UK & Europe Nationalised
Author
Discussion

cseven

Original Poster:

312 posts

260 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
Would be interesting to gain thoughts form those far more competent and intelligent than myself on the economic cul de sac we appear to be following most of Europe into?

The Government is clearly struggling to lift lockdown and based on the current rather static infection rates I don't see lockdown lifted until well into next year unless they change their tune. At what point in the near future do we think:

1. income support on a scale never seen before
2. NHS open cheque book
3. Nationalised transport (air, rail etc, I can't see how these are viable for what 1-2 years)
4. Service industry and associated tax take effectively reduced by 70-80%

will mean the only option is socialist economics?

I literally have no idea however I'm sure some will.............

PositronicRay

28,680 posts

207 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
Welcome to the (brave) New world order.

crankedup

25,764 posts

267 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
Reset.

Getragdogleg

9,916 posts

207 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
No-one has the answer, many will have an opinion and many of those opinions will be utterly wrong, a few will be right.

Better hope the few that are right can shout louder than the many wrong ones.

I'm not holding my breath.

monkfish1

12,251 posts

248 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
Universal income. Coming to a country near you.

Spain look like they are going to do it it.

Its inevitable. The alternative is mass unemployment and homelessness on a scale not seen for a very long time.

HurryUpAndWait

1,003 posts

227 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
cseven said:
Would be interesting to gain thoughts form those far more competent and intelligent than myself on the economic cul de sac we appear to be following most of Europe into?

The Government is clearly struggling to lift lockdown and based on the current rather static infection rates I don't see lockdown lifted until well into next year unless they change their tune. At what point in the near future do we think:

1. income support on a scale never seen before
2. NHS open cheque book
3. Nationalised transport (air, rail etc, I can't see how these are viable for what 1-2 years)
4. Service industry and associated tax take effectively reduced by 70-80%

will mean the only option is socialist economics?

I literally have no idea however I'm sure some will.............
Your basis is not correct. Whilst the infection rates might be static, that is due to increased testing. Deaths are reducing and are half their peak. We will exit lockdown.

This isn’t to say there won’t be huge economic consequences, but to suggest lockdown in any meaningful sense will remain well into 2021 is misguided I would suggest.

At the end of the day, Covid19 is not an existential threat, and shouldn’t be treated as one.

survivalist

6,113 posts

214 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
HurryUpAndWait said:
cseven said:
Would be interesting to gain thoughts form those far more competent and intelligent than myself on the economic cul de sac we appear to be following most of Europe into?

The Government is clearly struggling to lift lockdown and based on the current rather static infection rates I don't see lockdown lifted until well into next year unless they change their tune. At what point in the near future do we think:

1. income support on a scale never seen before
2. NHS open cheque book
3. Nationalised transport (air, rail etc, I can't see how these are viable for what 1-2 years)
4. Service industry and associated tax take effectively reduced by 70-80%

will mean the only option is socialist economics?

I literally have no idea however I'm sure some will.............
Your basis is not correct. Whilst the infection rates might be static, that is due to increased testing. Deaths are reducing and are half their peak. We will exit lockdown.

This isn’t to say there won’t be huge economic consequences, but to suggest lockdown in any meaningful sense will remain well into 2021 is misguided I would suggest.

At the end of the day, Covid19 is not an existential threat, and shouldn’t be treated as one.
I agree with everything you say, but worryingly many people seem to see it as an existential threat due to the government and medial causing something akin to mass hysteria.

garagewidow

1,502 posts

194 months

Wednesday 6th May 2020
quotequote all
cseven said:
Would be interesting to gain thoughts form those far more competent and intelligent than myself on the economic cul de sac we appear to be following most of Europe into?

The Government is clearly struggling to lift lockdown and based on the current rather static infection rates I don't see lockdown lifted until well into next year unless they change their tune. At what point in the near future do we think:

1. income support on a scale never seen before
2. NHS open cheque book
3. Nationalised transport (air, rail etc, I can't see how these are viable for what 1-2 years)
4. Service industry and associated tax take effectively reduced by 70-80%

will mean the only option is socialist economics?

I literally have no idea however I'm sure some will.............
I bet Jeremy is kicking himself now that he's missed the boat.

otherman

2,263 posts

189 months

Wednesday 6th May 2020
quotequote all
cseven said:
will mean the only option is socialist economics?
Socialist economics is spending borrowed money as a prime choice way forward. Conservative economics is only spending the money you have to spend, and let the free market do the rest. The latter is what's happening right now.