Sports Personality vote rigged?
Sports Personality vote rigged?
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Tony*T3

Original Poster:

20,911 posts

277 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

So has the BBC cocked up royally on this? Either leaked information or corupt system? Can telephone votes be easily manipulated?

In 2006, horse rider Zara Phillips beat Ryder Cup golf hero Darren Clarke.
In 2007, third favourite Joe Calzaghe triumphed over F1 star Lewis Hamilton.
And in 2008, Olympic cyclist Chris Hoy also beat Hamilton.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?

The bookies dont make a living out of being wrong, so whats going on?


Is the vote being manipulated by some betting syndicates?



Get Karter

1,950 posts

231 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
If there's money to be made, then this sort of thing is highly likely.

Phone votes only cost 15p from landlines in SPOTY....I'm sure a cooperative of 'interested parties' could have stumped up the (few thousand calls x 15p) cost to ensure a big payout.

Nice of the BBC to give them this opportunity every year just before Christmas biggrin


ZeeTacoe

5,444 posts

252 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Tony*T3 said:
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?
Surely because those 2 words don't mean the same thing. Although how Ryan Giggs won it I don't know.

Puggit

49,804 posts

278 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
With Ryan Giggs, it's perfectly possible the vote was hijacked by football fans who have never watched their team play - ie Man Utd fans in Torquay.

There's so many of the glory hunters...

Get Karter

1,950 posts

231 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Puggit said:
With Ryan Giggs, it's perfectly possible the vote was hijacked by football fans who have never watched their team play - ie Man Utd fans in Torquay.

There's so many of the glory hunters...
That wouldn't explain how Zara Phillips beat Darren Clark....or the other 'upsets'.

Although I reckon Chris Hoy was not a huge surprise given his medal haul!

DWP

1,232 posts

245 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Tony*T3 said:
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

So has the BBC cocked up royally on this? Either leaked information or corupt system? Can telephone votes be easily manipulated?

In 2006, horse rider Zara Phillips beat Ryder Cup golf hero Darren Clarke.
In 2007, third favourite Joe Calzaghe triumphed over F1 star Lewis Hamilton.
And in 2008, Olympic cyclist Chris Hoy also beat Hamilton.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?

The bookies dont make a living out of being wrong, so whats going on?


Is the vote being manipulated by some betting syndicates?
Rumours? An article in a rag too crap to be called a newspaper. Which just happens to slag of the BBC whenever it can, on behalf of it's owner.

Get Karter

1,950 posts

231 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
DWP said:
Rumours? An article in a rag too crap to be called a newspaper. Which just happens to slag of the BBC whenever it can, on behalf of it's owner.
Doesn't stop the theory being a valid one for investigation.

The examples provided of consistent shock results suggests there is something unusual, either in the bookies predictive modelling or the voting.

I believe the cheap cost of votes versus other 'public phone vote' type programmes, makes it a prime candidate for attempted rigging for financial return.

Tony*T3

Original Poster:

20,911 posts

277 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

So has the BBC cocked up royally on this? Either leaked information or corupt system? Can telephone votes be easily manipulated?

In 2006, horse rider Zara Phillips beat Ryder Cup golf hero Darren Clarke.
In 2007, third favourite Joe Calzaghe triumphed over F1 star Lewis Hamilton.
And in 2008, Olympic cyclist Chris Hoy also beat Hamilton.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?

The bookies dont make a living out of being wrong, so whats going on?


Is the vote being manipulated by some betting syndicates?
Rumours? An article in a rag too crap to be called a newspaper. Which just happens to slag of the BBC whenever it can, on behalf of it's owner.
I guess that covers the 'Sun' article then. What about the one in the Mirror? Do they have the same agenda?

Or the numerous threads on the very many web forums? Even the Man United forums admitting to organised vote rigging?

DWP

1,232 posts

245 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Tony*T3 said:
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

So has the BBC cocked up royally on this? Either leaked information or corupt system? Can telephone votes be easily manipulated?

In 2006, horse rider Zara Phillips beat Ryder Cup golf hero Darren Clarke.
In 2007, third favourite Joe Calzaghe triumphed over F1 star Lewis Hamilton.
And in 2008, Olympic cyclist Chris Hoy also beat Hamilton.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?

