The end of manual transmission
The end of manual transmission
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Discussion

BorkBorkBork

Original Poster:

731 posts

81 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
quotequote all
Interesting lament, but it might be a bit premature. I stumbled across it in r/technology on Reddit:

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/202...

Some manufacturers are still fighting the good fight. I have two cars on order, both coming with a manual transmission. So, it’s not dead yet.



whp1983

1,393 posts

169 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
quotequote all
Not yet, no, sadly it’ll die with EVs I reckon…. In a generation or so most will take auto/EV tests.

As with anything in life they’ll always be enthusiasts to enjoy them- me included!

Truckosaurus

13,277 posts

314 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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I was thinking something similar on my daily pre-work stroll this morning.

I was wondering what the last car would be that would be sold with a manual gearbox coupled with a Naturally Aspirated petrol engine - and would enthusiasts be buying them for that reason alone?

Probably some supermini from the Far East, but then an MX5 drove past and I decided that would be the most likely candidate...

mattyprice4004

1,342 posts

204 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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It's a bit of a shame - my daily is an auto, but I do like stirring the pot in my ZS180s and the wife's Urban Cruiser.
I'd miss manual if it was truly a rare thing, and I can't even pinpoint why - it's just a nice experience.

Bobupndown

2,981 posts

73 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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Sons girlfriend doing her test soon. Learning in an automatic. Thinks she will never need to drive a manual. Personally think she's limiting her options for now. 10 years time might be a different story?

anonymous-user

84 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
quotequote all
whp1983 said:
Not yet, no, sadly it’ll die with EVs I reckon…. In a generation or so most will take auto/EV tests.
Definitely, my 15 year old has already told me she wants to learn in a manual, but I know by youngest would rather drive whatever is easiest.

My girlfriend is Australian and has an Auto only licence. In Australia all of her friends and family also only drive automatics, none of them understand why anybody would bother with a manual.

Have to say, I am nearly 49 and I am getting there myself, there is a very good chance my next car will be an auto.

What is going to happen to classic cars in future when a large percentage of people don't even know how to drive them?

911hope

3,793 posts

56 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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I had an Octavia VRS with DSG and replaced it with a manual a couple of years ago.

It was a 55/45 decision over another DSG, which I now regard to be a mistake.

Probably did it to keep manual skills, rev matching (h and t). But it begs the question why?

Changing gear in traffic is a pain, so why is it suddenly fun on the open road?

There are no real downsides to an auto of any type. With paddles, we can have precise control..


Jaguar99

675 posts

68 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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Despite passing my tests (car, HGV, PSV) in manuals and driving hundreds of thousands of miles in them I will be quite glad if manuals just die out. Haven’t driven anything with a clutch in more than ten years and don’t plan to ever again.

robm3

4,930 posts

257 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
quotequote all
I just traded my GT4 Manual and miss it immensely, it was such a lovely thing to drive no matter what the conditions.
Just have to get another one.

However I did have new M3 in manual (G80) for almost two weeks and didn't gel with it all. Just didn't seem to suit the car.




tenmantaylor

455 posts

128 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
quotequote all
robm3 said:
I just traded my GT4 Manual and miss it immensely, it was such a lovely thing to drive no matter what the conditions.
Just have to get another one.

However I did have new M3 in manual (G80) for almost two weeks and didn't gel with it all. Just didn't seem to suit the car.
Can't believe you chopped in the GT4 Manual. I didn't even drive it, just sat in one at Porsche Swindon and could tell the manual shift was perfection.

DickyC

58,714 posts

228 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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Manual gearboxes will be highly prized along with the internal combustion engine. Who could have imagined mechanical watches being a thing after the introduction of the quartz movements?

Pebbles167

4,598 posts

182 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
quotequote all
911hope said:
I had an Octavia VRS with DSG and replaced it with a manual a couple of years ago.

It was a 55/45 decision over another DSG, which I now regard to be a mistake.

Probably did it to keep manual skills, rev matching (h and t). But it begs the question why?

Changing gear in traffic is a pain, so why is it suddenly fun on the open road?

There are no real downsides to an auto of any type. With paddles, we can have precise control..
There's an element of fun to a manual that isn't often found in an auto, although a DSG goes some way to addressing that.

Reliability is a factor depending on what car you buy, especially used. You can keep a manual going with a worn clutch or box until you can fix or replace it, an auto will often just flat out give up and leave you with a temporarily useless car and a comparatively larger bill.

