Anyone else riding the oil wave tonight?
Discussion
Looks like the pop up in price was much more limited that anticipated.
Some who jumped in too soon may also be nursing losses.
Not my specialist area, but the jump does look quite limited in the context of 5m bopd coming out of supply. Market thinking this is very temporary and no retaliation to come against Iran?
Some who jumped in too soon may also be nursing losses.
Not my specialist area, but the jump does look quite limited in the context of 5m bopd coming out of supply. Market thinking this is very temporary and no retaliation to come against Iran?
It's like drilling an oil well! We use real time data to help make decisions on what to do. Sometimes afterwards people are like "why didn't you do that, it's really obvious looking at the data....". Yes - if you had access to the data from the entire well. Not quite the same when it's happening real time, and often there is a lot more noise at the time too!
cashmax said:
For clarity, I was talking about the volatility between 0130 - 0200 last night, where a pattern emerged for about half an hour. It was possible to buy/sell and make 50 points a time, multiple times.

It was possible, in hindsight, but did you at the time? There are a few points on that chart you would have potentially bought/sold looking at previous candles and patterns and yet probably hit your stop loss when the market carried on going in the same direction. Trading with a full chart to look back at is easy, certainly not so easy when only the first 1 or 2 candles have been finished.
Condi said:
cashmax said:
For clarity, I was talking about the volatility between 0130 - 0200 last night, where a pattern emerged for about half an hour. It was possible to buy/sell and make 50 points a time, multiple times.

It was possible, in hindsight, but did you at the time? There are a few points on that chart you would have potentially bought/sold looking at previous candles and patterns and yet probably hit your stop loss when the market carried on going in the same direction. Trading with a full chart to look back at is easy, certainly not so easy when only the first 1 or 2 candles have been finished.
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