The bookies dont make a living out of being wrong, so whats going on?


Is the vote being manipulated by some betting syndicates?
Rumours? An article in a rag too crap to be called a newspaper. Which just happens to slag of the BBC whenever it can, on behalf of it's owner.
I guess that covers the 'Sun' article then. What about the one in the Mirror? Do they have the same agenda?

Or the numerous threads on the very many web forums? Even the Man United forums admitting to organised vote rigging?
Organised voting by football fans is hardly a betting syndicate. It's obvious there are more soccer fans than any other sport can boast. So surprise a soccer player won.

DSM2

3,624 posts

230 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

So has the BBC cocked up royally on this? Either leaked information or corupt system? Can telephone votes be easily manipulated?

In 2006, horse rider Zara Phillips beat Ryder Cup golf hero Darren Clarke.
In 2007, third favourite Joe Calzaghe triumphed over F1 star Lewis Hamilton.
And in 2008, Olympic cyclist Chris Hoy also beat Hamilton.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?

The bookies dont make a living out of being wrong, so whats going on?


Is the vote being manipulated by some betting syndicates?
Rumours? An article in a rag too crap to be called a newspaper. Which just happens to slag of the BBC whenever it can, on behalf of it's owner.
I guess that covers the 'Sun' article then. What about the one in the Mirror? Do they have the same agenda?

Or the numerous threads on the very many web forums? Even the Man United forums admitting to organised vote rigging?
Organised voting by football fans is hardly a betting syndicate. It's obvious there are more soccer fans than any other sport can boast. So surprise a soccer player won.
Agreed, but the surprise is that Giggs won!! Give him something for being around a long time but Sports personality of the year? FFS!

Why was he ever shortlisted? That's where any enquiries should start.

Rollcage

11,345 posts

222 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

So has the BBC cocked up royally on this? Either leaked information or corupt system? Can telephone votes be easily manipulated?

In 2006, horse rider Zara Phillips beat Ryder Cup golf hero Darren Clarke.
In 2007, third favourite Joe Calzaghe triumphed over F1 star Lewis Hamilton.
And in 2008, Olympic cyclist Chris Hoy also beat Hamilton.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?

The bookies dont make a living out of being wrong, so whats going on?


Is the vote being manipulated by some betting syndicates?
Rumours? An article in a rag too crap to be called a newspaper. Which just happens to slag of the BBC whenever it can, on behalf of it's owner.
I guess that covers the 'Sun' article then. What about the one in the Mirror? Do they have the same agenda?

Or the numerous threads on the very many web forums? Even the Man United forums admitting to organised vote rigging?
Organised voting by football fans is hardly a betting syndicate. It's obvious there are more soccer fans than any other sport can boast. So surprise a soccer player won.
I think it is important to qualify that argument by stating that it is hardly surprising that a Man Utd player won. Being in the biggest club in the UK (arguably the world) has to help, as has been witnessed by the blind devotion diplayed by fans on other threads on this same subject.


Get Karter

1,950 posts

231 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
DSM2 said:
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
DWP said:
Tony*T3 said:
Rumours are spreading that the Sports Personality of the Year voting has been rigged. For the fourth year running, the odds on favourite has failed to win. This has been coupled with a surge in late betting for an outsider.

So has the BBC cocked up royally on this? Either leaked information or corupt system? Can telephone votes be easily manipulated?

In 2006, horse rider Zara Phillips beat Ryder Cup golf hero Darren Clarke.
In 2007, third favourite Joe Calzaghe triumphed over F1 star Lewis Hamilton.
And in 2008, Olympic cyclist Chris Hoy also beat Hamilton.

Its easy to dismiss the Lewis Hamilton losses as 'nobody likes Lewis anyway'. And the actual winners are probbaly 'nicer people'. But surely he was by far the most high profile sportsman of the year?

The bookies dont make a living out of being wrong, so whats going on?


Is the vote being manipulated by some betting syndicates?
Rumours? An article in a rag too crap to be called a newspaper. Which just happens to slag of the BBC whenever it can, on behalf of it's owner.
I guess that covers the 'Sun' article then. What about the one in the Mirror? Do they have the same agenda?

