RE: Used Car Values Could Lose £2bn
RE: Used Car Values Could Lose £2bn
Thursday 29th May 2008

Used Car Values Could Lose £2bn

Economic downturn means less money to spend on second-hand cars



The value of second-hand cars could drop by £2 billion this year because of a downturn in spending.

It is feared that the rising costs of mortgages, fuel and food could slash the amount of money spent on used cars.

This will not be helped by proposed car tax reforms, it is said.

Figures released by Sainsbury’s Finance predict that £22.7 billion will be spent on second-hand cars between February and August, compared with £24.8 billion in the previous six months. That’s a drop of 8%.

Mark Norman, an analyst with CAP Motor Research, said: ‘The main reason at the moment is down to the general economic climate. People are wary of spending.

‘But towards the end of this year and the early part of next year, as new Vehicle Excise Duty bandings come on to the horizon, the process will be affected purely by VED. Certain cars will be virtually impossible to sell.’

Despite claims that the tax increases are to help the environment, official figures have reportedly shown that the effect will be to double revenues to more than £4 billion.

It is estimated that emissions will be cut by just 1%.

Author
Discussion

MitchT

Original Poster:

17,089 posts

231 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
Sales of newer use cars may well suffer, but I would have thought that any car registered before 1 March 2001 with anything bigger than a 'small' engine will become a more favourable prospect for anyone who needs or wants something bigger than a small hatchback.

Double R

872 posts

252 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
those neglected pre-2001 Audi A8s are going to come back into fashion in the second hand car market smile


RTH

1,059 posts

234 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
In a year from now there will be some real bargains.

chrisbr68

5,500 posts

270 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
Err, so used car sales will suffer but surely new car sales will suffer even more? Same kinds of taxes, but also with showroom taxes on top of prices that have not depreciated at all yet!

The cars that will probably not go down in value so much are the ones that are old enough to escape the stupidly high road tax - which are surprise surprise even older. I dont understand this article... :S

Kieran XJR

5,987 posts

235 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
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Hopefully there's still time for an embarrassing U-turn from Brown over this VED increase. Cheaper cars sounds good to me though.

Diderot

9,209 posts

214 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
Totally logical that older and more polluting pre 2001 cars should have to pay less than newer more efficient ones.

wab172uk

2,005 posts

249 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
chrisbr68 said:
Err, so used car sales will suffer but surely new car sales will suffer even more?
Agreed.

Most people buying new car trade-in their old car. So if the dealer is offering lower trade-in values, this is going to put off people buying a new car. Add to this the stupid "Showroom" tax coming in, in 2010, and new car sale will suffer more.

All this Government is going to acheve, is making us take a hit in our wallet to sell our overtaxed cars. We'll then go out and buy old bangers to avoid tax, that polute more than a newer car would.

Saving the planet? My arse

DM112233

51 posts

220 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
Double R said:
those neglected pre-2001 Audi A8s are going to come back into fashion in the second hand car market smile
I'll be hanging on to mine for sometime to come thumbup

griffter

4,143 posts

277 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
chrisbr68 said:
I dont understand this article... :S
I think the article is saying that people will have less money to spend, therefore used cars will sell for less. It then goes on to say that the VED fiasco will kill the market for certain cars. Of course it will. Who will buy a £400 car if it costs £400 to tax? It's not necessarily a logical or economic argument, but I bet it turns out to be the case!

The Y/01 thing is ridiculous. Just as a post '72 classic is worth less than it's pre-'73 equivalent, so a S2000 registered on a Wednesday will be worth less than its equivalent registered on a Tuesday (if the pate change occured overnight - I haven't checked an '01 calendar!). That fact that it is restrospective is repugnant.

havoc

32,556 posts

257 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
article said:
Figures released by Sainsbury’s Finance predict that £22.7 billion will be spent on second-hand cars between February and August, compared with £24.8 billion in the previous six months. That’s a drop of 8%.
And this supposedly means that 2nd-hand cars will lose £2bn of value? I think it more likely means that people will delay selling their car as they can't afford to upgrade.

Yet another pointless and factually inaccurate article touted as news. Please PH, lets have some critical input and not just parrot the crap these people spout, eh???

Mr POD

5,153 posts

214 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
griffter said:
Who will buy a £400 car if it costs £400 to tax? It's not necessarily a logical or economic argument, but I bet it turns out to be the case!

