SPANISH GP ~ A TWO HORSE RACE ?

[MGJohn]

Some bookies think so.

bet365 are offering odds WITHOUT the Red Bulls... Best of the rest. Here they are :~

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Formula 1 - Race Best Of Rest

Spanish Grand Prix Book Closes 09 May 13:00

Each-way 1/5 1-2-3

Lewis Hamilton 5/4 Fernando Alonso 9/4
Jenson Button 5/1 Michael Schumacher 11/1
Nico Rosberg 16/1 Felipe Massa 16/1
Robert Kubica 25/1 Kamui Kobayashi 40/1
Adrian Sutil 40/1 Vitaly Petrov 66/1
Pedro de la Rosa 66/1 Sebastien Buemi 80/1
Nico Hulkenberg 80/1 Vitantonio Liuzzi 100/1
Rubens Barrichello 100/1 Jaime Alguersuari 100/1
Heikki Kovalainen 200/1 Jarno Trulli 200/1
Lucas di Grassi 500/1 Timo Glock 500/1
Karun Chandhok 1000/1 Bruno Senna 1000/1

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With the two Red Bulls a skinny 5-4 each, I do not see much value in tomorrow's race and even if it rains, I anticipate a procession. However, in this best of the rest, Button @ 5-1 each way is tempting so I've had a few quid each way .... so, on a Best of the Rest basis, if Jenson finishes 5th or higher ( he's fifth on the grid anyway ), one fifth of 5-1 means you'll at least get you total stake back. If he finishes 3rd behind the two Red Bulls ( always possible ) he will be the Best of the Rest so it's like a 5-1 winner. If the Red Bulls have problems and Button wins, he's still best of the rest ... We shall see ...

I cannot get enthused about tomorrow's race ... hard to explain why... just a gut reaction based on this 'processional' circuit, the unknown race quantity of all the car improvements and changes and the slight possibility of rain during the race. Far too much for my brain to compute. I do not think it will be a walkover for the two Red Bulls though..... actual race pace of the two McLs may provide a surprise.

Still, I always find something of interest in any F1 race, procession or not. I expect tomorrow will be no exception...

I've also had a couple of quid on Jenson to retire on the first lap ~ @ 20-1 ~ that run to the first turn could ....... you never know.

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One other thing.... Vettel is 3-1 to lead at the end of the first lap .... If he starts the way he did when Webber was on pole earlier this season .... .... decisions .... decisions ....

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[SoliD]

Schumi at 11/1 got to be a good bet surely, could feature if weather is changeable/any issues with the mclarens.

[Menguin]

Schumi at 40-1 now, worth a punt!

[spend]

MGJohn said:

if Jenson finishes 5th or higher ( he's fifth on the grid anyway ), one fifth of 5-1 means you'll at least get you total stake back. If he finishes 3rd behind the two Red Bulls ( always possible ) he will be the Best of the Rest so it's like a 5-1 winner.

That logic implies that you are convinced a RB 1-2 is in order, and that both RB's will finish. That should be very long odds from the form shown to date?

[MGJohn]

spend said:

MGJohn said:

if Jenson finishes 5th or higher ( he's fifth on the grid anyway ), one fifth of 5-1 means you'll at least get you total stake back. If he finishes 3rd behind the two Red Bulls ( always possible ) he will be the Best of the Rest so it's like a 5-1 winner.

That logic implies that you are convinced a RB 1-2 is in order, and that both RB's will finish. That should be very long odds from the form shown to date?

I am not convinced of that at all. Been around far too long for that. However, most bookies are and their odds are based on where the money is or goes. A RB 1-2 is a skinny, ultra skinny 4-9 :~

Formula 1 - DUAL FORECAST

Spanish Grand Prix Book Closes 09 May 13:00
Win Only

Sebastian Vettel & Mark Webber 4/9

Sebastian Vettel & Lewis Hamilton 11/2
Mark Webber & Lewis Hamilton 11/2
Sebastian Vettel & Fernando Alonso 12/1

20 Minutes to go ...

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