In which month will Brown go?

[Puff Puff]

So, following the most recent blow to Labour's fortunes, when do you think Brown will go/be ousted?

[Jasandjules]

The later the better (for the Tories).

[Swilly]

Cant see him going for a general election any sooner than he has to, given there is going to be no good news or jump in ratings for Labour between now and then.

I reckon he will last till next March. I do believe that is when the knives will come out for him... beware beware the Ides of March !!

[absolutely]

He won't go, we may have a lame duck PM by the time he calls an election like we had after Mrs Thatcher.

[Westy Pre-Lit]

He won't go on his own accord however bad it gets. The mans a control freak.

More than likely he'll be pushed......off Beachy Head with a bit of luck.

Edited by Westy Pre-Lit on Friday 25th July 19:37

[10 Pence Short]

It won't be before the autumn conference season.

I'm looking forward to seeing him squirming on the platform, as it happens.

[Zod]

absolutely said:

He won't go, we may have a lame duck PM by the time he calls an election like we had after Mrs Thatcher.

Not entirely fair. Major won an election.

[Oilchange]

Major was honourable, he knew when everyone was against him and acted nobly.

I think the idiot is blind, deaf and dumb to the fact that every one in the country thinks he's a complete pillock.

He seems to think that if he can blah on with the same 'I'm listening and learning and... the country is suffering and I'm feeling the pain.... the economy is on a downturn due to world oil prices.......I am here to do a job..... make tough decisions......



frankly he can't think of an original phrase or sentence. He's a complete stuck record.



its embarrassing...

Edited by Oilchange on Friday 25th July 19:45

[Uncle Fester]

Why is there a ‘won’t ever go’ option, that’s an impossibility.

A ‘Not soon enough’ button might be a popular choice.

[Zod]

Oilchange said:

Major was honourable, he knew when everyone was against him and acted nobly.

I think the idiot is blind, deaf and dumb to the fact that every one in the country thinks he's a complete pillock.

He seems to think that if he can blah on with the same 'I'm listening and learning and... the country is suffering and I'm feeling the pain.... the economy is on a downturn due to world oil prices.......I am here to do a job..... make tough decisions......



frankly he can't think of an original phrase or sentence. He's a complete stuck record.



its embarrassing...

Edited by Oilchange on Friday 25th July 19:45

It certainly is. The only honourable thing to do would be to call an election, but he'll stick it out for another two years and make things even worse for us and for Cameron. The good news is that when Labour does call an election, it will be annihilated.

ETA on the basis of Glasgow East, it appears that it doesn't matter whether people vote Tory in Labour seats, because the largest share wil go to a non-Labour candidate. Given GE was their 25th safest seat, they could in theory end up with 24 seats or even fewer. That would be just wonderful.

Edited by Zod on Friday 25th July 19:52

[HarveyB]

I reckon he'll try to last this out- I have a feeling that the Labour constitution makes it quite difficult for them to remove him, Labour still have a healthy majority so, unlike Major 2nd time around, it's difficult for him to be forced to hold an election (unless he loses a confidence vote) and faced with a choice of losing power now and hanging on until 2010 when things (the economy, Iraq) may have improved I know which I'd choose.

Put it this way- if you were Miliband would you really want to take over now?

[Mr Trophy]

Can you not add

"NOW"

[Uncle Fester]

The trouble is that Blair spent 10 years keeping Brown on-side by having nobody else allowed to become anything like a potential leader.

Labour hasn’t got anyone with a public profile that everyone knows.

Except one.

Livingstone

If they can get him a seat we could be in real trouble.

Thank god they don’t seem able to win a by-election at the moment.

[EdJ]

The press are talking about James Purnell quite a bit as well as the usual Miliband stuff. I personally don't think Brown will go because it is under the illusion that he can do something about the mess we're in. The trouble is, by the time the Tories get in, the country will be in such a state, they (the Tories) will probably lose the election after that. Either way, it's a downward spiral...

I forget the exact number, but isn't about half the population employed by the state nowadays?

[Zad]

It is quite simple, if there is an election soon, many many Labour MPs will lose their seats. There is also no logical successor that I can see, and nobody wants to stick their head above the parapet. Therefore the MPs will let him go as long as possible. Brown seems somewhat autistic to me, and unable of understanding what people feel about him.

[Puff Puff]

Uncle Fester said:

Why is there a ‘won’t ever go’ option, that’s an impossibility.

A ‘Not soon enough’ button might be a popular choice.

Will remain as Labour leader come what may.

I was looking for educated guesses based on recent events, not what people might wish for.

[Road Pest]

TVR Moneypit said:

November I reckon.

The momentum is now rapidly growing to get shut of him. Although it cant be any sooner than that as doesn't the HoC shut down over August, then a leadership contest needs to be arranged and fought.

I agree, November. Isn't that significant for some reason?

[Justayellowbadge]

It will be interesting to see how many of the venal fks defect as they see the writing on the wall and desperately try to keep their snouts at the trough.

I reckon we'll see a few from the marginals at least.

[AndrewW-G]

Uncle Fester said:

The trouble is that Blair spent 10 years keeping Brown on-side by having nobody else allowed to become anything like a potential leader.

Labour hasn’t got anyone with a public profile that everyone knows.

Except one.

Livingstone

If they can get him a seat we could be in real trouble.

Thank god they don’t seem able to win a by-election at the moment.

Hey! dont tempt fate like that

[HarveyB]

Justayellowbadge said:

It will be interesting to see how many of the venal fks defect as they see the writing on the wall and desperately try to keep their snouts at the trough.

I reckon we'll see a few from the marginals at least.

Indeed.

Quentin Davies MP said:

I am looking forward to joining another party with which I have found increasingly I am naturally in agreement and which has just acquired a leader I have always greatly admired, who I believe is entirely straightforward, and who has a towering record, and a clear vision for the future of our country which I fully share.

I wonder if the Right Hon. Member for Grantham and Stanford feels quite the same now