Oil Supplies - oh yes there's plenty!
Oil Supplies - oh yes there's plenty!
Author
Discussion

treetops

Original Poster:

1,187 posts

179 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
Speaking to someone recently who does surveying for oil.

And the news is there is absolutely s**t loads of oil still to be extracted - and not tricky stuff to extract either.

Literally enough to keep us going at current levels for at least the next 25 years.

Just thought you should all know!

StottyZr

6,860 posts

184 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
scratchchin 25yrs doesn't sound very long to me

Edited by StottyZr on Tuesday 25th October 10:05

syko89

373 posts

179 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
is that all? i thought there was still 200 years left of crude oil supplies...

joshd963

113 posts

176 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
25 years? i'll only be 43!

Garlick

40,601 posts

261 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
Well if 25 years is true, that's why people are doing their best to save it.

You sure you haven't dropped a zero?

Rovinghawk

13,300 posts

179 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
As supplies deplete it gets harder (ie more expensive)to extract the rest. It's available but will cost more.

RH

hairykrishna

14,315 posts

224 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
What rate can it be extracted at? Can it keep up with current consumption rate for 25 years?

I suspect the answer is 'probably yes' but 25 years isn't actually that long...

U T

47,705 posts

171 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
It's not the amount of oil that's the issue, it's the effect of burning it.
I'm no ecological expert, but common sense tells me that releasing into the atmosphere millions of tonnes of CO2 that been locked away over billions of years, within a couple of hundred years, will probably end in tears.

Snowboy

8,028 posts

172 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
treetops said:
Literally enough to keep us going at current levels for at least the next 25 years.
THE ULTIMATE TOP GEAR RACE

Will the top gear Hilux break down before the worlds fuel runs out, or will Toyotas favourite beast outlast mother nature?


treetops

Original Poster:

1,187 posts

179 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
He said 'at least' as he's working on a 5 year project - and new discoveries are being made almost weekly.

In his words there is absolutely s**t loads of the stuff.

And this is easy extraction too.

The harder to extract stuff exists too (forecast s**t loads) but you pick the low hanging fruit first as the saying goes.

It only becomes a false economy to extract when the cost to extract and refine the litre exceeds what the market is willing to pay for that litre.

Classic Grad 98

26,000 posts

181 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
Oil and Gas extraction and refinement is my business. There's plenty left and production rate can keep up with demand.
As for CO2, it's significance is overstated. Other gasses I.e. CH4 are much more damaging, and it's production from hydrocarbons is much lower than from 'natural' sources

DRCAGE

499 posts

186 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
"At the current rate"

Look into exponential growth to see why the qouted bit matters!

badlands1

845 posts

174 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
I will only worry if it was a shortage of red wine.yikes

Marquis Rex

7,377 posts

260 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
U T said:
It's not the amount of oil that's the issue, it's the effect of burning it.
I'm no ecological expert, but common sense tells me that releasing into the atmosphere millions of tonnes of CO2 that been locked away over billions of years, within a couple of hundred years, will probably end in tears.
However the fossils that the fossil fuels were formed from came about from CO2 so technically it will still be carbon Neutral silly

RemainAllHoof

79,191 posts

303 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
Well, certainly, it's nowt to do with supply/demand. Oil is pretty cheap at the moment... $90 per barrel just now. It used to be just under $150 so it's a third off the highest price. £1.35 per litre? Wonder why that is then. wink

Randy Winkman

20,293 posts

210 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
treetops said:
In his words there is absolutely s**t loads of the stuff.
I should hope there is - world consumption is something like 85 million barrels ..... per day!

Classic Grad 98

26,000 posts

181 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
DRCAGE said:
"At the current rate"

Look into exponential growth to see why the qouted bit matters!
Oil consumption is not growing 'that' rapidly- it certainly can't be described as mathematically exponential. In fact, world consumption fell for two years after 2007 (off the top of my head).

redstu

2,287 posts

260 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
That's long enough to see me out then!
So I won't have to put up with an electric hearse, oh the shame that would bring.

Lordglenmorangie

3,071 posts

226 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
25 years I will be DEAD byebye

dcb

6,034 posts

286 months

Monday 24th October 2011
quotequote all
Classic Grad 98 said:
Oil and Gas extraction and refinement is my business. There's plenty left and production rate can keep up with demand.
As for CO2, it's significance is overstated. Other gasses I.e. CH4 are much more damaging, and it's production from hydrocarbons is much lower than from 'natural' sources
+1

I've worked in the oil & gas exploration business too and
concur with your point of view. There is plenty left and
the effects of CO2 are negligible compared to CH4.

Without taxes, UK petrol would be about 45p a litre.

Economics Level 1, but does that price sound anything like a
commodity running out anytime soon, or indeed in the next
20 years or so ?

I've made the point here before that before taxes,
petrol is cheaper than milk.