Mortgage advise.
Author
Discussion

Wish

Original Poster:

1,661 posts

267 months

Monday 6th October
quotequote all
My mortgage is up for renewal in January. it’s currently with Barclays
Have a 5 year fixed currently at around 1.6% if I remember correctly.
Starting to look at what’s about but not sure if I should fix for 2year, 5 years or higher.

Any advise would be greatly appreciated, what are people’s thought for they years ahead? Are rates going to drop anytime soon ?

Would like to stay with Barclays if possible.

andyb28

1,046 posts

136 months

Monday 6th October
quotequote all
No advice to offer.

But our 5 year deal just ended also. We were on 1.6% and are now on 4.18% frown

39sl

182 posts

142 months

Monday 6th October
quotequote all
We are about to face the same issue…we will go for 2 year fixed, and see how the next 2 years pans out. A 5 year fixed at the current rates doesn’t feel the right decision but equally, sitting on the SVR for 2 years is absolutely not the right answer

Wish

Original Poster:

1,661 posts

267 months

Monday 6th October
quotequote all
andyb28 said:
No advice to offer.

But our 5 year deal just ended also. We were on 1.6% and are now on 4.18% frown
Is this for 5 years ?
I’ve just logged on and checked my rates. I’m currently on 1.43% if I do nothing it increases to 7.49%
I can fix for 5 years for 4.14% no fees.

Part of me thinks 2 years is too short. I’m thinking rates could get out of hand under this government.

Crystal ball anyone ?

Wombat3

14,147 posts

224 months

Monday 6th October
quotequote all
You can generally see which way the banks etc think rates are going to go from the type and number of offers available.

If the market is flooded with good value 5 / 7 / 10 year fixed rate deals then the banks reckon rates are either flat or falling in the medium term.

When they reckon rates are going to go up then fixed rates are much harder to come by for obvious reasons.

Under the current shambles I really can't see rates falling much over the next couple of years.

gangzoom

7,607 posts

233 months

Tuesday 7th October
quotequote all
It feels like current rates are at a long-term average, I highly doubt we'll see the mad 1.5-2% rates again in my lifetime but the reality is no one knows.

We fixed our sub 2% long enough to essentially see us mortgage free when we exit the fixed. Inflation has really helped us reduce the real cost of the borrowing over time, and the sub 2% rates were what paid for our house building works, so I'm really glad we took out the additional borrowing rather than worried about paying the mortgage off back than.

Rember the rate in 1980/90s were double digits at one point, so I've always taken a risk adverse approach and fix for 5-10 years at a time.


andyb28

1,046 posts

136 months

Tuesday 7th October
quotequote all
Wish said:
andyb28 said:
No advice to offer.

But our 5 year deal just ended also. We were on 1.6% and are now on 4.18% frown
Is this for 5 years ?
I ve just logged on and checked my rates. I m currently on 1.43% if I do nothing it increases to 7.49%
I can fix for 5 years for 4.14% no fees.

Part of me thinks 2 years is too short. I m thinking rates could get out of hand under this government.

Crystal ball anyone ?
Yeah it was for 5 years with Coventry.
It was the best our Mortgage Broker could find.

Ry.Clarke

414 posts

44 months

Tuesday 7th October
quotequote all
Personal opinion is we will be in for a rough ride over the next 3-5.

Would fix for 5 personally. This country is about to find out what happens when you fk around

Big Pants

554 posts

159 months

Tuesday 7th October
quotequote all
Is Sarnie still around these parts? Truly excellent mortgage broker, and helped me find a terrific deal.

Annoyingly I can't find his contact details - would welcome them if any has them.

Pit Pony

10,429 posts

139 months

Tuesday 7th October
quotequote all
I once fixed for 10 years. Just as the rates dropped again.
Gerr........

S6PNJ

5,677 posts

299 months

Tuesday 7th October
quotequote all
Big Pants said:
Is Sarnie still around these parts? Truly excellent mortgage broker, and helped me find a terrific deal.

Annoyingly I can't find his contact details - would welcome them if any has them.
Yup, he's still around and doing mortgages.
https://www.pistonheads.com/gassing/profile.asp?me...

ukwill

9,613 posts

225 months

Tuesday 7th October
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First Direct are offering 3.98% (5yrs) on 60% ltv. If I were looking now I'd probably take that. I think we'll be battling with inflation for some time to come.

fat80b

3,029 posts

239 months

Wednesday 8th October
quotequote all
ukwill said:
First Direct are offering 3.98% (5yrs) on 60% ltv. If I were looking now I'd probably take that. I think we'll be battling with inflation for some time to come.
My bet's the other way...

While I think inflation will continue to be sticky for the rest of the year, I think that the crashing of the economy (measured by employment numbers, business confidence, etc) will mean that the BoE end up having to cut rates to prevent a recession pretty soon.

There seems to be some consensus that 2 rate cuts by the mid-end '26 are likely, but if the economy continues to stall, I personally can see more than this happening.


ukwill

9,613 posts

225 months

Wednesday 8th October
quotequote all
fat80b said:
ukwill said:
First Direct are offering 3.98% (5yrs) on 60% ltv. If I were looking now I'd probably take that. I think we'll be battling with inflation for some time to come.
My bet's the other way...

While I think inflation will continue to be sticky for the rest of the year, I think that the crashing of the economy (measured by employment numbers, business confidence, etc) will mean that the BoE end up having to cut rates to prevent a recession pretty soon.

There seems to be some consensus that 2 rate cuts by the mid-end '26 are likely, but if the economy continues to stall, I personally can see more than this happening.
Fair - there are always two sides to this. Sonia indicates to me that whilst we might get to 3.5% at some stage next year, it will entirely depend on how sticky inflation remains. I will continue gazing into my forward-curve's and make further guesstimates along the way.

Either way, I've no doubt there will be some period of time before mortgage rates are changed to reflect base rate changes. If you were looking to renew say late next year, you may well be fortunate enough to get a 3.5% deal. But you can get 3.98% now and not give a toss what inflation does for the next 5rs. You pays yer money etc.


Sarnie

8,253 posts

227 months

Wednesday 8th October
quotequote all
Big Pants said:
Is Sarnie still around these parts? Truly excellent mortgage broker, and helped me find a terrific deal.

Annoyingly I can't find his contact details - would welcome them if any has them.
Yep, still here!! beer

bigfoot7

344 posts

262 months

Wednesday 8th October
quotequote all
We fixed for 10 years at 2.49% back in 2018 and glad we did. Just a nice feeling knowing it was a fixed amount for a decent length of time as we don’t plan to move and should finish paying off the mortgage by the last payment.

JuanCarlosFandango

9,291 posts

89 months

Wednesday 8th October
quotequote all
Mostly in for the interest rate predictions. My armchair economist view is that they may slide a bit lower in the next 12 months but not to 1%. They're more likely to shoot up as inflation becomes an issue. How far is anyone's guess.

Also look at exit fees. They do vary. I actually paid them to get out of my mortgage with Halifax and locked in 5 years at good rates at what turned out to be just the right time. I like the peace of mind of a long fix but it's also good to know you can get out if something unexpected does happen and better deals become available.