AlphaDogfight trials
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anonymous-user

Original Poster:

78 months

Monday 24th August 2020
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https://twitter.com/darpa/status/12965647457519943...

The AlphaDogfight Trials have concluded! Congratulations to Heron Systems whose AI agent won the championship among the systems competitors and then beat our F-16 pilot in five straight simulated dogfights in the man-vs-machine finale.

https://youtu.be/NzdhIA2S35w

Simpo Two

91,446 posts

289 months

Monday 24th August 2020
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So what's the plan here, take pilots out and put computers in the cockpit?

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

78 months

Monday 24th August 2020
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Maybe. More likely, imo, that next gen fighters are semi autonomous uavs

No need to waste space by having a cockpit

aeropilot

39,769 posts

251 months

Monday 24th August 2020
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Skynet gets ever closer............

Badgerboy

1,794 posts

216 months

Monday 24th August 2020
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Quite a few things to consider in that outcome, here is a good analysis from an ex USAF/Navy pilot;

https://youtu.be/ziCQqmEllZo

IanH755

2,633 posts

144 months

Tuesday 25th August 2020
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Simpo Two said:
So what's the plan here, take pilots out and put computers in the cockpit?
Humans are the biggest limiting factor in aircraft design and performance so removing them makes absolute sense from a technical standpoint. However AI right now isn't ready to fully take over plus we're mentally just still a little behind when it comes to the idea of trusting AI to make decisions which involve killing (Military) or, in the case of Civilian aircraft, trusting your life alongside hundreds of others to AI.

However give it another 75+ years when AI has advanced immeasurable, and human trust in AI has also increased, and I'd be surprised to see Humans still "in charge" of motorised transport be it Planes, Trains or Automobiles outside of very limited edge cases like bikes or for sport.

Yertis

19,562 posts

290 months

Tuesday 25th August 2020
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IanH755 said:
Humans are the biggest limiting factor in aircraft design and performance so removing them makes absolute sense from a technical standpoint. However AI right now isn't ready to fully take over plus we're mentally just still a little behind when it comes to the idea of trusting AI to make decisions which involve killing (Military) or, in the case of Civilian aircraft, trusting your life alongside hundreds of others to AI.

However give it another 75+ years when AI has advanced immeasurable, and human trust in AI has also increased, and I'd be surprised to see Humans still "in charge" of motorised transport be it Planes, Trains or Automobiles outside of very limited edge cases like bikes or for sport.
Sounds like a wretched existence. We may as well write ourselves out of the script altogether.

eccles

14,200 posts

246 months

Tuesday 25th August 2020
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IanH755 said:
Simpo Two said:
So what's the plan here, take pilots out and put computers in the cockpit?
Humans are the biggest limiting factor in aircraft design and performance so removing them makes absolute sense from a technical standpoint. However AI right now isn't ready to fully take over plus we're mentally just still a little behind when it comes to the idea of trusting AI to make decisions which involve killing (Military) or, in the case of Civilian aircraft, trusting your life alongside hundreds of others to AI.

However give it another 75+ years when AI has advanced immeasurable, and human trust in AI has also increased, and I'd be surprised to see Humans still "in charge" of motorised transport be it Planes, Trains or Automobiles outside of very limited edge cases like bikes or for sport.
Reminds me of the 1950's when they said the Lightning was going to be the last manned interceptor.....

aeropilot

39,769 posts

251 months

Tuesday 25th August 2020
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Yertis said:
IanH755 said:
Humans are the biggest limiting factor in aircraft design and performance so removing them makes absolute sense from a technical standpoint. However AI right now isn't ready to fully take over plus we're mentally just still a little behind when it comes to the idea of trusting AI to make decisions which involve killing (Military) or, in the case of Civilian aircraft, trusting your life alongside hundreds of others to AI.

However give it another 75+ years when AI has advanced immeasurable, and human trust in AI has also increased, and I'd be surprised to see Humans still "in charge" of motorised transport be it Planes, Trains or Automobiles outside of very limited edge cases like bikes or for sport.
Sounds like a wretched existence. We may as well write ourselves out of the script altogether.
Indeed.

