NVIDIA… thoughts on their results
Discussion
My rough calcs.
Nvidia being worth $3Tn.
4bn people that might want “AI”
~ $75 per head every year for 10yrs.
That’s a lot of AI cost to trickle down (with taxes and inefficiencies etc, likely doubles or quadruples)
So let’s say $200 per person for a decade for AI inside their cars, toasters, TVs, phones, internets, outlook and word, PowerPoint (
)
X 4bn people around the world all consuming at peak AI.
Sorry it just doesn’t stack up to me.
Just one competitor getting anywhere close, or one disruptive swing in the tech, and half their market and ability to set price goes out of the window.
Nvidia being worth $3Tn.
4bn people that might want “AI”
~ $75 per head every year for 10yrs.
That’s a lot of AI cost to trickle down (with taxes and inefficiencies etc, likely doubles or quadruples)
So let’s say $200 per person for a decade for AI inside their cars, toasters, TVs, phones, internets, outlook and word, PowerPoint (
)X 4bn people around the world all consuming at peak AI.
Sorry it just doesn’t stack up to me.
Just one competitor getting anywhere close, or one disruptive swing in the tech, and half their market and ability to set price goes out of the window.
GuigiaroBertone said:
Sold yesterday at 125. Having lost 10k earlier in the week on PDD (Temu) after their positive earnings statement, I decided to get out.
One of the very few times I've sold at the right time!
I mean if your outlook is 2 days then yes lol. I've stuff I've sold and thought wow down 20% next day what a shrewd investor I am.One of the very few times I've sold at the right time!
1 week later its bounced back 20% and a further 15% and wver gone lower.
What an idiot I am... lol
asfault said:
GuigiaroBertone said:
Sold yesterday at 125. Having lost 10k earlier in the week on PDD (Temu) after their positive earnings statement, I decided to get out.
One of the very few times I've sold at the right time!
I mean if your outlook is 2 days then yes lol. I've stuff I've sold and thought wow down 20% next day what a shrewd investor I am.One of the very few times I've sold at the right time!
1 week later its bounced back 20% and a further 15% and wver gone lower.
What an idiot I am... lol

The only time I was a market genius was 1992….I had a couple of grand in TSB shares, but needed it for a car.
Sold up on a Monday, which was followed by Black Wednesday.
If I had waited 2 days, they would have been worth about half what I got

Pure genius.
Or indeed, absolute luck
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