Manned Spaceflight - the Next 30 Years

Manned Spaceflight - the Next 30 Years

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Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,789 posts

271 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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What should the next goals for manned spaceflight be - and how would they be achieved?

Simpo Two

86,911 posts

271 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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1) Mars
2) Big rockets, money, determination to see it through, not stuff it with fragile tech that will break.

Blackpuddin

17,253 posts

211 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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I believe manned spaceflight - by current rocket-powered means at least - is a poor use of resources and a red herring and believe we should be investing our time and effort in more creative ways of getting about the universe.

Simpo Two

86,911 posts

271 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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Blackpuddin said:
more creative ways of getting about the universe.
I'm all ears! Do you mean ion engines or warp technology?

MTech535

613 posts

117 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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Astral projection.

hidetheelephants

27,619 posts

199 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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Eric Mc said:
What should the next goals for manned spaceflight be - and how would they be achieved?
Getting a kilogram into LEO for <£500, preferably with a spiffy Skylon developed by boffins in Oxfordshire but whatever methods appear feasible, will bring the next leap forward.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,789 posts

271 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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I'm not actually talking about technical "leaps forward". I m actually asking, what can we be doing right now to get is to interesting places beyond low earth orbit? I think we have the technology now to be going to some of these places.

It's just, should we be prioritising Mars, or the moon, or near earth asteroids?

Or should we be trying all three?

I think Simpo has hit it on the head, set up a programme and lock it into place for at least 10 years so that it cannot be cancelled on the whim of a politician.


grumbledoak

31,795 posts

239 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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Blackpuddin said:
I believe manned spaceflight - by current rocket-powered means at least - is a poor use of resources and a red herring and believe we should be investing our time and effort in more creative ways of getting about the universe.
I am with you, unromantic though it is. People need air and water and food and toilet facilities, none of which are in abundance on the nearby rocks. It makes any manned mission a very expensive picnic. We need faster spaceships.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,789 posts

271 months

Friday 23rd October 2015
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Plenty of air and water on Mars. You just need to do a bit of simple chemistry to get at it (I've read The Martian - so I know).

Hanging around waiting for new technology is a bit like telling Charles Lindberg in 1927 not to bother trying to fly the Atlantic but to wait until Jumbo Jets get invented. The thing is, it's because of the exploits of people like Lindberg that Jumbo Jets got invented.

Edited by Eric Mc on Friday 23 October 22:45

tight fart

3,062 posts

279 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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We need a base in the moon for starters.

grumbledoak

31,795 posts

239 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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tight fart said:
We need a base in the moon for starters.
No. That really is one of the least appropriate places to put people. No atmosphere and no water. Just a gravity well with a rock at the bottom.

MiniMan64

17,428 posts

196 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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tight fart said:
We need a base in the moon for starters.
That really is a massive red herring. There's nothing there and it would serve little purpose except a drain on resources.

Mars has real long term possibilities for self-sustainability.

Asteroids have got to be the other target surely because of the economic potential.

Plus we need to go an retrieve that crashed spaceship on Ceres.....

rhinochopig

17,932 posts

204 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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grumbledoak said:
I am with you, unromantic though it is. People need air and water and food and toilet facilities, none of which are in abundance on the nearby rocks. It makes any manned mission a very expensive picnic. We need faster spaceships.
You're way off the mark there. Lunar water is a very real possibility. Further, H3 is highly likely to exist in large quantities on the moon. H3 is an important element of fusion research. Should we crack fusion as tech then commercial mining becomes more viable. Plus with water you have air and food.

MiniMan64

17,428 posts

196 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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And while we're at I think we need a few more unmanned missions to the Gas Giant moons.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,789 posts

271 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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The moon is turning out to be a much more interesting world than had previously been previously thought. It does seem that, in at least some regions of the moon, many of the essential resources need to sustain a permanent presence are actually there.

The moon therefore is very far from a red herring. There is much to do there and much to learn.

NNH

1,542 posts

138 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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grumbledoak said:
tight fart said:
We need a base in the moon for starters.
No. That really is one of the least appropriate places to put people. No atmosphere and no water. Just a gravity well with a rock at the bottom.
The Luna 27 mission may well prove there is water there. It's also a small gravity well, with an escape velocity of less than half that of Mars. It's a good place to develop the techniques we need to make the Mars missions into real exploration instead of "footprints and flags" like Apollo.

Eric Mc

Original Poster:

122,789 posts

271 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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MiniMan64 said:
And while we're at I think we need a few more unmanned missions to the Gas Giant moons.
There will no doubt be more unmanned probes to these outer regions of the Solar System. At least one is on its way at the moment (Juno to Jupiter). However, I'd prefer to keep the discussion on "manned spaceflight".

Simpo Two

86,911 posts

271 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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Going to the moon when you really wanted to go to Mars...

Well, I look at it like this. If the objective is, say, Nottingham (I live in Essex BTW), and I want to get there, I will get in a car and drive there. The 'go via the moon' people want to head south for a picnic in Guildford, then head north. I'll be in Nottingham first.

I don't think a Mars mission requires much new technology; the main difference is flight time and extended life support. The crew quarters will need to be bigger. New things will have to be invented and tested, but that's not necessarily new technology, merely developments of what we already know. Or at least, what we used to know before 'tech' got in the way. We got to the moon with a set of brilliant and focused minds, a fking great rocket and a pocket calculator.

grumbledoak

31,795 posts

239 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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Mars is certainly the better of the two rocks. I think a manned station at a Lagrange point would be a better staging post.

russ_a

4,662 posts

217 months

Saturday 24th October 2015
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With current technology there are really only two options the Moon or Mars.