The capacity of the human race to keep coming up with ever more reasons to replace human beings never ceases to amaze and perplex me......when we have ever more humans on the planet with less and less to do.


Ayahuasca

27,560 posts

303 months

Tuesday 25th August 2020
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From the video, the AI pilot wins due to superior gun aiming.

It took shots that the human pilot would not attempt.

Makes sense as shooting is 100% physics. This is like the Star Wars laser weapon argument - why would you have a human gunner trying to aim a laser weapon when a computer could aim it moe accurately? Because movie.

I can foresee a time when combat aircraft are unmanned, and controlled by AI, but a pilot on the ground follows the action and can take over to abort, etc if needed.


mcdjl

5,696 posts

219 months

Tuesday 25th August 2020
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aeropilot said:
Yertis said:
IanH755 said:
Humans are the biggest limiting factor in aircraft design and performance so removing them makes absolute sense from a technical standpoint. However AI right now isn't ready to fully take over plus we're mentally just still a little behind when it comes to the idea of trusting AI to make decisions which involve killing (Military) or, in the case of Civilian aircraft, trusting your life alongside hundreds of others to AI.

However give it another 75+ years when AI has advanced immeasurable, and human trust in AI has also increased, and I'd be surprised to see Humans still "in charge" of motorised transport be it Planes, Trains or Automobiles outside of very limited edge cases like bikes or for sport.
Sounds like a wretched existence. We may as well write ourselves out of the script altogether.
Indeed.

The capacity of the human race to keep coming up with ever more reasons to replace human beings never ceases to amaze and perplex me......when we have ever more humans on the planet with less and less to do.
The car replaced the horse, which had been replaced by the train (steam, diesel, electric), which had been replaced by the canal boat (which replaced the horse). Cycling replaced walking/running. Rather than being replaced these things become hobbies. If everyone who doesnt like driving gets driven, those who do cn have more fun.

maffski

1,905 posts

183 months

Thursday 27th August 2020
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There's an interview with one of the Heron team where they make it clear that this AI was evolved to win the game, not to fly a fighter.

The game gives it perfect knowledge of it's opponents actions, regardless of distance or relative position - unlike sensors on an aircraft.

The gun rules are simply that you need to get the target in range and in your firing cone - unlike the real world there's no bullet flight, so no need for lead and no gravity.

This game didn't reward self preservation, so the AI didn't evolve any, it's sole goal is to get and keep the target in it's gun cone.

In the other corner we had a human opponent that has no experience of the flight simulator and is trying to use techniques intended for real aircraft. He didn't stand a chance.

Herons AI was probably the simplest one there, but it seemed to be the only one that was designed to win the game. Everyone else, including the pilot, seemed to subconsciously follow the idea that it was intended as a simulation so they should limit their behaviour to ones that applied to the real world.

RizzoTheRat

28,154 posts

216 months

Thursday 27th August 2020
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An interesting article from an F18 pilot about it. https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/35947/navy-f...

A few points I noted:
- The AI did several head on shots, something human pilots don't train for as it's bloody dangerous
- Within the simulation the AI had perfect situational awareness
- Where the AI gains massively is on multi tasking, the human pilot has to take attention away from the fight to monitor/fly the aircraft
- The human was in a simulator so didn't have to contend with G-forces which would reduce his performance for real
- While gun only combat isn't what most people think happens in air combat these days, it's a hugely useful tool for a pilot in learning how to fight the aircraft, understanding energy, etc, he reckoned he didn't know anyone who was above average at these exercises but struggled anywhere else.
- Pilots aren't fully in control anyway, the computers already turn his inputs in whatever control surface movements are needed to get the outcome he was after without breaking the aircraft, so he thinks we could initially see this kind of AI being used in piloted aircraft with the pilot giving control to the computer for an engagement

mcdjl

5,696 posts

219 months

Thursday 27th August 2020
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RizzoTheRat said:
- The AI did several head on shots, something human pilots don't train for as it's bloody dangerous
So is being shot down! If anything the useful lesson is probably that humans and AI won't fight to the same rules so don't expect to fight a computer in the way you would a person.