Coronavirus: massively underreported?
Discussion
According to official figures there are only a few tens of thousands of cases outside of China. There are billions of people outside of China. What are the odds that with so few cases I would have heard of any of the victims yet every day there are more and more people I know eg Tom Hanks, UK health minister, Premier League football player, wife of the Canadian PM.
Something doesn’t seem to add up here.
Something doesn’t seem to add up here.
I doubt it. In heavily effected countries there is mass testing going on. In Italy they have tested about a quarter of a million people and epidemiologists are working on contagion models. Are their cases we don’t know about? Yes. Does this mean that we can assume that all of the information is wrong and you have come up with something scientists working on this have not? No.
You’re right OP, but bear in mind these people have big social/public contact and would likely have been through many airports etc. IMO it’s definitely more than reported, it can’t be less, but it’s a case of how much?
My concern at the moment is lack of confidence in the UK preparation, a part of which is minimal testing/lack of advice/no Gov info films on TV etc. It’s a bit like they try something and sort of give up when it gets too big. My point is I think we’re at a stage where numbers infected will be poorly logged and a bit random and only hospitalised cases will be given.
I only hope they don’t give up releasing the hospital stats or we’ll know we’re really up the swanny.
My concern at the moment is lack of confidence in the UK preparation, a part of which is minimal testing/lack of advice/no Gov info films on TV etc. It’s a bit like they try something and sort of give up when it gets too big. My point is I think we’re at a stage where numbers infected will be poorly logged and a bit random and only hospitalised cases will be given.
I only hope they don’t give up releasing the hospital stats or we’ll know we’re really up the swanny.
GT03ROB said:
I would say your assumption is correct.
But there is no conspiracy. You can only report cases if they test positive. If people show no or limited symptoms you won't test..
Agreed. It's not a cover up or conspiracy though, it's simply that we're not testing everyone nor do we plan to.But there is no conspiracy. You can only report cases if they test positive. If people show no or limited symptoms you won't test..
If you display symptoms but haven't just returned from a hot spot then you are just to isolate. People on here have experienced exactly that.
Hillary Jones (the TV doctor) has just said on GMB that it's likely to be in the 10's of thousands or possibly 100,000 at the current time.
Edited by 98elise on Friday 13th March 07:40
Esceptico said:
According to official figures there are only a few tens of thousands of cases outside of China. There are billions of people outside of China. What are the odds that with so few cases I would have heard of any of the victims yet every day there are more and more people I know eg Tom Hanks, UK health minister, Premier League football player, wife of the Canadian PM.
Something doesn’t seem to add up here.
I swear you think the sky is falling down.Something doesn’t seem to add up here.
stew-STR160 said:
Esceptico said:
According to official figures there are only a few tens of thousands of cases outside of China. There are billions of people outside of China. What are the odds that with so few cases I would have heard of any of the victims yet every day there are more and more people I know eg Tom Hanks, UK health minister, Premier League football player, wife of the Canadian PM.
Something doesn’t seem to add up here.
I swear you think the sky is falling down.Something doesn’t seem to add up here.
My wife and I are both self isolating, I have been a week now and her 3 days , we have mild symptoms ( cough, mild fever, tired and aching) and travelled back from the US a little over a week ago.
We dont think we have it but we have enough symptoms to be sensible, I hope there are many people like us . Obviously not bothering the health service at this point.
We dont think we have it but we have enough symptoms to be sensible, I hope there are many people like us . Obviously not bothering the health service at this point.
Olas said:
anybody with a funtional immune system will get coronavirus and only display a runny nose, therefore instead of seking medical help they will just blow their nose.
Consequently, none of those cases will be reported, leading to the underreporting metioned it the thread title.
Consequently, none of those cases will be reported, leading to the underreporting metioned it the thread title.
It is probably more prevalent and less fatal than the numbers suggest. It also isn't killing kids. Not sure why all the hysteria.Gassing Station | News, Politics & Economics | Top of Page | What's New | My Stuff