The Official 2016 Chinese Grand Prix Thread **Spoilers**

The Official 2016 Chinese Grand Prix Thread **Spoilers**

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Dr Z

Original Poster:

3,396 posts

172 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
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Date(s): Friday 15 April - Sunday 17 April 2016

UK Broadcast Timings (and local time)

All sessions are live on Sky F1, with the Channel 4 highlights indicated below.

Session Day Sky F1 Channel 4 Session Start Local Time
Practice 1 Fri 0245 - 0300 1000
Practice 2 Fri 0645 - 0700 1400
Practice 3 Sat 0445 - 0500 1200
Qualifying Sat 0700 1230 0800 1500
Race Sun 0530 1330 0700 1400


Shanghai International Circuit



Number of laps 56
Length of a lap 5.451 km
Race distance 305.066 km
Race lap record 1:32.238 (L55; M. Schumacher, 2004; Avg speed: 212.750 km/h)



2015 Grand Prix Results

P1 L. Hamilton Mercedes 1:39:42.008
P2 N. Rosberg Mercedes +0.714
P3 S. Vettel Ferrari +2.988
P4 K. Räikkönen Ferrari +3.835
P5 F. Massa Williams-Mercedes +8.544
P6 V. Bottas Williams-Mercedes +9.885
P7 R. Grosjean Lotus-Mercedes +19.008
P8 F. Nasr Sauber-Ferrari +22.625
P9 D. Ricciardo Red Bull Racing-Renault +32.117
P10 M. Ericsson Sauber-Ferrari +1 Lap



Pole time: 1:35.782 (L. Hamilton, Mercedes AMG F1; Avg Speed: 204.877 km/h)

Fastest Race Lap: 1:42.208 (L31; L. Hamilton, Mercedes; Avg Speed: 191.997 km/h)

Live timing for all sessions available here:

http://www.formula1.com/content/fom-website/en/f1-...

Weather forecast:

Seems like some rain is forecast during the weekend and race day. Hopefully rain appears during the race to make it more interesting.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/cn/shanghai/106577/d...

Day Comment High/Low (?)
Fri Rain and drizzle p.m 17/13
Sat Rain and drizzle p.m 18/15
Sun Rain and drizzle a.m 21/13



The tyre choices requested by the teams:





The previous race whilst providing plenty of action in the midfield, disappointed in the battle at the front with Vettel’s Margherita letting him down before lights out and the Iceman’s finger slipping from the single clutch paddle at lights out. So here we are at Race 3 of the season, still wondering if there is going to be a genuine championship battle between the Mercedes and Ferrari drivers. I fear this race will give us more of the same. Happy to be proved wrong though.

Last year at the Chinese GP, the only battle at front we saw was between the Mercedes drivers and even that was managed only too well by the team and Ferrari lacked the ultimate race pace to take the fight to Mercedes. I recall the Soft tyres were going off faster in the Ferrari compared to Mercedes as they were pushing very hard to catch the Mercedes cars, while Hamilton was cruising at the front looking after his tyres awaiting the Ferrari challenge that never quite materialised. Mercedes had nearly 1 second advantage over the best Ferrari last year in qualifying pace.

I’m expecting everyone to tiptoe around in the 1st stint on these Super Softs as tyre wear is high, and throw on a set of Mediums at the first opportunity. Last year even the Softs barely lasted 10 laps on the Ferrari for the 1st stint. Not looking forward to seeing how slow they need to go to get the Super Softs last 7 or 8 laps in this circuit. However, drivers at the front of the Q2 grid will have a good chance with strategy I think, whilst some rain would also be very welcome in the race.

So, some discussion points for this thread:

Do you think Ferrari might have the pace this time around? More importantly, will both of their cars hold up?

Will we see another Grosjean-Haas Special this time?

Will Williams get their act together? 3rd time lucky with the Medium tyres?

Will McLaren deliver on the promise shown thus far and have a clean weekend?

Will the Sauber mechanics have clothes to wear, and chairs to sit?

Will all Team Principals make it to the pre-race press conference?

And last, but not least, what kind of qualifying format will we have? Will you be watching qualifying if it's not back to the 2015 format?

Edited by Dr Z on Tuesday 5th April 13:46

glazbagun

14,295 posts

198 months

Tuesday 5th April 2016
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God, turn 2/3 looks horrible! Won't be watching qualification this time but will tune in for the live race. I'm hoping for another Nico victory with Vettel second (don't think it's likely) so we can have some of the interest that 2014 had. Hamilton was in a very good place last year & Nico was definitely not until the end of the season, so it would be good to see some ebb & flow in the title race.

ajprice

27,680 posts

197 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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Some racy tyre choices in that list, especially Massa and Grosjean with 1 medium / 7 supersoft.

Jasandjules

70,007 posts

230 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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Looks like a few teams are going for a two stopper with a medium stint in the middle.....


HustleRussell

24,772 posts

161 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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Dr Z said:
Seems like some rain is forecast during the weekend and race day. Hopefully rain appears during the race to make it more interesting.
Judging by what I've read, if we want Ferrari et al challenging Mercedes we need hot dry conditions.

Not that I don't love a wet race, It might assist our Renault powered pilots.

Dr Z

Original Poster:

3,396 posts

172 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
quotequote all
HustleRussell said:
Judging by what I've read, if we want Ferrari et al challenging Mercedes we need hot dry conditions.

Not that I don't love a wet race, It might assist our Renault powered pilots.
Yes, last season that was a pattern with Ferrari doing well in hotter races, but I don't think we've a truly hot race yet. And the forecast for this GP also looks fairly mild.




