Tesla Powerwall viability
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Discussion

boyse7en

Original Poster:

8,112 posts

192 months

Thursday 11th August 2022
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My missus got chatted up by a solar power salesman at the local county show last week, with him extolling the virtues of the Tesla Powerwall. She now thinks it will be green and economical, but I am more doubful.

We've already got solar panels on the roof - a 4kW system fitted in about 2010.

At roughly £5k for a Powerwall, it isn't a cheap investment, so I'd like to try and work out the potential savings on electricity we could make (rather than use the salesman's no doubt optimistic figures)

Is there a simple way of doing this? Or a website where I can pump in some known figures and it does the math? I had a google but it just returned examples of people i the USA and Australia whose solar panels are pumping out the same sort of KW as Hinckley Point C.

SoliD

1,466 posts

244 months

Thursday 11th August 2022
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Powerwall is closer to 10k I thought?

TedStriker

306 posts

69 months

Thursday 11th August 2022
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Battery storage can be a money saver in winter too, or even without any solar power.

I'm on Octopus Go tariff and get cheap electricity (about 1/4 normal price) for 4 hours overnight. I have programmed my batteries to charge from the grid during this period then the house runs on battery power during the day.

This can save you a substantial amount. Rough figures for me are 75p for a full 10kWh charge which would cost around £3 if bought at normal rate. Couple of quid a day doesn't sound like much but it's over £50 per month.

essayer

10,409 posts

221 months

Thursday 11th August 2022
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That seems (too) cheap for a Powerwall 2

A Powerwall 2 is 13kWh, so you could fill it with cheap electricity overnight on a tariff like Octopus Go - you'd be saving £4/day, (40p peak / 7.5p off peak). 3 yr payback, not bad.

Plus whatever you can generate for free from solar would bring the payback down even more..

But I suspect the price will be at least double that (6+ year payback)




OutInTheShed

14,055 posts

53 months

Thursday 11th August 2022
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You can be sure the sun will continue to set every night for the next few years, but how sure are you that night rate will stay low?

Also, step one is to understand what electricity you are using.
With gas CH and HW and a gas hob, we have lots of days in the 6 to 8kWh area, and some of that is the fridge etc running at night.
So the real savings may only be shifting 5 or 7 kWh to a cheaper tariff, which may not stay so cheap.

Meanwhile, I think batteries will be cheaper in a year or two.

Up_North

297 posts

266 months

Thursday 11th August 2022
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I’d be very surprised if that’s a genuine Tesla Powerwall at that price. Bear in mind that you will have to pay VAT as you’re not buying it with any kind of solar.

CharlieCrocodile

1,227 posts

180 months

Thursday 11th August 2022
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Good luck getting hold of a powerwall!

boyse7en

Original Poster:

8,112 posts

192 months

Friday 12th August 2022
quotequote all
essayer said:
That seems (too) cheap for a Powerwall 2

A Powerwall 2 is 13kWh, so you could fill it with cheap electricity overnight on a tariff like Octopus Go - you'd be saving £4/day, (40p peak / 7.5p off peak). 3 yr payback, not bad.

Plus whatever you can generate for free from solar would bring the payback down even more..

But I suspect the price will be at least double that (6+ year payback)
The 5kWh version is £5k, the 13.5kWh version is £9900.


CharlieCrocodile said:
Good luck getting hold of a powerwall!
The guy said installation would be in six weeks if we ordered there and then.

SoliD

1,466 posts

244 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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5kwh will surely not get you through a whole day in the winter? also 5k for one is about twice the price of the givenergy 9.5kwh battery. Also I can't find any reference to a smaller powerwall?

kent_phil

326 posts

270 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Pretty sure there is only one size of Tesla PowerWall at 13kw - guessing they are quoting another provider for the 5kw.

On the Tesla PowerWall note the below hints on a new version :-

https://www.teslarati.com/new-tesla-energy-product...

Caveated that there have been rumours of PW3 for a long time.