.
I paid £180 quid to tax a car that cost me £6.64 once. The guy that later paid £200 quid for it clearly had no intention of taxing it (I think the name and address he eventually put on the V5 was a lie too - apparently there are pubs in Liverpool you can get a years car tax for £10) Still he paid cash (I checked EVERY note) and I got that nice letter from swansea confirming car was no longer mine, so hopefully it's been towed and crushed by now.

zimmerman

166 posts

217 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
griffter said:
chrisbr68 said:
I dont understand this article... :S
I think the article is saying that people will have less money to spend, therefore used cars will sell for less. It then goes on to say that the VED fiasco will kill the market for certain cars. Of course it will. Who will buy a £400 car if it costs £400 to tax? It's not necessarily a logical or economic argument, but I bet it turns out to be the case!

The Y/01 thing is ridiculous. Just as a post '72 classic is worth less than it's pre-'73 equivalent, so a S2000 registered on a Wednesday will be worth less than its equivalent registered on a Tuesday (if the pate change occured overnight - I haven't checked an '01 calendar!). That fact that it is restrospective is repugnant.
exactly. and for that matter who wil buy a sub £1,000 car if it costs almost half of it's value to tax every year?

not very green rendering tens of thousands of perfectly good old cars scrap every year is it? nor fair rendering peoples cars essentially worthless or de-valuing them.


our 2001 Golf GTI turbo will creep up to something like £260 next year. as it's a car in the crossover year, I assume that will put a dent in it's value as people search for the pre march 01 cars.

I think they will have to u-turn on this, but I would bet they will phase it in as opposed to scrapping it altogether....

Titan Simba

18,448 posts

216 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
wab172uk said:
chrisbr68 said:
Err, so used car sales will suffer but surely new car sales will suffer even more?
Agreed.

Most people buying new car trade-in their old car. So if the dealer is offering lower trade-in values, this is going to put off people buying a new car. Add to this the stupid "Showroom" tax coming in, in 2010, and new car sale will suffer more.
I would wager that a large percentage of new vehicles are either sold as company / fleet vehicles or to car rental companies. It's these cars, sold second hand, which flood the market and drive down used car prices as there is decreased demand.

adycav

7,615 posts

239 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
Diderot said:
Totally logical that older and more polluting pre 2001 cars should have to pay less than newer more efficient ones.
Not really.

It makes (some) sense that the government may wish to dissuade purchasers of brand new environmentally-unsound vehicles by slapping on some tax, both at the point of purchase and subsequently on an annual basis. This may help them to meet whatever daft targets they have set themselves or from the EU or whatever. Don't understand/care about this but plenty on here do.

However, the pre-2001 vehicle has already been built. Dissuading purchase of these will result in a possibly perfectly useable car being scrapped and a new one will heve to be built in its place. This in no way fits in with the principles of sustainability.

Anyway, the older, more polluting vehicles do pay more tax - via fuel duty.


ph123

1,841 posts

240 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
About time.
Overhyped housing values, overheated market.
It all needs to cool down.

sriches

7 posts

237 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
Good job I bought a MY00 Impreza Turbo. Anything registered after 2001 and I'd have faced a large VED bill!

flattotheboards

6,688 posts

228 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
This may mean that nearly new "gas guzzlers" will come crashing down in value, and only because they have more expensive tax. There will be some bargains soon imo.

ph123

1,841 posts

240 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
A bargin compared to what ...

adycav

7,615 posts

239 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
flattotheboards said:
This may mean that nearly new "gas guzzlers" will come crashing down in value, and only because they have more expensive tax. There will be some bargains soon imo.
Indeed. Cars like the Mazda 3/6 mps will be very cheap.

Justin Miles

193 posts

213 months

Thursday 29th May 2008
quotequote all
We can all tell that money is getting tighter, and car sales is just one aspect. In my brokerage I only deal with new cars, but people really are struggling to sell on used stock and it ends up just sitting there, depreciating in value (but still owing money so slashing prices is a difficult one to swallow... catch 22).

Do we really need to read heavily manipulated statistics calculated by some over paid statistician to understand that there isn't as much cash floating about as there was a couple of years ago? Mere mortals like me who work for a living rather than rely on pay increases for sitting on their arses debating the state of the economy and planning the next expensive war on terrorism certainly don't!

Roght... that was my first entry on this forum and it very nearly turned into a rant... maybe I should start a "rant about how the government id messing everything up for drivers" thread?!

Have fun

Just