Thomas Cook
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Discussion

pembo

Original Poster:

1,244 posts

222 months

Friday 20th September 2019
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I've only recently been paying a bit of attention to share values to see if I fancy getting involved and just wondered if with the share value down to 3.7p today is anyone jumping on this hoping for a recovery and a big bounce?
I'm not in a position to do it at the moment but I imagine there is the potential to go big or bust.

Or am I looking at it the wrong way? As I said, I'm completely green on this so just currently interested in watching what happens.

anonymous-user

83 months

Friday 20th September 2019
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i would look at tui shares.

Condi

20,355 posts

200 months

Saturday 21st September 2019
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Do you like gambling? If so, why not go to the casino?

GT03ROB

14,024 posts

250 months

Saturday 21st September 2019
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This is not a "put everything on red" bet...… more like everything on one number. IE: expect to lose!

Tyre Smoke

23,018 posts

290 months

Saturday 21st September 2019
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I would imagine it's when not if you lose your money.

You have more chance in a 10 team accumulator this afternoon.

anonymous-user

83 months

Saturday 21st September 2019
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https://news.sky.com/story/thomas-cook-gives-up-ho...

''A request for emergency government funding was made by Thomas Cook earlier this week, with executives arguing that the cost to taxpayers would be dwarfed by the bill incurred by the repatriation, led by aviation regulators, of 165,000 customers currently overseas.''

I hate blackmail.

bad company

21,919 posts

295 months

Saturday 21st September 2019
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I heard a woman being interviewed on the radio yesterday. She had to pay the final few £thousands for her Thomas Cook holiday yesterday or lose her deposit. She didn’t know what to do. I think she may have been ok if she’d paid by credit card.

bogie

17,079 posts

301 months

Saturday 21st September 2019
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I assumed travel insurance would cover a lot of the cost for private individuals affected ? do so many people really go abroad without it ?

craig1912

4,635 posts

141 months

Saturday 21st September 2019
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Package holidays are covered by ATOL. Flight only can be claimed back on travel insurance or credit card. I have a flight booked next year so will just claim from travel insurance.

Skyedriver

23,402 posts

311 months

Sunday 22nd September 2019
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Thesprucegoose said:
https://news.sky.com/story/thomas-cook-gives-up-ho...

''A request for emergency government funding was made by Thomas Cook earlier this week, with executives arguing that the cost to taxpayers would be dwarfed by the bill incurred by the repatriation, led by aviation regulators, of 165,000 customers currently overseas.''

I hate blackmail.
Yet they won't assist Sirius Minerals with 1200 jobs in a deprived area at risk and a prospective exporting business...

SimonTheSailor

13,006 posts

257 months

Sunday 22nd September 2019
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They aren't assisting Thomas Cook either ?

JohnGBUK

64 posts

86 months

Sunday 22nd September 2019
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A dead cat bounce is all you can hope for at this time. There are better shares to take a punt on that this. The last big airline financial win for the small guy that I recall was the recovery of airline shares after 911 when they all took a big hit... and improved in price significantly a matter of a few weeks later. That was about the sector news, not the individual businesses, that's the difference.

dazwalsh

6,112 posts

170 months

Sunday 22nd September 2019
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My money would be going into Dart group (jet2) as any future bookings for easter or summer 2020 that was destined for TC will now be distributed elsewhere. Jet2 are also benefiting from the Boeing max fiasco (Ryanair contracting routes as we speak) and they don't have the overheads of retail units on the high street which as we know is also taking a battering.

Even if TC secure the funding they will burn through some serious cash over the winter on the back of seriously low bookings. I doubt they can recover to be honest.


JohnGBUK

64 posts

86 months

Monday 23rd September 2019
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dazwalsh said:
My money would be going into Dart group (jet2).....
Jet2 are a great company, who know how to treat customers. I have used them once and would definitely use them again.

