So, who's your money on for the Silverstane win?
So, who's your money on for the Silverstane win?
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MGJohn

Original Poster:

10,203 posts

212 months

Friday 28th June 2013
quotequote all
Just grabbed WHills list for the race on Sunday ~ nothing to get excited about there :~

Race Winner - British F1 Grand Prix :~

29 Jun 10:00 UK ( available until P3 starts tomorrow.

13/8 Sebastian Vettel

3/1 Fernando Alonso

7/1 Mark Webber

8/1 Lewis Hamilton

9/1 Kimi Raikkonen

12/1 Nico Rosberg

40/1 Felipe Massa

50/1 Jenson Button

66/1 Romain Grosjean

100/1 Adrian Sutil

100/1 Paul Di Resta

100/1 Sergio Perez

200/1 Daniel Ricciardo

250/1 Jean-Eric Vergne

500/1 Nico Hulkenberg

750/1 Pastor Maldonado

750/1 Valtteri Bottas

1000/1 and upwards others.

1/5 Odds Place 1,2,3

Daz68

3,750 posts

239 months

Friday 28th June 2013
quotequote all
Each way on Rosberg has got my cash.

MGJohn

Original Poster:

10,203 posts

212 months

Friday 28th June 2013
quotequote all
Daz68 said:
Each way on Rosberg has got my cash.
Agreed. At this stage, not a bad each way bet at all.

Unless Ferrari and Alonso shape up better over the weekend, I can see Alonso's odds being greater than the current skinny 3-1.

mollytherocker

14,455 posts

238 months

Friday 28th June 2013
quotequote all
Mark is going to win.

MGJohn

Original Poster:

10,203 posts

212 months

Friday 28th June 2013
quotequote all
mollytherocker said:
Mark is going to win.
You got a turbocharged crystal ball or something ? ... smile

His odds are very cramped @ around 7-1 or less. Does someone know something the rest of us do not? Stacked deck? Surely not... smile

mollytherocker

14,455 posts

238 months

Friday 28th June 2013
quotequote all
MGJohn said:
mollytherocker said:
Mark is going to win.
You got a turbocharged crystal ball or something ? ... smile

His odds are very cramped @ around 7-1 or less. Does someone know something the rest of us do not? Stacked deck? Surely not... smile
It's just a feeling based on how well I think the red bulls will go at silverstone and marks new found 'freedom'.

I reckon he will be on fire.

MGJohn

Original Poster:

10,203 posts

212 months

Saturday 29th June 2013
quotequote all
Ahah a hunch!.... Hunches sometimes pay off big time . thumbup

After Qualifying, despite the look of disappointment on Vettel's face after finishing third for the grid, on-line Bookies make Vettel far too short price favourite. There's always the possibility that the Mercedes~Benz team have at last found the answer to their race pace problems. They improve with each race this season. Could be a matter of time and come Silverstone, maybe their time has come ... smile I for one hope so.

Lewis H @ 7-2 from pole with team mate riding shot gun could be good value. Vettel @ 5-4 is not value in my opinion. Famous last words.

Here's odds listing pulled at random :~


British GP Race Winner


Sebastian Vettel 5/4

Lewis Hamilton 7/2

Nico Rosberg 15/2

Mark Webber 8/1

Fernando Alonso 10/1

Kimi Raikkonen 12/1

Romain Grosjean 50/1

Paul di Resta 50/1

Adrian Sutil 66/1

Daniel Ricciardo 100/1

Felipe Massa 125/1

Jenson Button 150/1


Sergio Perez 250/1

500-1 and upwards others. EACH WAY 1/5th of the odds 1-2-3

Alonso grid slot 10 and Button grid slot 11; both on offer @ 10-1 and 150-1 respectively. Bit puzzled by that.

MGJohn

Original Poster:

10,203 posts

212 months

Saturday 29th June 2013
quotequote all
Already had some bets also based on a considered hunch. So, here goes :~

I'm betting on a Mercedes-Benz 1-2 tomorrow.

9-1 not bad odds for a Merc 1-2 in either order ( Dual Forecast ). Main win bet on Hamilton @ 7-2 FTW [ for the win]. He looks different class at Silverstone.

Vettel looked concerned immediately after Q3. I suspect with good cause. That "look" could be ... thumbup

Monty Python said:
.
It's a sign! ..
.
There again, Vettel for the win ... and I've done all me dough ... frown

Still, it's only money ... wink

mollytherocker

14,455 posts

238 months

Saturday 29th June 2013
quotequote all
So John, you believe that Mercedes failure to manage tyre life is behind them?

MGJohn

Original Poster:

10,203 posts

212 months

Saturday 29th June 2013
quotequote all
mollytherocker said:
So John, you believe that Mercedes failure to manage tyre life is behind them?
No, but my 'hunch' suggests that they are closer to getting there. I really REALLY hope they have arrived. So looking forward with added interest to the race tomorrow.

I shall watch the race like a Hawk and if there are signs that my money has been badly invested, may have to have a covering bet as I did during Q3 on Hamilton before he became unbackable at silly odds-on. Vettel went out to 14-1 on some lists so I backed him again at those huge odds to small stakes. The fact that Vettel was only a small fraction in front of his team mate suggests two things to me. He made a mistake during his final run which cost time ... or, he didn't and the Mercedes-Benz cars are now the real deal at last. After McLaren the Three Pointed Star are my favourite team. Goes back to those now faraway schooldays of seeing Motor Racing with names like Fangio and Moss in those fabulous old Stuttgart silver-arrows jobbies. Always been an admirer of Ross Brawn too.

Qualifying suggests Ferrari, Mclaren and Williams are now sadly 'alsorans'... frown

The times .... they are a changin'.

MGJohn

Original Poster:

10,203 posts

212 months

Sunday 30th June 2013
quotequote all
Would the Red Bull pit crew have had data feedback that there was impending problems with Vettel's car in advance of it actually coasting to a standstill?

Here's why I ask.

Did anyone like me have some on-line bookies' in running odds available during the latter laps of the race? If they did, did you see how shortly before Vettel's DNF coasting to a standstill, Rosberg's odds tumbled quickly from 7, 6, 4 and 3 to 1 and last time I checked was 9-4 just before Vettels' car DNF-ed.

Was that pure coincidence or folks with access to some telemetry have a few quick bets being 'in the know'.... "Insider trading" ... if so ... wink

davepoth

29,395 posts

228 months

Sunday 30th June 2013
quotequote all
Nah. It'd have been a simple function of him being 12/1 (quite an outsider) and then being 2nd for a lot of laps, with people laying a lot of money on him because he isn't Vettel.

Daz68

3,750 posts

239 months

Monday 1st July 2013
quotequote all
MGJohn said:
Daz68 said:
Each way on Rosberg has got my cash.
Agreed. At this stage, not a bad each way bet at all.
Well the 1-2 bet didn't come off but the Rosberg bet paid handsomely. On we go to Germany and nice odds for both Merc drivers. Bring it on. Ker Ching.

mollytherocker

14,455 posts

238 months

Monday 1st July 2013
quotequote all
mollytherocker said:
Mark is going to win.
Close, but nil cigar.