Sector 3 is an abomination and the turns 11/12/13 are the worst...hard to know what the architect was thinking when he conceived of this design. Anyhow, it seems a Mercedes track and running in clear air gives you the added advantage of being able to keep the tyres in good shape.

I had the stint data from last year's race between Mercedes and Ferrari lying around; revisiting it, seems the Mercedes in clear air likely had an advantage of ~0.4s/lap in the first stint over Ferrari. In the 2nd stint, Ferrari were matching Mercedes in the early laps of the stint but the tyres start to go off quicker than the Mercs. Again, Hamilton in clear air probably had a reserve of 0.4-0.6s/lap, hence his second stint data set forms a nice downward curve with two very fast laps in succession at the end, giving the game away. By the start of the 3rd stint, you would have to say the race was over with the Mercedes cars having a clear cushion to the Ferraris.



Looking at the tyre choices, Ferrari are up for a fight aren't they? Seems even McLaren want to have some fun. My predictions is, in qualifying if Mercedes are only ahead by <0.5s then it is game on in the race. This is why I'm even more annoyed at them tinkering with the qualifying! It takes a lot away from me as a fan, in forming an opinion about the relative strengths of the competitors if the competitors are given a reason to not go for their ultimate pace in Q3. In any case, I won't be watching if it's an aggregate format.

In the race, if Ferrari can recreate the Melbourne start, that would be good. I'll be interested to see how the strategists play it too.

Mr_Thyroid

1,995 posts

228 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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Dr Z said:
Sector 3 is an abomination and the turns 11/12/13 are the worst...hard to know what the architect was thinking when he conceived of this design.
What do you mean by this? I don't remember anyone criticising this circuit before.

HustleRussell

24,772 posts

161 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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Indeed, 11/12/13 looks quite a lot like Brooklands / Luffield at Silverstone to me... Modern day Zandvoort features similar shaped corners too. Challenging for the driver.

Dr Z

Original Poster:

3,396 posts

172 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
quotequote all
Mr_Thyroid said:
What do you mean by this? I don't remember anyone criticising this circuit before.
I was thinking in the sense that, if you are defending from someone who's faster, no matter how well you position the car in the 11/12/13 sequence, it allows the attacker with superior grip to really line you up through those three turns before the main straight. This is pretty bad, if you then also have one of the longest straights in the calender to complete the overtake in. It becomes too easy for the attacker, IMO.

Also, you have a short straight before that 11/12/13 complex and if you made a compromised entry to 11, you can still recover before the main straight/turn 13, so it doesn't look like a particularly challenging corner sequence before the main straight that rewards precision.

Feel free to tell me that I'm talking rubbish though. biggrin

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 6th April 2016
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Mr_Thyroid said:
Dr Z said:
Sector 3 is an abomination and the turns 11/12/13 are the worst...hard to know what the architect was thinking when he conceived of this design.
What do you mean by this? I don't remember anyone criticising this circuit before.

The architects were thinking of the Chinese character Shang, meaning 'high' or 'above'. That's where the shape is derived from.

You didn't think they were thinking of what would make a good racetrack did you?

Dr Z

Original Poster:

3,396 posts

172 months

Thursday 7th April 2016
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Good news!

https://joesaward.wordpress.com/2016/04/07/some-go...

Joe Saward is reporting 'rumours' that the F1 overlords will decide to go back to the 2015 qualifying format from this GP forwards.

suffolk009

5,486 posts

166 months

Thursday 7th April 2016
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Does anyone care to speculate what it will take to upset a Merc 1 and 2?

glazbagun

14,295 posts

198 months

Thursday 7th April 2016
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Hamilton screwing up the start and leaving the door open for Alonso?

deadslow

8,032 posts

224 months

Thursday 7th April 2016
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glazbagun said:
Hamilton screwing up the start and leaving the door open for Alonso?
That would need to be the mother of all screw-ups hehe

Paul_M3

2,375 posts

186 months

Thursday 7th April 2016
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Dr Z said:
Good news!

https://joesaward.wordpress.com/2016/04/07/some-go...

Joe Saward is reporting 'rumours' that the F1 overlords will decide to go back to the 2015 qualifying format from this GP forwards.
Seems official now: http://www.skysports.com/f1/news/12433/10233646/f1...

Thank god for that. smile

Sam All

3,101 posts

102 months

Thursday 7th April 2016
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Paul_M3 said:
Seems official now: http://www.skysports.com/f1/news/12433/10233646/f1...

Thank god for that. smile
Whoever smile Really it was inevitable after all the chat at Bahrain.

Flooble

5,565 posts

101 months

Friday 8th April 2016
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Thanks for another awesome set of preview notes.

Funny that the C4 "budget" coverage is probably going to be more convenient (and interesting) than the "premium" option.

Dr Z

Original Poster:

3,396 posts

172 months

Monday 11th April 2016
quotequote all
suffolk009 said:
Does anyone care to speculate what it will take to upset a Merc 1 and 2?
Rain and/or Ferrari being less than 0.5s off Merc in qualifying pace. That's my best guess.

andburg

7,357 posts

170 months

Monday 11th April 2016
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The teams are always moaning about the tyres, we know that after 2 qualifying runs they've pretty much had it, so they must be nursing something chronic throughout the race pulling 20-30 laps from a new or slightly used set. I'm rather glad of this at the moment as its keeping them close together, they can only go as fast as the tyres will allow. I think tyres that were less fragile would see merc running further away.

Merc can now reliably run the engine at full power for much longer but probably dont do it because the tyres wont allow the abuse, treading that fine line now that it keeps Ferrari in touch.

As an uninformed bystander this could be completely wrong

Steamer

13,874 posts

214 months

Monday 11th April 2016
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I've been a bit out of the loop for the last week, is Alonso back in the hot seat for China?