Take it in USD or GBP? ...
Take it in USD or GBP? ...
Author
Discussion

H6CJF

Original Poster:

681 posts

207 months

Thursday 30th June 2011
quotequote all
Say you were to about to recieve an inheritance from 'across the pond'
For the sake of argument, let's say it was around 30,000 USD. The money is not going to be put to real use for about 12 - 18 months so will go into a savings account of some sort.

The question is, given the option to recieve the funds in USD or GBP in the next couple of weeks what do you choose?

cheers

marky1

1,094 posts

212 months

Thursday 30th June 2011
quotequote all
GBP

H6CJF

Original Poster:

681 posts

207 months

Thursday 30th June 2011
quotequote all
marky1 said:
GBP
Because...?

Presumably the thinking is that the exchange rate is unlikely to become more favourable any time soon?

walm

10,632 posts

218 months

Thursday 30th June 2011
quotequote all
Why on earth would the random catalyst of an inheritance make you decide to take a 30k currency bet?????

If you have firm views on currency and have been long waiting for the free capital to make that bet than fair enough.
Otherwise you are simply being lazy (no offence).

Although, do you have any USD expenses?
If you have any USD expenses then set aside some of the money to cover them, but put the rest in GBP or EUR or whatever currency you usually spend in.

anonymous-user

70 months

Thursday 30th June 2011
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If I had US expenses and a US account, I would have the money in USD over there

Otherwise I would convert it GBP and get it over here asap

crashS2K

105 posts

270 months

Thursday 30th June 2011
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Slightly off-topic but what's the view on £:$ over the medium term?

I have some US shares that are doing well at the moment and am wondering whether to sell now or hold out for a better exchange rate.

stellar

3 posts

174 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
possibility of further QE on horizon for USD and at a guess interest rates will rise in UK before US. I'd imagine GBP/USD is going up. But in the world of FX in 12-18 months anything can happen. I certainly wouldnt like to bet on this.

jeff m

4,066 posts

274 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
crashS2K said:
Slightly off-topic but what's the view on £:$ over the medium term?

I was reading some currency stuff yesterday and the veiw was "anything over 1.6 is a sell"
So the Pound is unlikely to get stronger.
Unless of course you have a rate increase......smile

H6CJF

Original Poster:

681 posts

207 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
walm said:
If you have firm views on currency and have been long waiting for the free capital to make that bet than fair enough.
Otherwise you are simply being lazy (no offence).
Ermmm.. no. I am asking advice on something about which I have no expertise and many on PH do.

Quite simply we have been asked whether we want the money in USD or GBP. The payment will be made next week. Clearly if we have it in sterling then that is at the prevailing exchange rate and no going back. If we have it in Dollars then we can decide when to switch. My question really was about whether the current rate is good / bad / indifferent ... those with experience in such matter may have been able to offer an opinion that's all.

Given the poor rates of interest on savings atm, we could stand to gain /lose more by making the right / wrong decision on the exchange rate.

Thanks to all anyway

H6CJF

Original Poster:

681 posts

207 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
crashS2K said:
Slightly off-topic but what's the view on £:$ over the medium term?
Very much on topic actually smile

walm

10,632 posts

218 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
H6CJF said:
Clearly if we have it in sterling then that is at the prevailing exchange rate and no going back.
Well, no... you can change it into $, EUR, Yen etc... whenever you want. As you can with any other savings you have.

What you are asking is whether now is a good time to make a £30k USD vs. GBP bet.

All I am saying is why randomly choose to gamble on FX?

(Unless of course you firmly believe in the wisdom of PH FX traders inc.as a surefire money-making scheme!)

Why stop at £30k? Why not £100k or whatever cash savings you have?

People often ask "What is the best medium term investment for £30k cash?" which seems a more reasonable question.

You are saying "I have looked at ALL my other investment options and have chosen to gamble on FX rather than the FTSE/bonds/NSI/pay off mortgage etc..."

That seems a very odd decision to me, that's all! No offence!

R11ysf

1,956 posts

198 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
walm said:
Well, no... you can change it into $, EUR, Yen etc... whenever you want. As you can with any other savings you have.

What you are asking is whether now is a good time to make a £30k USD vs. GBP bet.

All I am saying is why randomly choose to gamble on FX?

(Unless of course you firmly believe in the wisdom of PH FX traders inc.as a surefire money-making scheme!)

Why stop at £30k? Why not £100k or whatever cash savings you have?

People often ask "What is the best medium term investment for £30k cash?" which seems a more reasonable question.

You are saying "I have looked at ALL my other investment options and have chosen to gamble on FX rather than the FTSE/bonds/NSI/pay off mortgage etc..."

That seems a very odd decision to me, that's all! No offence!
This is the "correct" answer. You can transfer any money to any currency at any time. If the payment was going to be in Thai Baht or Uk GBP would you still be asking the same question?? Your base currency is always the correct default answer. The only reasons I can see for taking it in $US is that you either have US expenses / will live in the US at some point in the future or you have considerable saving in the UK and can use the $US holdings as asset diversification.

mrmr96

13,736 posts

220 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
To the OP:
I think there's been some very sensible comments by other posters, which I'll try to word another way:

You'll receive $30k, but you can have it in GBP now (at today's rate) or you can leave it in USD and translate it into GBP later on. So what you're betting is that the exchange rate will net you more £ per $ in future.

If you had £25k of cash in GBP right now, would you consider turning it all into USD today and then swapping it back again in future? If not, then why not? It's EXACTLY the same as what you're proposing to do with that inheritance.

H6CJF

Original Poster:

681 posts

207 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
mrmr96 said:
To the OP:
I think there's been some very sensible comments by other posters, which I'll try to word another way:

You'll receive $30k, but you can have it in GBP now (at today's rate) or you can leave it in USD and translate it into GBP later on. So what you're betting is that the exchange rate will net you more £ per $ in future.

If you had £25k of cash in GBP right now, would you consider turning it all into USD today and then swapping it back again in future? If not, then why not? It's EXACTLY the same as what you're proposing to do with that inheritance.
idea

ok ... I've been havin a 'tard moment!

ermmm... I think I'll tell them to give it me in GBP

Thanks guys

getmecoat

wonder if I should start a "what car should I buy with £25k thread"... maybe not

saleen836

11,961 posts

225 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
H6CJF said:
idea

ok ... I've been havin a 'tard moment!

ermmm... I think I'll tell them to give it me in GBP

Thanks guys

getmecoat

wonder if I should start a "what car should I buy with £25k thread"... maybe not
£25k! I would think by the time it has been converted by your bank you will receive around £18k

(could be wrong though)

Stevenj214

4,941 posts

244 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
saleen836 said:
£25k! I would think by the time it has been converted by your bank you will receive around £18k

(could be wrong though)
1 GBP generally equals 1 GBP tongue out

saleen836

11,961 posts

225 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
Stevenj214 said:
1 GBP generally equals 1 GBP tongue out
I'm fully aware of that fact thanks, I posted £25k as I read the OP's post as that is how much he is expecting after conversion.


Edited by saleen836 on Saturday 2nd July 10:04

zac510

5,546 posts

222 months

Friday 1st July 2011
quotequote all
You could take half now and half in 6 months then you'd get the average of both rates. That still doesn't escape the fact that nobody knows what the rate will be in the future.