Or the numerous threads on the very many web forums? Even the Man United forums admitting to organised vote rigging?
Organised voting by football fans is hardly a betting syndicate. It's obvious there are more soccer fans than any other sport can boast. So surprise a soccer player won.
Agreed, but the surprise is that Giggs won!! Give him something for being around a long time but Sports personality of the year? FFS!

Why was he ever shortlisted? That's where any enquiries should start.
He was just in to make up the numbers to 10.
Just like Zara Phillips in 2006 hehe

FourWheelDrift

92,306 posts

314 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Outside chance footballer who hasn't done anything special this year mysteriously wins the award.

Rigged you say?





You'll be saying next the BBC is biased towards the Labour Party.

Daisy Duke

1,510 posts

231 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Puggit said:
With Ryan Giggs, it's perfectly possible the vote was hijacked by football fans who have never watched their team play - ie Man Utd fans in Torquay.
Which is exactly what I thought had happened, the question is was whether it was organised or not. If it was I don't see how it's any different to the situation in 1991 when Bob Nudd had all his votes cast from readers of Angling Times rejected, or Justin Fashanu being disqualified in 1996 due to a campaign in the Gay Times.

The Hypno-Toad

13,307 posts

235 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Hmmmm.....

Premiership issues an order that all managers must speak to all accredited media, including the BBC.

In other news, Manchester United player Ryan Giggs (most loyal servant of that well known hater of all things BBC, Sir Alex Ferguson) mysteriously wins the Sports Personality Of The Year.

Wonder if these two events could be possibly related?......scratchchin

Edited by The Hypno-Toad on Tuesday 15th December 12:06

DWP

1,232 posts

245 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
According to some reports the biggest bet placed on SPOTY was over 24k on Button. Oops. The odds were 4/5. So the punter would not even have doubled their money.

Saddle bum

4,211 posts

249 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Chris Hoy won purely and simply because the cycling fans got their act together early. Even then it should really have gone to Wiggins who is the better rider, but the Scots would never have voted for him.

This year Cavendish was in the frame, but the campaign seemed to lack emphasis, especially as it was predicted that bike riders winning back to back would never be tolerated.

rah1888

1,589 posts

217 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
A little o/t, but a friend of mine is a fireman. One day last week, was either Thursday or a Friday, they were called to Cheryl Cole's house as the fire alarm had gone off.

Anyhow, turned out it was a false alarm. But before they left she told a couple of the lads to put their ££££ on Joe as Simon had already decided who was going to win. Interesting!

Dogsey

4,301 posts

260 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
FourWheelDrift said:
Outside chance footballer who hasn't done anything special this year mysteriously wins the award.
Well he was voted PFA Footballer of the Year for 08/09.

mouseymousey

2,642 posts

267 months

Tuesday 15th December 2009
quotequote all
Does sound very suspicious.

According to a Eursport article HERE

Eurosport said:
Giggs, who at one stage this year was a 999-1 shot on the betting exchange, saw his odds plunge from 3-1 to 8-11 in the final hour of the show as punters, some wagering six-figure sums, backed the Manchester United star to win ahead of previous favourite, Formula One champion Jenson Button.

Betfair spokesperson Tony Calvin said: "It was a very surprising gamble that came from left field and it's open to speculation what might have happened.

"We know who struck every bet and we will be investigating the betting patterns. If anything untoward is discovered, we will notify the Gambling Commission.

"Certainly the amount of money on the night on Giggs winning was unexpected."
Betfair is very good at spotting dodgy betting patterns and the late flood of money is an ominous sign.

The Eurosport article goes on to say that Giggs beat Button by 55,000 votes (151k to 96k). Assuming that a betting syndicate cast a LOT of extra votes, say 75,000, that would have cost them £11,250 which would have been very easy to get back, assuming the liquidity was ok in the market.

The voting logs would probably need to be analysed as well as the betting patterns to prove anything.

EDIT:

Having said all that, there are a lot of people over on the Betfair forums who were predicting Giggs as the winner as far back as November.



Edited by mouseymousey on Tuesday 15th December 16:57