RE: EU agrees 2035 deadline for combustion engine ban
RE: EU agrees 2035 deadline for combustion engine ban
Friday 28th October 2022

EU agrees 2035 deadline for combustion engine ban

Low-volume manufacturers get a one-year extension, but otherwise the EV-only era beckons


If not the most shocking development given the prevailing political climate, confirmation of the EU’s commitment to banning the sale of new combustion engined cars from 2035 is obviously significant. "It's the start of a big transition of the European Union," said Jan Huitema, the parliament's main negotiator. You can say that again, Jan. The EU is the world’s biggest trading bloc, millions of new petrol and diesel cars are still being sold every single year, and 2035 - though it might sound like a time of flying cars and time machines - isn’t that far off. Babies born in 2022 will just be teenagers by the time new cars with an engine will effectively be illegal in Europe.  

Of course, this being the EU, and the bill not being without its controversy or nuance, there are some concessions made within it. Chief among them - and the result of considerable lobbying by the ACEA - it has been agreed that niche manufacturers (i.e. those producing fewer than 10,000 cars a year) will be given an additional year to negotiate weaker CO2 targets, effectively allowing the production of supercars to extend beyond 2035. 

That’s obviously a brief reprieve for the one percent (and we can only speculate on the sort of values that would be attached to last-ever products in that hectic 12 months) but for everyone else visiting this website the glimmer of hope is to be found in the non-binding element of the deal which leaves the door open for synthetic fuel use after 2035. Again a result of concerted lobbying, the EU agreed to consider a draft proposal on how cars that run on ‘CO2 neutral fuels’ could be sold after 2035. While there’s scepticism about scaling that solution, let’s not forget that Porsche ran its entire 2021 Mobil Supercup season on synthetic fuel, and is an enthusiastic investor in production tech. So fingers crossed, eh? 

Furthermore, while plenty of manufacturers have committed to an ICE-free future, such a momentous decision has resulted in further calls for infrastructure development. Oliver Zipse, president of ACEA, the European carmakers lobby group, as well as BMW CEO, said:  "We are now keen to see the framework conditions which are essential to meet this target reflected in EU policies.” He continued: "These include an abundance of renewable energy, a seamless private and public charging infrastructure network, and access to raw materials". 

While the EU’s move has been welcomed by campaigners, there are already those opposed to the move. The ‘Havana effect’ has been suggested, where old cars will hang around for years and years because new EVs aren’t available or affordable. Which does seem a tad extreme, given the price of cars like the first Nissan Leaf now and the progress being made, but is a legitimate concern. “Today's deal slammed shut the door to new technological developments and put all the eggs in one basket. This is a mistake.” That was the view of Jens Gieseke, negotiator and lawmaker from the conservative European People’s Party.  

Presuming the deal struck yesterday becomes law, there will be no time to waste for manufacturers selling in the EU - niche or otherwise. In addition to the 2035 ban, the agreement includes a commitment to reduce CO2 of new cars sold in 2030 by 50 per cent compared to 2021 - the existing target is 37.5 per cent. Tough times ahead, then, both for those who make combustion engines and those who are fond of them. Don’t be surprised if the goalposts shift again before 2035, either…


Author
Discussion

D4rez

Original Poster:

1,668 posts

86 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Let the denial phase commence

oilit

2,818 posts

208 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
All back to horse and carriage then?

alex_2015

320 posts

65 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
And these restrictions of course do not address trucks, construction vehicles, planes, buses, etc. Especially state owned ones are excepted.
I guess everyone can feel the stench that these utility vehicles leave after them passing every day.
On each continental EU highway, since 2-3 years you can always see a perpetual train of trucks on the first lane. Regardless of hour. I think this generates the highest proportion of pollutants from all road traffic.

Edited by alex_2015 on Friday 28th October 11:47

Limpet

6,627 posts

191 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Driving the adoption of something by banning the alternative simply tells me the new thing isn't compelling enough on its own.

When the combustion engine came out, they didn't ban the horse. They didn't need to because the motor car was better in every way.

Clearly not the same for EVs vs combustion, otherwise measures such as bans wouldn't be needed.

alex_2015

320 posts

65 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
yesterjay said:
Remind me where we get all the batteries from and how the infrastructure will cope with this again?
They opened in France lithium mines. Problem is that it's granite containing lithium. I wonder (besides chopped up mountains) how much energy consumption / emissions, water consumed/polluted does this means? How is the balance between spent energy/emissions vs spared ones through the use of the battery?