That being said, if my options in the future are an auto or an EV I wouldn't mind that on a car for all purposes. I would be sad if it was the only option though.



Cold

16,728 posts

120 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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My 17yo goddaughter is currently having driving lessons with one of the main schools. You'll be pleased to know she potters around the local streets practising her hill starts and whatnot in a manual car*.
Hope is not yet lost for young people.

*Although, apparently it is a Corsa.

Mr Tidy

31,626 posts

157 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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I passed my test in 1976 and have only ever had 4 Autos, each time because manual versions of those cars were virtually non-existent.

My current daily is a 2005 manual BMW 330i which I think dates from the era when autos were a bit slower and less economical than the manual. I just prefer a manual, probably because I grew up with them. If I was living in a busier part of the world and still commuting I might not be so keen!

My weekend toy is a BMW Z4M Coupe so many was the only option, which suits me fine.

I'm sure modern autos and twin-clutch set-ups are a world different to the 3 or 4 speed old torque converter autos I had, but they just don't appeal to me!

But there won't be an new manuals after 2030. Still I think there will be enough older ones around to keep me going.

rjfp1962

9,369 posts

103 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
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I passed my test in 1979, and every car I've owned has been a manual.. And the sweetest one is in the MX-5ND2 2 litre I own now smile

I briefly worked at a BMW dealership back in 2015 as a driver, where I did get to drive many auto's. And around the grid roads of Milton Keynes during rush-hour, the appeal was there..... but at quieter times, the manual was much more fun... biggrin

Whilst my left leg still works OK, I'll delay getting an auto for a bit......!

Hoofy

80,110 posts

312 months

Tuesday 9th August 2022
quotequote all
Bobupndown said:
Sons girlfriend doing her test soon. Learning in an automatic. Thinks she will never need to drive a manual. Personally think she's limiting her options for now.
Yep, unless she's going to buy a brand new high end car, chances are when she takes her beginner shed in for a service, she'll be loaned a manual car. They *might* have an auto but manuals are cheaper.

Rat Park Refugee

7 posts

50 months

Wednesday 10th August 2022
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I passed my test in 2005, honestly I only drive a manual due to bangernomics, if I was rich I'd have an automatic or an EV. They are just much nicer to sit in and cruise around, yes a manual can be fun but I could always do a trackday for that.

But with my woeful salary and the insane cost of everything these days, having a manual license is great for practical reasons; the maintenance on them is cheaper, and finding a decent second hand car at a low price is difficult at the moment, imagine what it would be like if you could only buy a manual?

I think teenagers doing automatic only tests are making a mistake at the moment, unless they are from a wealthy family who will pay for a nice first car for them. Unless you're spending £7000+ per car you're going to be very limited when it comes to buying a car that will be an automatic and will also be a low insurance group.

robm3

4,930 posts

257 months

Wednesday 10th August 2022
quotequote all
tenmantaylor said:
robm3 said:
I just traded my GT4 Manual and miss it immensely, it was such a lovely thing to drive no matter what the conditions.
Just have to get another one.

However I did have new M3 in manual (G80) for almost two weeks and didn't gel with it all. Just didn't seem to suit the car.
Can't believe you chopped in the GT4 Manual. I didn't even drive it, just sat in one at Porsche Swindon and could tell the manual shift was perfection.
Well, I did trade it on this...



So slightly redemming I guess


tenmantaylor

455 posts

128 months

Wednesday 10th August 2022
quotequote all
robm3 said:
Well, I did trade it on this...



So slightly redemming I guess
Beg your pardon m'lord, good work

mikey_b

2,714 posts

75 months

Wednesday 10th August 2022
quotequote all
Sales of automatics have risen sharply in recent years, and I believe automatics now make up over 50% of sales. You only have to wait another 2-3 years, before there will be a large proportion of automatics in the secondhand market. There won’t be any issues around limiting yourself to a small pool of cars to choose from. Same goes for courtesy cars, when enough drivers have auto-only licenses, they will be autos too - they’ll have to be.

I was reading an article the other day about driving instructors. Finding one with an automatic car used to be difficult, there weren’t many of them as it was a niche requirement. Now though, the instructor with an automatic is the busiest guy at the driving school, and more and more instructors are changing their cars to autos to meet the demand.

For the majority of the population, who aren’t particularly interested in ‘the drive’ for its own sake, they make more sense these days. DCTs have changed the game - more performance, better economy and easier to drive.