The Mad Monk

11,477 posts

146 months

Monday 23rd September 2019
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pembo said:
I've only recently been paying a bit of attention to share values to see if I fancy getting involved and just wondered if with the share value down to 3.7p today is anyone jumping on this hoping for a recovery and a big bounce?
I'm not in a position to do it at the moment but I imagine there is the potential to go big or bust.
So, what do you think?

mholt1995

571 posts

110 months

Monday 23rd September 2019
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The Mad Monk said:
So, what do you think?
laugh

bad company

21,919 posts

295 months

Monday 23rd September 2019
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pembo said:
I've only recently been paying a bit of attention to share values to see if I fancy getting involved and just wondered if with the share value down to 3.7p today is anyone jumping on this hoping for a recovery and a big bounce?
I'm not in a position to do it at the moment but I imagine there is the potential to go big or bust.

Or am I looking at it the wrong way? As I said, I'm completely green on this so just currently interested in watching what happens.
I hope you didn’t take the plunge.

If ever there was a case of ‘catching a falling knife’ this was it.

pembo

Original Poster:

1,244 posts

222 months

Tuesday 24th September 2019
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mholt1995 said:
The Mad Monk said:
So, what do you think?
laugh
smile That's why I'm just taking an interest rather than putting my money in.

I really was hopeful that they would find a way out

DonkeyApple

69,853 posts

198 months

Tuesday 24th September 2019
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pembo said:
smile That's why I'm just taking an interest rather than putting my money in.

I really was hopeful that they would find a way out
They have found a way out. All debt wiped. All salary costs gone. Can restart as a website smile

To be honest the company is a poster boy for the junk management that has dominated major enterprise for a couple of decades now.

Take an established enterprise with asset, sell off all the assets, borrow money to lease them back. Bosh, massive result by the Board. Whack up pay, pension rewards and bonuses. Buy market share by borrowing even more money to uncompetitively lift market share from elsewhere. Bosh, massive result by the Board. More pay, pension and bonuses.

Keep it all going until the debt pile is too big to survive any slowdown or rise in servicing costs and the company has no assets. Then just bin it for a quid if possible.

The core reason why the high street is suffering is that they’ve all stripped themselves of all their assets over the last twenty+ years and loaded up with more and more debt in order to easily fudge growth.

Even most start-ups are just about copying an established business but massively undercutting it and taking its share by burning vast levels of investment capital. When the capital starts drying up, switch to debt and just hope that you’ve taken enough of the established players’ business before that dries up and then try to whack up prices in an attempt to be profitable or just fold.

WeWork is a glorious example of the VC farce of not actually creating anything new but just using cheap capital to destroy established businesses and those established businesses have no foundations from which to fight back from because they’ve flogged them all off and buried themselves in debt faking growth so as to deliver massive rewards.

Thomas Cook is a poster boy for milking management just not having the skill set to navigate an established business through the changing retail environment and eventually getting caught out by a simple change in the economic environment.

If it weren’t for the damage done to the normal employees and the satellite businesses that will suffer then it would be a clear cut case of good riddance.

anonymous-user

83 months

Tuesday 24th September 2019
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DonkeyApple said:
The core reason why the high street is suffering is that they’ve all stripped themselves of all their assets over the last twenty+ years and loaded up with more and more debt in order to easily fudge growth.
Or is it that greedy property investors overpaid for that High St real estate in the mistaken belief they could go on levering out high rents (ultimately paid by High St shoppers) until the end of time? Assets are usually sold to reduce borrowings, not increase them. Mind you, I have long considered that any form of lease is a "debt", irrespective of how accountants may treat them.

The game's moved on. Rents are too high which makes shop prices too high - and suddenly everyone's shopping online, direct from a warehouse in the middle of nowhere.

The devastation caused by Thomas Cook's collapse will no doubt be very wide ranging with hotels and airlines around the world simply not getting paid. I can't imagine it's very amusing to own a hotel in Morocco if your rooms suddenly go to "vacant" with last month's money still owing and no sign of next month's customers. In comparison, holidaymakers with an ATOL guarantee are away and laughing - even if it will be a bit inconvenient getting home.