There are other places (Chile dessert) where there are lithium salts in some lakes. And still there is a big env impact.

KJH

164 posts

234 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
yesterjay said:
Remind me where we get all the batteries from and how the infrastructure will cope with this again?
Germany will provide for Europe. smile

WY86

1,555 posts

57 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Lets see if Putin beats the EU to the ban by nuking the world.

Skylinecrazy

13,986 posts

224 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
I know people will say I’m not embracing the future or whatever, but I don’t particularly care.

I fail to see how anyone on this forum can’t be moved by this, yes electric is faster, better for the environment and whatever else. But as enthusiasts, an internal combustion engine cannot be beaten by a battery, it just can’t. The smell, feeling, noise and how it makes you feel. That simply can’t be replicated by a dishwasher.

Standing on the Mulsanne and hearing a full field of Le Mans race cars fly past, watching 20+ DFV engined F1 cars fly into copse, or hearing a rally car’s turbo chatter approach, fly past disappear for miles into the woods. Or more simply, the noise a car makes as you accelerate through a tunnel? This won’t be replicated again in 20 years.

I hope there are other people out there that keep the combustion engine running for hundreds of years into the future, and don’t let such a wonderful thing die out.

I don’t know how anyone into cars, or on this website can be happy or pleased about this article.

Type R Tom

4,334 posts

179 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
yesterjay said:
Remind me where we get all the batteries from and how the infrastructure will cope with this again?
I wonder what the turn over of new cars in vs old cars scrapped is and when this will become an issue. Personally from a purely financial view point, I am probably 10 years away from me being able to afford on the 2nd hand market a car that would meet my needs, assuming a 10+ year old car is still capable of the range they left the factory with.


D4rez

Original Poster:

1,668 posts

86 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Limpet said:
Driving the adoption of something by banning the alternative simply tells me the new thing isn't compelling enough on its own.

When the combustion engine came out, they didn't ban the horse. They didn't need to because the motor car was better in every way.

Clearly not the same for EVs vs combustion, otherwise measures such as bans wouldn't be needed.
This isn’t really about “better” for the end consumer, it’s about better for air quality for the whole population. Aim is for equivalence of experience to today’s ICE car hence the rollout of charging infrastructure, bigger battery capacity and faster charging times - already this has radically improved over the past 10 years

ChocolateFrog

34,954 posts

203 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Skylinecrazy said:
I know people will say I’m not embracing the future or whatever, but I don’t particularly care.

I fail to see how anyone on this forum can’t be moved by this, yes electric is faster, better for the environment and whatever else. But as enthusiasts, an internal combustion engine cannot be beaten by a battery, it just can’t. The smell, feeling, noise and how it makes you feel. That simply can’t be replicated by a dishwasher.

Standing on the Mulsanne and hearing a full field of Le Mans race cars fly past, watching 20+ DFV engined F1 cars fly into copse, or hearing a rally car’s turbo chatter approach, fly past disappear for miles into the woods. Or more simply, the noise a car makes as you accelerate through a tunnel? This won’t be replicated again in 20 years.

I hope there are other people out there that keep the combustion engine running for hundreds of years into the future, and don’t let such a wonderful thing die out.

I don’t know how anyone into cars, or on this website can be happy or pleased about this article.
Every ICE car I desire has already been built.

My TVR will be 30 years old next year and I'll likely be dead by 2065 when the last ICE cars are the same age so there's nothing to worry about.

And let's remember that EVs are better in almost every way for 99% of driving.

Far Cough

2,482 posts

198 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Just think for a minute how many ICE cars there will be on the planet come 2035. They are not going to just disappear overnight so although you won't necessarily be able to buy a new one. There will be plenty to go round for many years after.

DamianQS

78 posts

170 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all

How is the Electricity generated? Until the we can guarantee this is not detrimental surely, we are swapping from one "evil" to another.

Surely decrease reliance on any personal vehicles is key.

I remember when diesel was the "answer"

Type R Tom

4,334 posts

179 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Skylinecrazy said:
I know people will say I’m not embracing the future or whatever, but I don’t particularly care.

