To sell or not to sell....
To sell or not to sell....
Author
Discussion

tricky69

Original Poster:

1,696 posts

272 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
I am in somewhat of a pickle and wanted to get some outside opinion.

I am 26 have a fiance and a baby girl who is 11 months. 2 and a bit years ago i bought the flat where we live for 205,000. I had a fixed rate mortgage which ended a couple of months back, so now my mortgage payments are higher. I earn a very good living for my age and work in financial markets so know a lot about whats going on, But as many am unsure how long they will last.

My problem is do i sell my flat in the expectation that house prices are going lower ?? Or do i hold on to the place with the expectation that prices will go up again ?

I can get 195k for my place i am pretty sure, and we can easily rent a house somewhere in the mean time. Then i will be in a good position to buy but will kiss good buy to about 15k.

My first thought would be to sell, cause any turn around in the market will take many years.. But then it looks like interest rates will be cut before the end of the year....

I am just not really sure which path to take so any intelligent comments welcome pls

Pat H

8,058 posts

286 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Do you need to sell, perhaps to relocate or because it is too small?

If yes, then move.

If no, then why bother?

Loads of stress, legal fees, removal costs, etc, just to cash in your negative equity.

I'm not sure that I follow the logic.

drink

Mike400

1,026 posts

261 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
In the same situation myself.

Bought a medium sized semi in 2004, three bedroom with a decent back garden.

The house next door recently sold for twice what we paid for ours, so no danger of us hitting negative equity for a while (hopefully)

With baby no.2 on the way, we want somewhere with a bit more space, and with me potentially moving to another office moving to the sticks would work well - so as a result we could get a bigger house / more garden etc with not a great leap moneywise.

Do we wait hoping prices will fall lower (thus reducing the gap we need to fill mortgage wise between the two houses) or just go for it now?

trooperiziz

9,457 posts

282 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Don't worry, your choice has already been made, no bugger is buying even if you put it up for sale wink

HundredthIdiot

4,477 posts

314 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
I am going through the same thought process.

The reasoning hinges upon:

(a) whether you think you can successfully second-guess the market
(b) how easy it will be to re-enter at a time of your choosing, i.e. when you call bottom

It seems lunacy for everybody to be predicting house prices going down. If this is "known information", it should already be priced into the market.

Transaction costs (stamp duty, fees etc) are high, which eats into any "profits" (you have to win before you break even).

IMO, the best case is if you are planning to move anyway, sell up now, rent close to where you are thinking of buying, then you get to know the area a bit better - that way at least you are paying to learn something.

BoRED S2upid

21,073 posts

270 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
If you don't need to sell then don't. Will that property surfice for the next 2-3 years? Ive just remortgaged, fixed ror another 2 years when I am hoping the market will have taken a dive and be recovering. If you think you will need somewhere bigger in the next 2 years then you may as well get out now.

215cu

2,956 posts

240 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
If you can extend, extend....

Swillsy

181 posts

217 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Selling is really a last last resort.
I just bought a new build flat for 30% off its asking price in a pretty mild area of the country.

If finances are a problem I would do what alot of the builders around here are doing and renting out properties as the rental market is very good at the moment.

Is there a possibility of living at a friends/relatives if you could find a tenant?

briSk

14,291 posts

256 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
sort of similar situation in that we want to move to have children in a couple of years.

my view is market for sale and see where ti takes you.

i think i'd like to put ours for sale for the (traditional at least) post christmas househunters... i'd rather just stay where we are til xmas and keep overpaying because i don't think any will buy befor january anyway.

tricky69

Original Poster:

1,696 posts

272 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
I don't have to sell, the place is in a good location is big enough for us all. I am not in negative equity yet seeing as i had saved about 24k when i bought the place.

But my thought would be that if we sell now we can then rent for a while and be in a good position to buy in a couple of years.... Trying to trade up when the market is at the bottom will be tough because there will be no profit in the place to make a deposit and will be difficult to save one with the market being so rubbish !

The best way to trade is to sell on the way down, and buy on the way up... thats the first lesson i learned for stock markets so why would it not work for housing market ?

tricky69

Original Poster:

1,696 posts

272 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
Swillsy said:
Selling is really a last last resort.
I just bought a new build flat for 30% off its asking price in a pretty mild area of the country.

If finances are a problem I would do what alot of the builders around here are doing and renting out properties as the rental market is very good at the moment.

Is there a possibility of living at a friends/relatives if you could find a tenant?
Can i just turn round and rent the place tomorrow ? Or do i need a by to let mortgage ? I don't really understand that whole area

HundredthIdiot

4,477 posts

314 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
tricky69 said:
The best way to trade is to sell on the way down, and buy on the way up... thats the first lesson i learned for stock markets so why would it not work for housing market ?
What you describe is momentum trading. It works well until it doesn't. How do you know which way the market will go?

