. I'm struggling a bit as it is, can't imagine what bigger companies with more staff are going through right now.
Very sorry to hear, best of luck

Shnozz

30,657 posts

301 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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Lord Marylebone said:
The damage that this thing is doing is incredible.

A good friend of mine has built up a great business over the last 9 years. Really worked hard at it. He supplies and erects large scale audio/visual/lighting and stage equipment for events such as music festivals, Horse racing, outdoor concerts, etc

He has numerous staff, huge storage warehouse, offices, trucks/vehicles etc.

He makes 90% of his annual turnover during the 6 months over summer, and almost everything has been cancelled for him.

He is now basically ruined.

Nearly 10 years of graft building up a multi-million pound business potentially finished off in a couple of months.
That’s the thing the world has never really seen (or not in my lifetime). An immediate halt of everything. 2008 seems like a walk in the park compared to this.

bristolbaron

5,383 posts

242 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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I feels weird sense of guilt that through all of this financially we’ll be okay. We provide essential services to local authorities, so we’re not going anywhere.
My brother is in a terrible position, he’s about 2 years into his venture and has literally all of his foreseeable work cancelled and hasn’t been going long enough to have built a decent safety net. I’ll keep him above water if needed, but can’t continue to do so longer term.

Doofus

34,509 posts

203 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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JulianHJ said:
What type of retail?
Household luxury goods.

MrSparks

654 posts

150 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
quotequote all
Doofus said:
Household luxury goods.
Not sure what you sell but is any of it relevant for improving working from home?

We've seen a lift in certain items because people are clearly making home offices. It's not enough to make a dent yet but we're shifting ads towards it from tomorrow.

Remember that if people are working from home then they still have a job and are likely still getting paid whilst saving money now by not commuting, not buying lunch, not buying coffees etc. So there's still a market. (at least that's the theory that's keeping me going right now!)

Doofus

34,509 posts

203 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
quotequote all
MrSparks said:
Not sure what you sell but is any of it relevant for improving working from home?
Nope. But it does all come from the far east, if that helps. frown

steve2

1,868 posts

248 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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My business partner and I own a small carpet shop which has been trading for 45 years and where we were the fitters before buying it off our old boss 15 years ago.
It pays us an average wage and although we have a very good name and keep moderately busy it literally just pays the wages and the bills each month, we do manage not to have to use our overdraft.
We rent the shop and I cannot see the landlords not wanting their money and we are on a rolling lease and pay it upfront which stops them trying to increase it, then there is buildings insurance, public liability insurance, insurance against one of us dying, tax investigating insurance, estimating van tax and insurance, then bank charges, card terminal, accountant and bookkeeper, also costs a fortune to get rid of waste.
I have paid all our suppliers today and should be able to cover the bills for next month but have VAT coming up and we have saved our corporation tax but if we have to be closed for 12 weeks I think we will be knackered as well as the two guys who sub contract to us.
The last 4 days have been extremely quite both in footfall and phone calls.
Does anyone think that HMRC would allow firms to defer their corporation tax and/ or vat ?

Doofus

34,509 posts

203 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
quotequote all
steve2 said:
My business partner and I own a small carpet shop which has been trading for 45 years and where we were the fitters before buying it off our old boss 15 years ago.
It pays us an average wage and although we have a very good name and keep moderately busy it literally just pays the wages and the bills each month, we do manage not to have to use our overdraft.
We rent the shop and I cannot see the landlords not wanting their money and we are on a rolling lease and pay it upfront which stops them trying to increase it, then there is buildings insurance, public liability insurance, insurance against one of us dying, tax investigating insurance, estimating van tax and insurance, then bank charges, card terminal, accountant and bookkeeper, also costs a fortune to get rid of waste.
I have paid all our suppliers today and should be able to cover the bills for next month but have VAT coming up and we have saved our corporation tax but if we have to be closed for 12 weeks I think we will be knackered as well as the two guys who sub contract to us.
The last 4 days have been extremely quite both in footfall and phone calls.
Does anyone think that HMRC would allow firms to defer their corporation tax and/ or vat ?
There is a genuine opportunity to defer (which I am workingon, but have yet to get a specific reply), or otherwise, to benefit from the Business Interruption Loan scheme announced this week, which will underwite 80% of the loan, but also give you six months interest-free.

It's an option. Although bank rates are historically low, they aren't keen to lend just now, but when the government is giving away free money, it's worth throwing your hat in the ring.

Vanden Saab

18,023 posts

104 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
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All of my work, bathrooms and tiling is in peoples homes so will finish my last job next week as work has stopped dead. I have enough in my savings to survive for a year or so. We were just about to have the garden landscaped so rather than paying someone else to do it I will do it myself and that will keep me busy for a few months but after that I would hope to find something even if it is delivering food for a supermarket to reduce the amount I am leeching out of my savings. I cannot imagine doing any other work so will go back to it as soon as I can.
My other half is a nurse so will need all the support I can give her for the foreseeable future as she is likely to be both busy and stressed. I think we are very lucky and feel for those in a similar position without savings or with kids and a mortgage some of whom I have worked with in the past and consider friends. Once we come out of the other side of this I will be passing work to them to make sure they get back on their feet quickly as I can get by on a couple of days work a week.

surveyor

18,701 posts

214 months

Friday 20th March 2020
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I carry out side inspection on telephone masts.

Most are rural. I will carry on as normal while hotels are open and I can move around the country.

Urban or rooftop are taken as a case by case.

We are trying to come up with some contingency planning to change the way we work,

We