A little poll about electric cars
A little poll about electric cars

Poll: A little poll about electric cars

Total Members Polled: 143

They will never sell: 38%
They will sell millions: 62%
Author
Discussion

thinfourth2

Original Poster:

32,414 posts

234 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
A little poll about electric cars.

Two things often said by the detractors from electric cars

First thing that is said

Electric cars are terrible as they have a tiny range and take 8 hours to recharge to go 5 miles they will never sell. i see them only selling 5 to some hippies

Second thing often said

Due to the HUGE amount of electric cars sold the governement will have to tax electric cars to make up for the lost fuel duty due to no one buying fossil fuels any more.


So it can't be both.

They can't be bought by only 5 people and cost the governement millions in lost revenue.

So which one is it

ewenm

28,506 posts

275 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
It can't be both so why does it have to be either? Some will sell. More will sell when we crack commercial fusion reactors. I think millions will sell eventually but not soon.

Cyder

7,186 posts

250 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Having driven one recently and been very impressed I am convinced they will sell well in London and other big cities to those with short commuting distances.

However, people will still need to vehicle capable of driving longer distances and as a result will still need an IC car.

Thus, I conclude that there is a market for them, and similarly to the Prius will sell to those who wish to be seen to be green while keeping an RRS/Merc/BMW in the garage out of view of their 'green' friends.

They will sell, maybe not in millions, but they'll sell well.

ETA, your poll options are crap. So I've not bothered voting.

GSP

1,965 posts

234 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Back in the day when everyone had horses and cart... petrol/steam vehicles were for the very wealthy... look how far we have come.

I'm sure EV of some variety will be the future and the performance and affordability of them will drop.

renrut

1,478 posts

235 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Can there be an option for "they will sell some but not in great quantities until they overcome the serious technological impediments"?

Otherwise its a bit of a loaded question.

Thesaint01708

935 posts

187 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Electric cars are too expensive and too limited to be a serious contender. Its also not the answer to climate change.

By the time battery tech meets the day to day demands of most people it will be overshaddowed by hydrogen fuel cells imo

i vote - no million sales..



MarkRSi

5,782 posts

248 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Timeframe? They'll probably sell millions... over the next 100 years tongue out As for 10 year who knows...

TBH you can't really predict the future; next year someone could develop a battery which outperforms current lithium batteries, doesn't degrade, is cheap/lightweight etc.
... or someone could work out how to efficiently produce hydrogen from solar energy
... or a way to collect cow farts on a mass scale
... or produce biofuel from algae (from the other thread http://www.nytimes.com/gwire/2009/07/14/14greenwir...
... or make fuel-cells cost-effectively
... or find a massive oil well with enough to supply the world for the next 100 years...


Edited by MarkRSi on Monday 16th May 13:21

spoodler

2,306 posts

185 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Looked at the Teslas when I was in London for the Paul Rodgers gig (old hippy?). Fast, quick, desirable but hugely expensive and still with limited range but wont appeal to eco-hippies. With an infrastructure that allowed recharging or exchanging batteries (a bit like the government forcing the issue on LPG availability) there is no reason why they shouldn't sell if they can crack the expense issue. Having said that give me a pair of carbs and some pushrods anyday...Again didn't vote as I don't agree your options tell the full story.

Chrisw666

22,655 posts

229 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Price and range are their enemies, if these two can be solved they will sell in millions, if either is solved they will start to take some fossil fuel car sales.

Streps

2,457 posts

196 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
They are way too limited and expensive at this moment.

Give it about 30-40 years and i think they will be more common over petrol.


300bhp/ton

41,030 posts

220 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
thinfourth2 said:
A little poll about electric cars.

Two things often said by the detractors from electric cars

First thing that is said

Electric cars are terrible as they have a tiny range and take 8 hours to recharge to go 5 miles they will never sell. i see them only selling 5 to some hippies

Second thing often said

Due to the HUGE amount of electric cars sold the governement will have to tax electric cars to make up for the lost fuel duty due to no one buying fossil fuels any more.