Everyone is an expert with hindsight.

russ_a

4,725 posts

241 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
We are in the same boat and are looking to trade up whilst prices are being talked down.

Our choice is as mentioned previusly, stick our house up for sale and see what happens. I don't need to sell so won't be accepting any silly offers.

If a good offer comes in though I will accept and then start making some silly offers myself.


Neil_H

15,418 posts

281 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
If you don't need to sell and can afford the repayments I think you would be mad to sell now - the loss in value will only be realised when you sell. Prices will bounce back eventually, but you may need to sit tight for a few years. If you move to rented accommodation you will still 'lose' money in rent.

tricky69

Original Poster:

1,696 posts

272 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
HundredthIdiot said:
tricky69 said:
The best way to trade is to sell on the way down, and buy on the way up... thats the first lesson i learned for stock markets so why would it not work for housing market ?
What you describe is momentum trading. It works well until it doesn't. How do you know which way the market will go?

Everyone is an expert with hindsight.
well obviously... but looking at the housing market when the Bear stearns news came out there was a lag of a few months before it really impacted the housing market. Can the same be expected with the Lehman issue and if AIG goes under it could be worse...

scotal

8,751 posts

309 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
tricky69 said:
Swillsy said:
Selling is really a last last resort.
I just bought a new build flat for 30% off its asking price in a pretty mild area of the country.

If finances are a problem I would do what alot of the builders around here are doing and renting out properties as the rental market is very good at the moment.

Is there a possibility of living at a friends/relatives if you could find a tenant?
Can i just turn round and rent the place tomorrow ? Or do i need a by to let mortgage ? I don't really understand that whole area
I PM'd you when you asked this question on the business forum last week.
I'll happily run through things with you, but you need to reply to the OM really.


tricky69

Original Poster:

1,696 posts

272 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
scotal said:
tricky69 said:
Swillsy said:
Selling is really a last last resort.
I just bought a new build flat for 30% off its asking price in a pretty mild area of the country.

If finances are a problem I would do what alot of the builders around here are doing and renting out properties as the rental market is very good at the moment.

Is there a possibility of living at a friends/relatives if you could find a tenant?
Can i just turn round and rent the place tomorrow ? Or do i need a by to let mortgage ? I don't really understand that whole area
I PM'd you when you asked this question on the business forum last week.
I'll happily run through things with you, but you need to reply to the OM really.
Ahh ok great, but don't know what you meant by PM'd... i was expecting an email or something !?

scotal

8,751 posts

309 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
tricky69 said:
scotal said:
tricky69 said:
Swillsy said:
Selling is really a last last resort.
I just bought a new build flat for 30% off its asking price in a pretty mild area of the country.

If finances are a problem I would do what alot of the builders around here are doing and renting out properties as the rental market is very good at the moment.

Is there a possibility of living at a friends/relatives if you could find a tenant?
Can i just turn round and rent the place tomorrow ? Or do i need a by to let mortgage ? I don't really understand that whole area
I PM'd you when you asked this question on the business forum last week.
I'll happily run through things with you, but you need to reply to the OM really.
Ahh ok great, but don't know what you meant by PM'd... i was expecting an email or something !?
You should have one, on the email account you used when you set up your PH account.

BoRED S2upid

21,073 posts

270 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
tricky69 said:
Swillsy said:
Selling is really a last last resort.
I just bought a new build flat for 30% off its asking price in a pretty mild area of the country.

If finances are a problem I would do what alot of the builders around here are doing and renting out properties as the rental market is very good at the moment.

Is there a possibility of living at a friends/relatives if you could find a tenant?
Can i just turn round and rent the place tomorrow ? Or do i need a by to let mortgage ? I don't really understand that whole area
Yes. Most banks / Mortgage providers will allow you to rent your property for a while on a non Buy to Let mortgage, I think when i initially did it they all said 12 months or something, you could theoretically be working away from home and need to rent it out. Any longer or if you had numerous properties and they wouldn't be so accomodating. Check it out with your lender.

scotal

8,751 posts

309 months

Tuesday 16th September 2008
quotequote all
BoRED S2upid said:
tricky69 said:
Swillsy said:
Selling is really a last last resort.
I just bought a new build flat for 30% off its asking price in a pretty mild area of the country.

If finances are a problem I would do what alot of the builders around here are doing and renting out properties as the rental market is very good at the moment.

Is there a possibility of living at a friends/relatives if you could find a tenant?
Can i just turn round and rent the place tomorrow ? Or do i need a by to let mortgage ? I don't really understand that whole area
Yes. Most banks / Mortgage providers will allow you to rent your property for a while on a non Buy to Let mortgage, I think when i initially did it they all said 12 months or something, you could theoretically be working away from home and need to rent it out. Any longer or if you had numerous properties and they wouldn't be so accomodating. Check it out with your lender.
That really does depend on your lender. Not all will give consent to let.
OThers will take a view depending on LTV or circumstances.
Yet more are fine with it.