Miles travelled and crashes.
Miles travelled and crashes.
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Discussion

deltaf

Original Poster:

6,806 posts

274 months

Friday 25th April 2003
quotequote all
If the governments propaganda is to be believed, (lets, just for a second or two) that speed is the cause of 33% of crashes, then maybe they can explain to me this: 33% crashes caused by speed, so 67% arent caused by 90+% of drivers who speed...
67% of crashes are NOT caused by speeding drivers!
Now, as if thats not a piffling percentage enuff for ya, try this.
How many cars, vans, trucks, buses, motorbikes and pedalcycles are on the road, and travelling at over the speed limits on the journeys they undertake?
Lets say for the sake of argument, that theres 15 million cars on the road at any one time. 90plus percent of drivers said they speed, so most of that 15 million are going to be speeding somewhere along their journey yeah?
If each car travelled only 20 miles on its journey, that be 15million times 20=300 million miles in one day.
And thats just for the cars!!!!
Add in all the rest of vehicular traffic and its a staggeringly large number of miles travelled per day at over the limits. So you can see from the example above that the percentage of crashes caused by speeders cannot be what the government is saying it is, or thered be far more crashes due to speeders.
Remember, most drivers speed at some point.
Id be interested to know how many crashes per billion miles travelled actually occur in this country, and given that we already know that most drivers speed, the amount of crashes actually occurring is miniscule compared to the mileage covered.
A sense of proportion is what this poxy government needs to get!
Apologies if my maths aint up to much...

Size Nine Elm

5,167 posts

305 months

Friday 25th April 2003
quotequote all

Apologies if my maths aint up to much...


Apology accepted

JUst because x% of crashes are caused by speed doesn't mean x% of speeding events cause crashes...

If there are 300 million speeding events a day, it may be that only 300 cause crashes, but that could still be 10% of the crashes for a day.

deltaf

Original Poster:

6,806 posts

274 months

Friday 25th April 2003
quotequote all
Statistics....pfff

m-five

11,990 posts

305 months

Friday 25th April 2003
quotequote all
But then there is no proof that reducing speed would reduce accidents as speed is only a factor when there is an accident and never when there is no accident.

The problem arises because you cannot say that if you speed you will crash because it is obviously false, so they say speed is the cause of x% of crashes to make it sound like you will crash x% of the time you speed!