If there was a General Election in three months time...
If there was a General Election in three months time...
Author
Discussion

Wacky Racer

Original Poster:

41,025 posts

273 months

Expressed in percentage terms, what would the chances of a Conservative victory be?

Slow.Patrol

4,996 posts

40 months

I don't know why Kemi doesn't go for a rebrand. New Tories or something.

Put distance between her and Boris and admit that he was crap at running the country.

In three months' time - maybe 10% of the vote.

Zero of them getting a victory.

TeaNoSugar

1,453 posts

191 months

Wacky Racer said:
Expressed in percentage terms, what would the chances of a Conservative victory be?
Why 3 months time? A lot could happen in 3 months.

As it stands though, an overall Tory majority? That’s 326 seats at least and they have about 120. You’re asking if they can win an extra 200+ seats? Can’t be more than a few percent chance of that now though.

3% chance?

kiethton

14,558 posts

206 months

By themselves it's low single digit percentage chances, a conservative/reform coalition is more likely than not in my opionion

ferret50

2,794 posts

35 months

My best guess is a Reform/Conservative coalition led by Jacob Rees-Mogg.

Wacky Racer

Original Poster:

41,025 posts

273 months

TeaNoSugar said:
Why 3 months time? A lot could happen in 3 months.

3% chance?
I could have said a month, or even six months or a year.

I just picked 3 months for some reason.


I certainly think the answer would be in single figures.

Warhavernet

1,172 posts

13 months

The latest poll shows the Tories at 18%, which roughly translates to 61 seats, zero chance then unless they hitch a ride with Farage the Tory grandee in waiting , which is much more likely than anyone is going to admit, and as Jim Morrison said " the future's uncertain and the end is alway near " .

_Rodders_

2,528 posts

45 months

Nearly 7 million people voted for them at the last election.

Boggles my mind but they've still got a relatively large following.

Quite possible that Reform and the LDs have eaten into that number now though.

768

19,798 posts

122 months

Assuming it's under FPTP, 3/5ths of fk all.

tele_lover

2,430 posts

41 months

Slow.Patrol said:
I don't know why Kemi doesn't go for a rebrand. New Tories or something.

Put distance between her and Boris and admit that he was crap at running the country.

In three months' time - maybe 10% of the vote.

Zero of them getting a victory.
Problem with the Tories is they attract globalists and liberals like May, Hammond etc.

tele_lover

2,430 posts

41 months

ferret50 said:
My best guess is a Reform/Conservative coalition led by Jacob Rees-Mogg.
With Restore.

Rupert Lowe is saying all the right things.

More publicity and they'll be winning seats.

philv

5,197 posts

240 months

0% chance.

The uk electorate are too stupid to know what's best for them.

We're still too busy teaching those rotten tories a lesson (how's that going!?).

13 years of the tories goes the cry!
As we circle the toiler with our turd of a government.
!