So it can't be both.

They can't be bought by only 5 people and cost the governement millions in lost revenue.

So which one is it
But it can be both.

Because you've not limited to any markets or timescales. Over a large market and suitable timescale scale millions could still be very few in percentage terms.

Crusoe

4,124 posts

261 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Don't think there is a ready supply of rare metals (lithium etc.) to make the millions of batteries that they would need, and that is before you look at the exponential rise in rare earth metals costs.

ewenm

28,506 posts

275 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
renrut said:
Otherwise its a bit of a loaded question.
You have seen some of the OPs other threads, yes? He specialises in loaded, hypothetical situations that tend to ignore the sensible options.

renrut

1,478 posts

235 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Just to add

Point one is a reason why they won't sell at this point in time as they're hardly desirable traits.

Point 2 is what will happen if they do appear in large numbers. They aren't mutually exclusive.

LPG is currently the best comparator for minority road fuel groups and probably shows what will happen to EVs as the take up increases. Its not taxed anything like as bad as petrol or diesel. But then neither was diesel until it became popular in the early 90s. Once EVs hit a tipping point of no return then the tax will start to be added up and someone in the treasury will have a new tax orgasm when they decide to tax electricity as a transport fuel.

McSam

6,753 posts

205 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
Hydrogen. That is all.

plasticpig

12,932 posts

255 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
The take hours to charge thing is true at the moment but not for much longer. Researchers have already created batteries that can be charged in five minutes rather than five hours and still maintain their capacity. There is a lot of investment in battery research and I am sure that the obstacles will be overcome.

alangla

6,743 posts

211 months

Monday 16th May 2011
quotequote all
They'll sell if the prices come down significantly. An EV would be perfect for the kind of driving my parents do. Rarely more than 20-30 miles from home and never fast.

Personally, I think we should be putting more effort into delivering electric vans, taxis and buses (i.e. vehicles that tend to operate start/stop journeys in urban areas and don't stray far from base), hell you could even use a basic, lightweight EV to deliver milk...

I stumbled on this recently - I've seen TNT operating one of their 7.5 tonners in Glasgow City Centre, can't help feeling that the Royal Mail and few of the council departments could easily incorporate electrics into the fleet & make a decent saving on fuel costs etc.

Scuffers

20,887 posts

304 months

Tuesday 17th May 2011
quotequote all
plasticpig said:
The take hours to charge thing is true at the moment but not for much longer. Researchers have already created batteries that can be charged in five minutes rather than five hours and still maintain their capacity. There is a lot of investment in battery research and I am sure that the obstacles will be overcome.
how many more times does this need o be said....

even if you could make a battery that can charge in 5 mins, where are you going to get the power from?

For example, Tesla's battery is some 57Kwh, in 5 mins that's 240A @240V ignoring any in-efficiencies, ie, mid-sized commercial feed....

XitUp

7,690 posts

234 months

Tuesday 17th May 2011
quotequote all
They will sell millions, but not for a decade or so.

Plug in hybrids will sell more.

Thesaint01708 said:
Electric cars are too expensive and too limited to be a serious contender. Its also not the answer to climate change.

By the time battery tech meets the day to day demands of most people it will be overshaddowed by hydrogen fuel cells imo

i vote - no million sales..
Your opinion is wrong. Sorry.

McSam said:
Hydrogen. That is all.
What about it?

cobain

61 posts

193 months

Tuesday 17th May 2011
quotequote all
Range extended vehicles are an interesting concept, google 'Jaguar Limo Green' an XJ with a 1.2l 3 cylinder lotus engine powering electric motors = 1200 miles on a tank and reasonable performance.

As for hydrogen it is only an energy carrier, like a battery, it is not a fuel that we can extract. Then we have to use half of its calorific value to compress and cool it into a liquid for storage.