Personally I couldn't make the man-maths work any which way a year ago, going to re-run the numbers with the current prices.

Two year horizon there seems to be a view electricity prices will come back down so might be solving for a short term problem - but who knows, energy prices were due to come down in Jan/Feb this year from the peak Sept/Oct last year and look what happened.

dmsims

7,423 posts

294 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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An SOK server rack battery is <£2K

Up_North

297 posts

266 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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kent_phil said:
Pretty sure there is only one size of Tesla PowerWall at 13kw - guessing they are quoting another provider for the 5kw.
.
You’re right there is only one size, so to the OP, be careful what they’re really quoting for.

essayer

10,409 posts

221 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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dmsims said:
An SOK server rack battery is <£2K
That’s pretty neat, so you’d pair that with a suitable inverter like a Victron and get 5kWh?

dmsims

7,423 posts

294 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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essayer said:
That’s pretty neat, so you’d pair that with a suitable inverter like a Victron and get 5kWh?
Yes although you need to ensure the model had been g98/99 CERTIFIED e.g. MultiPlus 48/3000

KTMsm

28,982 posts

290 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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OutInTheShed said:
You can be sure the sun will continue to set every night for the next few years, but how sure are you that night rate will stay low?
^^^ This

With more people using EVs and charging them overnight the rate will increase - no idea how quickly that will happen though

ikarl

4,014 posts

226 months

Friday 12th August 2022
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Powerwall 2 is a 13.5kWh (usable energy) battery - it can discharge at either 3.68kW or 5kW (continuous for charge and discharge)


southerndriver

278 posts

101 months

Sunday 14th August 2022
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I’ve been looking at batteries as an extra when installing a solar system and can’t see any way to justify it financially within ~10 years, even at current electricity prices. The only way I’ve been able to justify it is as a battery backup when there are power cuts. We don’t get many of those where I live so it’s really a “just in case” if/when things get bad regarding the UK grid in the current winter given what’s going on. Of course, with rampant inflation a possibility (I remember what happened in the 1970s), the cost of electricity may go through the roof in which case the battery (already paid for) may then justify itself.

I wouldn’t trust the electricity companies currently offering ridiculously cheap electricity in a small window overnight to continue offering it in future. In the US the companies that do this also have very high peak rates for power so while benefitting at night you get hit in the day.

Pheo

3,538 posts

229 months

Sunday 14th August 2022
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If that happened in my scenario we’d probably not be using any electricity during peak at all. Load shift everything onto the powerwall and solar during the day and draw from the grid as needed overnight.

anonymous-user

81 months

Sunday 14th August 2022
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southerndriver said:
The only way I’ve been able to justify it is as a battery backup when there are power cuts. We don’t get many of those where I live so it’s really a “just in case” if/when things get bad regarding the UK grid in the current winter given what’s going on.
Not sure they work that way without additional complication? I remember an old Fully Charged episode about Robert Llewellyn's power wall set up and he needed some sort of auto switching to isolate his place in a power cut, to prevent power going from his place back into the grid while engineers were trying to fix the problem. I don't think batteries provide entirely 'off grid' power as standard.
Happy to be proved wrong...

ARHarh

4,892 posts

134 months

Sunday 14th August 2022
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doesthiswork said:
southerndriver said:
The only way I’ve been able to justify it is as a battery backup when there are power cuts. We don’t get many of those where I live so it’s really a “just in case” if/when things get bad regarding the UK grid in the current winter given what’s going on.
Not sure they work that way without additional complication? I remember an old Fully Charged episode about Robert Llewellyn's power wall set up and he needed some sort of auto switching to isolate his place in a power cut, to prevent power going from his place back into the grid while engineers were trying to fix the problem. I don't think batteries provide entirely 'off grid' power as standard.
Happy to be proved wrong...
Solar PV does not work during power cuts for this reason. You tend to get power cuts in winter when there is little generation . So if you had a 3 day power cut, which is when you would want the battery most it will not have any charge anyway.