I fail to see how anyone on this forum can’t be moved by this, yes electric is faster, better for the environment and whatever else. But as enthusiasts, an internal combustion engine cannot be beaten by a battery, it just can’t. The smell, feeling, noise and how it makes you feel. That simply can’t be replicated by a dishwasher.

Standing on the Mulsanne and hearing a full field of Le Mans race cars fly past, watching 20+ DFV engined F1 cars fly into copse, or hearing a rally car’s turbo chatter approach, fly past disappear for miles into the woods. Or more simply, the noise a car makes as you accelerate through a tunnel? This won’t be replicated again in 20 years.

I hope there are other people out there that keep the combustion engine running for hundreds of years into the future, and don’t let such a wonderful thing die out.

I don’t know how anyone into cars, or on this website can be happy or pleased about this article.
I'm not saying I am unhappy about the demise, especially for the small companies, I could see no problem with Caterham, Lambo etc staying petrol but I can't help feel with attitudes like that we might still be stuck with 6l V8 with tiny BHP levels. Companies have known for a long time that tech is needed to approve efficiency, emissions etc, this is the next step unfortunately

tannhauser

1,773 posts

245 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
ChocolateFrog said:
And let's remember that EVs are better in almost every way for 99% of driving.
Absolute bks.

J4CKO

46,989 posts

230 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
yesterjay said:
Remind me where we get all the batteries from and how the infrastructure will cope with this again?
Best never change anything because it may require some investment ?

The combustion engine didnt have infrastructure int he early days, EVs have a head start in that we have a massive electricity distribution network.

I see many EV's every day, they didnt appear overnight its been ten or more years, there wasnt an electricity grid 100 years ago

And people going on about the environmental angle, turn it in we know they arent perfect, I saw someone decrying the bicycle because of the manufacturing required to build one, at whch point you know people are sniffing too many marker pens. Nobody said EV's were perfect environmentally, but neither are ICE cars so its a crap standpoint as it just says

"I dont like EV's and havent got much, so the environmental angle will have to do"

The too expensive thing, well, guess what new ICE cars are expensive as well, if they were coming in now, if you cant afford an EV then you probably couldn't afford an ICE car either ! They will get cheaper as the market gets saturated, still a bit new at the moment but there will be a time when you can buy one for banger money.

I am no EV fan boy but people do talk some nonsense.

Twinair

1,048 posts

172 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Well there we go. And please spare me the whole: ‘If you voted - all parties had ‘this’ in their manifesto’. Zero specifics. I guess people are once again getting the ‘government’ they put up with. Bullshido.

kambites

71,597 posts

251 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Extrapolating sales trends is notoriously difficult but I don't think ICE will make up a very significant proportion of the new car market by 2035 anyway. 95% of new ICE vehicles on the roads would be better with electric drive-trains anyway so I struggle to feel too upset. I'll stick with classic ICE for driving fun. driving

Mark_Blanchard

1,044 posts

285 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
"It has been agreed that niche manufacturers will be given an additional year to negotiate weaker CO2 targets, effectively allowing the production of supercars to extend beyond 2035."

So ICE cars will still be made after 2035. That's good news for Lotus, Ferrari, Lamborghini etc.

satfinal

2,625 posts

192 months

Friday 28th October 2022
quotequote all
Skylinecrazy said:
I know people will say I’m not embracing the future or whatever, but I don’t particularly care.

I fail to see how anyone on this forum can’t be moved by this, yes electric is faster, better for the environment and whatever else. But as enthusiasts, an internal combustion engine cannot be beaten by a battery, it just can’t. The smell, feeling, noise and how it makes you feel. That simply can’t be replicated by a dishwasher.

Standing on the Mulsanne and hearing a full field of Le Mans race cars fly past, watching 20+ DFV engined F1 cars fly into copse, or hearing a rally car’s turbo chatter approach, fly past disappear for miles into the woods. Or more simply, the noise a car makes as you accelerate through a tunnel? This won’t be replicated again in 20 years.

I hope there are other people out there that keep the combustion engine running for hundreds of years into the future, and don’t let such a wonderful thing die out.

I don’t know how anyone into cars, or on this website can be happy or pleased about this article.
Question for you, will you actually listen to people and their opinions on this matter that don't agree with yours? Or just continue to spout emotional junk.